Quote:
Originally Posted by Red Dreams
as for the Gen Election...look at the Democrat and Republican votes ...almost 2 to 1 advantage...and McCain is hardly the darling of the Religious right...
this year it is rightly or wrongly about enthusian and anger....there is a knee jerk reaction against what Bush has and still is doing....
it will be Democrat President...probably...I better say that.....
but as I have said before McCain is a decent enough guy..so no complains if he does win it either...
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I wouldn't just add up the votes for Democrat and Republicans in the presidential primary and assume that the Demos are favored. At the precinct for which I was the inspector a lot of Republican women "changed party affiliation" for the primary just to vote for Hillary. If she doesn't get the nod, they won't be staying with the Democrats to support Obama.
Similarly, we had an assortment of African-American voters show up who normally didn't participate in the primary process. Again, if Barack isn't on the ticket, don't bet too much that they will be rushing to the polls to elect Hillary (I've heard from a few black voters that if Obama doesn't get the nomination, they'll be voting for McCain in the general).
On the GOP side, the issue is whether the right-wing religious zealots can read the spray-paint on the wall in November and vote for McCain (and a GOP administration) as a better alternative than the Democrats. Given their history of being more interested in doctrinal purity than political compromise and accomodation, I suspect McCain has a lot of work to do to bring that wing of the party back into the fold.