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Old 13th December 2011, 02:08   #1 (permalink)
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Canada withdraws from the Kyoto treaty.

Canada is becoming the first country in withdrawing from the Kyoto Accords, which basically withdraws North America entirely from such efforts seeing as the Americans never signed up in the first instance.

These are the sort of efforts that go down well with people when economies are strong but when they are weak they are detested, Canada's participation has always been somewhat hollow anyway considering they are the largest supplier of oil and gas to the United States.

The Canadians have a point, whether they burden their economy with energy reduction costs or not, overall emissions across the globe is continuing to rise due to the explosive growth of the developing world who have little in the way of formal commitments to carbon reduction.
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Old 13th December 2011, 02:17   #2 (permalink)
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Canada is becoming the first country in withdrawing from the Kyoto Accords, which basically withdraws North America entirely from such efforts seeing as the Americans never signed up in the first instance.

These are the sort of efforts that go down well with people when economies are strong but when they are weak they are detested, Canada's participation has always been somewhat hollow anyway considering they are the largest supplier of oil and gas to the United States.

The Canadians have a point, whether they burden their economy with energy reduction costs or not, overall emissions across the globe is continuing to rise due to the explosive growth of the developing world who have little in the way of formal commitments to carbon reduction.

Whether Harper reflects Canadian opinions on this is moot.

Alberta - but of course.
Certainly not Quebec.

The disarray of the opposition - Liberals emasculated, NDP just lost their charismatic leader to cancer and (thanks be) the Bloc Quebecois finally dying - would explain his continuation as prime minister.

His climate policy certainly doesn't fly in this neck o' the woods.
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Old 13th December 2011, 02:26   #3 (permalink)
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These are the sort of things you have to do, Cameron last week attracted ire from the international arena for backing Britain's financial services and this week Harper is attracting it for backing your oil and gas industry. Whilst unpopular amongst many, you cannot simply constrain your most critical wealth creators in such a fashion, especially so in a turbulent world economy.

I must say, Stephen Harper's survival all of this time never ceases to surprise me, after failing to get his majority in the shock 2008 election and a constitutional crisis later he looked to be on borrowed time, looking far less secure than Gordon Brown did here when he had his own party trying to take him down. I have always found Canadian affairs to be interesting to follow.

So what is your concern in Quebec, is it simply because you are thousands of miles from the oil fields and therefore don't have the vested interests to support it or is there something else?
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Old 13th December 2011, 02:28   #4 (permalink)
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Such a joke
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Old 13th December 2011, 02:31   #5 (permalink)
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It is not difficult for most of that map to support it when they have few obligations, I'd like to see a map showing compliance and the likelihood of countries achieving their targets as so many sign up to these sort of things and then forget about them.
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Old 13th December 2011, 02:34   #6 (permalink)
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It can't be easy to be trailing behind third world countries though..
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Old 13th December 2011, 02:40   #7 (permalink)
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Though the wealth in Canada from the exploitation of fossil fuels has driven the country onward and keeps it amongst the wealthiest of the wealthy and all that comes with it. In the third world, the biggest ticket to joining the first world is to have fossil fuel reserves - the Middle East would be as impoverished as much of Africa if it wasn't for oil and gas.
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Old 13th December 2011, 02:46   #8 (permalink)
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Though the wealth in Canada from the exploitation of fossil fuels has driven the country onward and keeps it amongst the wealthiest of the wealthy and all that comes with it. In the third world, the biggest ticket to joining the first world is to have fossil fuel reserves - the Middle East would be as impoverished as much of Africa if it wasn't for oil and gas.
South America has as much natural resources as North America (or so we are told). The excuses of the past should have no baring on the future, but unfortunately they will.
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Old 13th December 2011, 02:53   #9 (permalink)
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There is no way in hell South America will be reaching any targets promised.
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Old 13th December 2011, 02:53   #10 (permalink)
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UNASUR will have a significant impact on the development of South America, as will the growth of Brazil which always gets forgotten due to China and India.

Though much of South America's resources are not verified - Venezuela's declared proven oil reserves have grown three fold in the last five years to become the largest in the world, though that of course means we have to take Hugo Chevez's word for it.
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Old 13th December 2011, 04:01   #11 (permalink)
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Getting rid of our long gun registry, too.

It's like we're leading the fight in throwing off the shackles of financially wasteful, feel-good policy that is in reality useless.
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Old 13th December 2011, 04:21   #12 (permalink)
 
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Getting rid of our long gun registry, too.

It's like we're leading the fight in throwing off the shackles of financially wasteful, feel-good policy that is in reality useless.
Unfortunately we are throwing off the shackles not because it is financially wasteful but because the governing party doesn't actually believe in climate change or gun control.
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Old 13th December 2011, 04:42   #13 (permalink)
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Unfortunately we are throwing off the shackles not because it is financially wasteful but because the governing party doesn't actually believe in climate change or gun control.


Are you sure about that? Sounds like that NDP girl is getting inside you head.
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Old 13th December 2011, 05:06   #14 (permalink)
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Canada withdrew because they're going on strike. For more internet money.



More likely, the 'nucks are as bent over the (oil) barrel by corporate interests as us.
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Old 13th December 2011, 08:44   #15 (permalink)
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The Canadians have a point, whether they burden their economy with energy reduction costs or not, overall emissions across the globe is continuing to rise due to the explosive growth of the developing world who have little in the way of formal commitments to carbon reduction.
They don't have a point. If nobody does something then everybody will do nothing, ever. Developed nations have a moral obligation to take the lead.
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Old 13th December 2011, 08:49   #16 (permalink)
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Canada is desperate to develop the filthy oil sand reserves that they have. You can't pretend to care about global warming and exploit the sands at the same time.
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Old 13th December 2011, 15:15   #17 (permalink)
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These are the sort of things you have to do, Cameron last week attracted ire from the international arena for backing Britain's financial services and this week Harper is attracting it for backing your oil and gas industry. Whilst unpopular amongst many, you cannot simply constrain your most critical wealth creators in such a fashion, especially so in a turbulent world economy.

I must say, Stephen Harper's survival all of this time never ceases to surprise me, after failing to get his majority in the shock 2008 election and a constitutional crisis later he looked to be on borrowed time, looking far less secure than Gordon Brown did here when he had his own party trying to take him down. I have always found Canadian affairs to be interesting to follow.

So what is your concern in Quebec, is it simply because you are thousands of miles from the oil fields and therefore don't have the vested interests to support it or is there something else?
These are the things you have to do?

Depends - a dead planet is really bad for business.
If the global warmers are right, that is one awful piece of business - bit like Torres.

Quebec is largely hydro-electric powered, green - ish, left-ish.
The people's socialist republic- leaning, if truth be told.

Quite out of tune with the rest of North America.

One of the things I like about it.
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Old 13th December 2011, 15:36   #18 (permalink)
 
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Are you sure about that? Sounds like that NDP girl is getting inside you head.
The gun control bit is just me winding you up (although I think there is some truth to it).

The climate change comment I stand by given the following observations:

1. Our minister of Science and Tech is a young Earth creationist who doesn't believe in scientific principals/evolution etc etc.

2. The previous party leader - Stockwell Day - believed man and dinosaurs walked the Earth together.

3. Several friends and people I know who work at Environment Canada have been sacked. The common theme is they all worked in greenhouse gas/climate related work. Other good people have been sacked from other important areas as well such as scientists that study soil contamination.

4. If we had a proactive government that truly wanted to help the environment they would have proposed an alternative to Kyoto instead of simply giving the world the finger and moving on. The approach they took is indicative of a group of people who don't believe climate change is happening.

5. I read in the paper today that Fisheries and Oceans are being told to fire up to 200 scientists. The shit-cherry on the shit-cake if you will...

But they believe in climate change and protecting our environment. Right.
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Old 13th December 2011, 17:36   #19 (permalink)
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The gun control bit is just me winding you up (although I think there is some truth to it).

The climate change comment I stand by given the following observations:

1. Our minister of Science and Tech is a young Earth creationist who doesn't believe in scientific principals/evolution etc etc.

2. The previous party leader - Stockwell Day - believed man and dinosaurs walked the Earth together.

3. Several friends and people I know who work at Environment Canada have been sacked. The common theme is they all worked in greenhouse gas/climate related work. Other good people have been sacked from other important areas as well such as scientists that study soil contamination.

4. If we had a proactive government that truly wanted to help the environment they would have proposed an alternative to Kyoto instead of simply giving the world the finger and moving on. The approach they took is indicative of a group of people who don't believe climate change is happening.

5. I read in the paper today that Fisheries and Oceans are being told to fire up to 200 scientists. The shit-cherry on the shit-cake if you will...

But they believe in climate change and protecting our environment. Right.
Careful how you word it. I'm sure they believe climate change is happening, as the evidence is ample that the earth's climate is always changing. The question is are we accelerating/influencing the process to any serious degree?

One thing I know is that they are not fans of big government. Neither am I. I'd prefer not to have the government that I have to protect the environment by enacting laws and international agreements. The onus should be on the individual, but my freaky libertarian views would send the Tories running for the hills.
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Old 13th December 2011, 17:37   #20 (permalink)
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Canada is desperate to develop the filthy oil sand reserves that they have. You can't pretend to care about global warming and exploit the sands at the same time.
They're already quite developed.
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Old 13th December 2011, 18:05   #21 (permalink)
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Careful how you word it. I'm sure they believe climate change is happening, as the evidence is ample that the earth's climate is always changing. The question is are we accelerating/influencing the process to any serious degree?

One thing I know is that they are not fans of big government. Neither am I. I'd prefer not to have the government that I have to protect the environment by enacting laws and international agreements. The onus should be on the individual, but my freaky libertarian views would send the Tories running for the hills.
No, it isn't. There is no "scientific debate". The science is already settled, though obviously it can always improve. Yes, we are accelerating and influencing the process to a quite serious degree. Yes, there will be consequences whether we do something about it or not; if we don't do anything the consequences will be massive.

Being libertarian is no excuse not to be informed on a subject.
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Old 13th December 2011, 18:38   #22 (permalink)
 
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Careful how you word it. I'm sure they believe climate change is happening, as the evidence is ample that the earth's climate is always changing. The question is are we accelerating/influencing the process to any serious degree?

One thing I know is that they are not fans of big government. Neither am I. I'd prefer not to have the government that I have to protect the environment by enacting laws and international agreements. The onus should be on the individual, but my freaky libertarian views would send the Tories running for the hills.
So to answer that question we fire all the scientists and researchers who are studying the topic? Makes sense.

As far as big government goes I'd prefer cutting the fat off the bureaucrats rather than front line science research.
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Old 13th December 2011, 19:12   #23 (permalink)
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Careful how you word it. I'm sure they believe climate change is happening, as the evidence is ample that the earth's climate is always changing. The question is are we accelerating/influencing the process to any serious degree?

One thing I know is that they are not fans of big government. Neither am I. I'd prefer not to have the government that I have to protect the environment by enacting laws and international agreements. The onus should be on the individual, but my freaky libertarian views would send the Tories running for the hills.
This puts you on the border of the climate change sceptic brigade.

Thin ice and keeping pretty poor company.


Your second paragraph is a conflation that is astounding.
No big government, I get.
Individual responsibility I'm all for.
But you seriously think the environment can be protected merely
through that?
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Old 13th December 2011, 19:33   #24 (permalink)
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They don't have a point. If nobody does something then everybody will do nothing, ever. Developed nations have a moral obligation to take the lead.
No they don't.
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Old 13th December 2011, 19:52   #25 (permalink)
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They don't have a point. If nobody does something then everybody will do nothing, ever. Developed nations have a moral obligation to take the lead.
its common sense really.

there are ways to pressure countries. It takes political will.
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Old 13th December 2011, 20:03   #26 (permalink)
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No they don't.
I agree - the very notion of moral obligation is ill-placed.

What we could do though is exercise a little judgement.

If we get this wrong, this will be about as stupid as it is possible to be as sentient beings.
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Old 13th December 2011, 20:27   #27 (permalink)
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They're already quite developed.
Blah blah blah

There is always an excuse or equivocation as to why no action should be taken. Not doing the right think because another country won't is the moral politics of the schoolyard.
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Old 13th December 2011, 20:29   #28 (permalink)
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its common sense really.

there are ways to pressure countries. It takes political will.
Good luck with that
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Old 13th December 2011, 20:32   #29 (permalink)
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No they don't.
I wouldn't expect baby Cameron to agree. There are far more important things to do like bail out your banking buddies from your dining club days to the cost of 10x what climate change would cost or isolate yourself in Europe.
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Old 13th December 2011, 20:46   #30 (permalink)
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No they don't.
You think leading states don't have an obligation to shape the discussions on important global issues ?
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Old 13th December 2011, 20:56   #31 (permalink)
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You think leading states don't have an obligation to shape the discussions on important global issues ?
Apres moi, le deluge.

Would be a reasonable description of the position being taken.

Or desperately trying to keep the rabble out of first class on the Titanic, perhaps?
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Old 13th December 2011, 20:58   #32 (permalink)
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You think leading states don't have an obligation to shape the discussions on important global issues ?
I don't think countries developed or developing have any moral obligation to do anything on the global stage. No country should be criticised on the climate change front when there is a lack of universal global action, especially so when what Canada does to reign in their carbon use is neither here nor there with regard to global emissions.
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Old 13th December 2011, 21:07   #33 (permalink)
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I don't think countries developed or developing have any moral obligation to do anything on the global stage.



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No country should be criticised on the climate change front when there is a lack of universal global action, especially so when what Canada does to reign in their carbon use is neither here nor there with regard to global emissions.

Conversely, there can be no universal global action if countries randomly abscond from shaping the discussions that make up such actions. This isn't about Canada pulling out of Kyoto as much as about the broader implications of individual nations ignoring global interests in favor of economically convenient national self-interest. These types of issues can no longer be constrained at a national level. They're global and as such, they've become the world's business.
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Old 13th December 2011, 21:17   #34 (permalink)
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Conversely, there can be no universal global action if countries randomly abscond from shaping the discussions that make up such actions. This isn't about Canada pulling out of Kyoto as much as about the broader implications of individual nations ignoring global interests in favor of economically convenient national self-interest. These types of issues can no longer be constrained at a national level. They're global and as such, they've become the world's business.
Despite the ever growing emphasis on globalisation we remain a world of westphalian states. What is more, Canada is heavily tied into the American economy seeing as something ridiculous like 75% of their trade goes south - when Canada is subservient to Kyoto and the United States isn't that makes them uncompetitive within NAFTA.

The only viable solution ultimately to relieve reliance on fossil fuels is to replace them with a different energy form as opposed to lessening its usage - the only way that will happen is if the developed world is wealthy enough to produce them. It is simply not acceptable for western countries in a time of great difficulty to be burdening themselves with substantial costs whilst the developing world is becoming ever increasingly wealthier and competitive isn't doing much in the way of Kyoto at all.
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Old 13th December 2011, 21:27   #35 (permalink)
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Despite the ever growing emphasis on globalisation we remain a world of westphalian states.
Its not quite that simple. States are no longer segregated entities that can afford to ignore the broader global interests of humanity. Environmental issues would rate at the top of the list. The U.S. was wrong to not participate, and other countries are certainly not in the right to walk away from their responsibilities in shaping the debate. And I'm not aiming my comments at Canada specifically, but more so at the worryingly delusional concept that national interests somehow trump global ones.
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Old 13th December 2011, 21:38   #36 (permalink)
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Its not quite that simple. States are no longer segregated entities that can afford to ignore the broader global interests of humanity. Environmental issues would rate at the top of the list. The U.S. was wrong to not participate, and other countries are certainly not in the right to walk away from their responsibilities in shaping the debate. And I'm not aiming my comments at Canada specifically, but more so at the worryingly delusional concept that national interests somehow trump global ones.

States have never been segregated entities but they remain solely responsible to their own citizens and likely always will be.

For instance, in the United Kingdom 25% of households are in what we call 'fuel poverty' - that they cannot afford to heat their homes, one of the reasons is rising fuel prices but also because subsidies for renewable energy are largely derived from added costs for consumers. Nearly 2.5 million are unemployed, inflation is nearly 5%, pay rises are far below inflation - we produce 1% or so of the world's carbon emissions and are laboured by this whilst China is booming yet her carbon emissions have increased by 50% in five years.

Whilst such double standards exist, nations like Canada shouldn't have to put up with them.
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Old 13th December 2011, 21:41   #37 (permalink)
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You're right, the UK is certainly one of the biggest innocent victims of this whole thing.

Yup.
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Old 13th December 2011, 21:45   #38 (permalink)
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You're right, the UK is certainly one of the biggest innocent victims of this whole thing.

Yup.
Millions of people struggling to pay the bills as it is are not being helped by making those bills artifically more expensive to fufil carbon reduction costs. If subsidies come from general taxation that is one thing, but tacking it on everybody's bills is another entirely.
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Old 13th December 2011, 21:46   #39 (permalink)
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Its not quite that simple. States are no longer segregated entities that can afford to ignore the broader global interests of humanity. Environmental issues would rate at the top of the list. The U.S. was wrong to not participate, and other countries are certainly not in the right to walk away from their responsibilities in shaping the debate. And I'm not aiming my comments at Canada specifically, but more so at the worryingly delusional concept that national interests somehow trump global ones.
The investment in the illusions that are nation-states is enormous on an emotional level for so many.
The return is poor.

The issue of being citizens of one earth is lost on the blindly parochial.
Even on many who should know better.
Blind self-interest calls itself libertarian.
Says the market will solve it - until they come with their begging bowls.

The model is broken.

While your counterpart in this discussion continues to argue for an eventual ( when, by the way, Brian ? Would 2.5 degrees celsius or 3 be ok ?) move from fossil fuels and a seamless transition (- to what?) with no pain for the rich and developed countries

and refuses to see the probable urgency for a plan, an agreement, a simple addressal of an issue of such over-arching importance if the science is right

there's not much to be gained.
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Old 13th December 2011, 21:56   #40 (permalink)
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The science is inconclusive to the point where both supporters and deniers point to prolonged weather patterns as evidence either for or against climate change, what is even more inconslusive is the connection between emissions and climate change.

Kyoto will have no impact on this as all it does is slowdown emissions growth but does not reverse it, it artificially increases energy costs in the developed world thus giving the developing world a further boost when they least need it.

It also doesn't address the link between emissions and fossil fuel extraction - Saudi Arabia exports 8 million barrels of oil or so a day, it's economy is worth $25,000 per capita - yet it has no obligations when many countries in Western Europe produce virtually nothing yet are getting laboured with the renewable energy costs.

If a realistic energy reduction plan that had worldwide participation was to be produced, and was implemented in a way that it insulated consumers from the costs involved then that would be an entirely different matter.
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