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We've got a tough run in, but I fancy Le Arse to slip up against the scousers in the league, especially if Everton beat LFC at the weekend, and they're fighting for 4th. Le Arse look as if they've thrown in the towel already, and Wenger may rest players for the Cup if the first CL leg goes poorly.
Even if their form picks up I fancy we might well be able to beat them.
If we beat Arsenal then they would need to pick up 10 more points than us of a total of 18 in the other six games. Them going perfect aside from a loss to us would mean they would need us to do no better than winning two, drawing two and losing two. Not impossible, but if we can beat Arsenal we should be a lot better than to do that.
Chelsea may end up dropping points in a stupid place, and depending on the race for 4th, Everton might be up for it. Maybe Citeh can throw us a bone as well. Beating Chelsea makes the situation just as dire for them, except that they can lose to us and win it by going perfect and us only getting three wins and three losses. Again, if we can win at SB we should be better than that.
If we beat both Arse and Chelsea we'll win it barring truly catastrophic results in other games.
Doing that would mean that Chelsea could only win it by them going otherwise perfect and us doing no better than two wins and three losses. Things would be worse for Arsenal, who would have to go otherwise perfect and watch us go into free fall with no better than one win, two draws and two losses.
Getting the job done against those two would hand us the title.
Blackburn and Boro worry me a bit, but to win the title you've got to be better than the rest. It is time for us to show it.
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