Quote:
Originally Posted by crappycraperson
Obama won't win against Mccain. At the last moment people will balk at voting for him. All this talk of change is just talk. At the end of the day most people will realise they don't actually want change, atleast they don't want to risk stability for change. Unlike other countries there are no regular terror threats in US. Mccain would seem the safe choice. They will know what they are getting. Obama is out there, he will get the hippy votes and independents will root for him all the way to the election but stop short at voting for him at the last moment.
Hillary would have won easily against Mccain.
|
you seem to be certain......interesting...
you are wrong of course....Americans are not bigots....though there are some minor elements that would not vote for a black man.
Obama's demographics are different from HRCs
Obama has solid black vote, the majority of young people votes and the educated white vote. Also he has very strong grassroots activists support....this is a Democratic year and McCain will struggle to get his base out...the Religious right is pissed with him...that is as certain a GOP block as the Black vote has been for the Dems...it will be even stronger this year....more than 9 to 1 voting for Obama...
also looking at the Electrol college...he needs two of PA,OH and FL...Florida will be a climb...but he will get the other two...OH's Strickland is a Democrat Governor.
Also Obama this year has a great chance of winning Virginia,Colorado and Iowa. Withe normal Blue States he will get the votes he needs.
it is a toss up atm...but Hillary will back him solid after the primaries end in a few weeks...she wants a future in the Democratic Party as does Cigar Bill...
just as a matter of interest the GOP has lost 3 solid seats in special elections so far...they are in very bad shape...