Man Utd loss looks highly unlikely at Stamford Bridge on Sunday

Niall · 3rd February 2012, 17:22

Man Utd have had to face Man City, Arsenal and Liverpool in the last month and now it is Chelsea's turn on Sunday in what has to be the game of the weekend. Man Utd go into this weekend joint top of the Premiership twelve points above Chelsea yet it is Chelsea who are the favourites to beat Man Utd on Sunday.

Perhaps it is home advantage that has made the bookies side with Chelsea, it certainly isn't current form as no team has earned more points than Man Utd in the Premiership from their last eight matches (eighteen points from six wins and two losses) whilst Chelsea have won just two games in that period whilst drawing a whopping five matches. That suggests the odds on Chelsea of 8/5 are far too short and betting bets lie with either Man Utd to win (a winning bet in six out of Man Utd's last eight league games) at odds of 19/10 or the draw at 23/10 (a winning bet in five of Chelsea's last eight league games).

United won the last fixture between the teams at Stamford Bridge, that was the 1-0 win in the Champions League in April, but that was United's first win at the ground since 2002 (a 3-0 win in the League). Between those two wins were four draws and six wins for Chelsea. That poor record at Stamford Bridge points towards a draw here at 23/10 more than the away win. In the last ten games between the teams at Stamford Bridge under 2.5 goals has been a winning bet seven times and under 3.5 goals has been a winning bet in all of those matches, those outcomes can be backed at evens and 4/11 respectively. It is worth noting that six of Chelsea's last eight matches have had under 2.5 goals in them.

So if it's a low scoring draw then the only two options available to us are 0-0 and 1-1, the former bet is priced up at 11/1 whilst the latter is the most likely correct score according to the bookies at 6/1. If you fancy Man Utd to beat Chelsea at Stamford Bridge for the second game running then stick to the low scoring outcomes, a 1-0 win for United in this match is 8/1 whilst a 2-0 win does look very tempting at 12/1, the biggest price of all the correct scores we will highlight here.

Can Man Utd gain a crucial win at Stamford Bridge on Sunday? Would you take a draw now in this fixture? What are your best bets for this match? Please share your thoughts and best bets on Chelsea v Man Utd with other Man Utd fans.

Bread · 3rd February 2012, 17:31

I swear everytime one of these appears we then lose that game.

Crustanoid · 3rd February 2012, 17:32

The kiss of death

anything about now · 3rd February 2012, 17:35

We'll batter them.

Hal9000 · 3rd February 2012, 19:41

Niall has just made us lose.

Judge Red · 3rd February 2012, 20:33

Don't worry, I'll even it out by betting on Chelsea to win.

Red Dreams · 3rd February 2012, 20:35

I read the thread as the match is highly unlikely on Sunday

Denis' cuff · 3rd February 2012, 22:22

not this again

Randall Flagg · 3rd February 2012, 23:23

Favourites to lift the cup ahead of Liverpool

Another easy win expected against Blackburn

We will be 3 points behind City at 6pm Sunday.

Sir A1ex · 3rd February 2012, 23:29

Quote:

Originally Posted by Bread

I swear everytime one of these appears we then lose that game.

There's one before every match, and they pretty much always back us to win, or at least not lose. I don't think our sponsors are alone in giving these odds either.

Does make me think actually... are their Wolves forums with similar deals in place, and every Friday a thread appears along the lines of "Wolves likely to get shat on again"?

gooDevil · 3rd February 2012, 23:29

Bunch of superstitious grannies!

The man tries to give you money and what thanks does he get?

Bread · 3rd February 2012, 23:53

Quote:

Originally Posted by Sir A1ex

There's one before every match, and they pretty much always back us to win, or at least not lose. I don't think our sponsors are alone in giving these odds either.

Does make me think actually... are their Wolves forums with similar deals in place, and every Friday a thread appears along the lines of "Wolves likely to get shat on again"?

Portsmouth Likely to still exist by sunday!

Sir A1ex · 4th February 2012, 10:58

Quote:

Originally Posted by Bread

Portsmouth Likely to still exist by sunday!

Nah... you'd get crazy odds on that happening!

Livvie · 4th February 2012, 17:03

Are Chelsea likely to call it off - like they did last year because of the snow?

golden_blunder · 4th February 2012, 17:14

feck.. talk about jinxing us with that headline!

Agent Red · 4th February 2012, 18:20

Quote:

Originally Posted by Livvie

Are Chelsea likely to call it off - like they did last year because of the snow?

I'm about 2/3 miles away from Stamford Bridge right now, and there's no snow as of yet. It's bloody freezing though!

That'sHernandez · 4th February 2012, 18:33

Jinxed

That'sHernandez · 5th February 2012, 18:05

I blame this thread.

Livvie · 5th February 2012, 18:09

Quote:

Originally Posted by That'sHernandez

I blame this thread.

You can't. It doesn't say we'd win. Just that we wouldn't lose.

Sir A1ex · 5th February 2012, 18:16

Quote:

Originally Posted by That'sHernandez

I blame this thread.

What for? Are you a Chelsea fan?

Kelvin · 5th February 2012, 18:24

nearly given us a kiss of death at 3-0.

That'sHernandez · 5th February 2012, 19:43

Quote:

Originally Posted by Livvie

You can't. It doesn't say we'd win. Just that we wouldn't lose.

Fair point... but at 3-0 would you have said a loss was highly unlikely? This thread still has a lot to answer for!

Sir A1ex · 5th February 2012, 20:43

I love these threads. People struggle a lot with the concept of bookies giving odds on football matches.

Out of interest, do you all go down to Ladbrokes if we lose and berate them for making us favourites?

3rd February 2012, 17:22	#1 (permalink)
Niall Fallible Super Being Join Date: Jun 1999 Location: Dublin Posts: 7,454	Man Utd loss looks highly unlikely at Stamford Bridge on Sunday Man Utd have had to face Man City, Arsenal and Liverpool in the last month and now it is Chelsea's turn on Sunday in what has to be the game of the weekend. Man Utd go into this weekend joint top of the Premiership twelve points above Chelsea yet it is Chelsea who are the favourites to beat Man Utd on Sunday. Perhaps it is home advantage that has made the bookies side with Chelsea, it certainly isn't current form as no team has earned more points than Man Utd in the Premiership from their last eight matches (eighteen points from six wins and two losses) whilst Chelsea have won just two games in that period whilst drawing a whopping five matches. That suggests the odds on Chelsea of 8/5 are far too short and betting bets lie with either Man Utd to win (a winning bet in six out of Man Utd's last eight league games) at odds of 19/10 or the draw at 23/10 (a winning bet in five of Chelsea's last eight league games). United won the last fixture between the teams at Stamford Bridge, that was the 1-0 win in the Champions League in April, but that was United's first win at the ground since 2002 (a 3-0 win in the League). Between those two wins were four draws and six wins for Chelsea. That poor record at Stamford Bridge points towards a draw here at 23/10 more than the away win. In the last ten games between the teams at Stamford Bridge under 2.5 goals has been a winning bet seven times and under 3.5 goals has been a winning bet in all of those matches, those outcomes can be backed at evens and 4/11 respectively. It is worth noting that six of Chelsea's last eight matches have had under 2.5 goals in them. So if it's a low scoring draw then the only two options available to us are 0-0 and 1-1, the former bet is priced up at 11/1 whilst the latter is the most likely correct score according to the bookies at 6/1. If you fancy Man Utd to beat Chelsea at Stamford Bridge for the second game running then stick to the low scoring outcomes, a 1-0 win for United in this match is 8/1 whilst a 2-0 win does look very tempting at 12/1, the biggest price of all the correct scores we will highlight here. Can Man Utd gain a crucial win at Stamford Bridge on Sunday? Would you take a draw now in this fixture? What are your best bets for this match? Please share your thoughts and best bets on Chelsea v Man Utd with other Man Utd fans.

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3rd February 2012, 17:31	#2 (permalink)
Bread First Team Sub Join Date: Aug 2008 Location: Salford, Manchester Posts: 5,779	I swear everytime one of these appears we then lose that game.

3rd February 2012, 17:32	#3 (permalink)
Crustanoid First Team Regular Join Date: Feb 2008 Posts: 15,369	The kiss of death

3rd February 2012, 17:35	#4 (permalink)
anything about now MUFC lad living in a matriel world Join Date: Nov 2007 Location: Has an air of inevitibility about it. Fuck - Guz-kop on rawk @ Utd 2-2 Villa Posts: 6,469	We'll batter them.

3rd February 2012, 19:41	#5 (permalink)
Hal9000 Reserve Team Player Join Date: May 2010 Posts: 3,189	Niall has just made us lose.

3rd February 2012, 20:33	#6 (permalink)
Judge Red Don't Call Me Douglas Join Date: Feb 2006 Posts: 2,052	Don't worry, I'll even it out by betting on Chelsea to win.

3rd February 2012, 20:35	#7 (permalink)
Red Dreams First Team Regular Join Date: Aug 2003 Location: 20 I 13 Posts: 28,214	I read the thread as the match is highly unlikely on Sunday

3rd February 2012, 22:22	#8 (permalink)
Denis' cuff First Team Sub Join Date: May 2007 Location: here Posts: 5,952	not this again

3rd February 2012, 23:23	#9 (permalink)
Randall Flagg shitline Join Date: May 2009 Posts: 24,892	Favourites to lift the cup ahead of Liverpool Another easy win expected against Blackburn We will be 3 points behind City at 6pm Sunday.

3rd February 2012, 23:29	#11 (permalink)
gooDevil Worst scout ever Join Date: Oct 2008 Location: The Kids are the Future Posts: 16,997	Bunch of superstitious grannies! The man tries to give you money and what thanks does he get?

4th February 2012, 17:03	#14 (permalink)
Livvie Executive Manager being kept sane only by her madness Join Date: Jun 2000 Location: Someone said that half of Caf members were thick. It's not true. Half of you aren't thick at all. Posts: 38,486	Are Chelsea likely to call it off - like they did last year because of the snow?

4th February 2012, 17:14	#15 (permalink)
golden_blunder Back in action Join Date: Jun 2000 Location: In the shadows fighting e-crime Posts: 66,533	feck.. talk about jinxing us with that headline!

4th February 2012, 18:33	#17 (permalink)
That'sHernandez First Team Regular Join Date: Oct 2010 Posts: 16,026	Jinxed

5th February 2012, 18:05	#18 (permalink)
That'sHernandez First Team Regular Join Date: Oct 2010 Posts: 16,026	I blame this thread.

5th February 2012, 18:24	#21 (permalink)
Kelvin Banned Join Date: Jan 2006 Posts: 21,347	nearly given us a kiss of death at 3-0.

5th February 2012, 20:43	#23 (permalink)
Sir A1ex First Team Regular Join Date: Jul 2002 Location: Where the goals come from. Posts: 20,606	I love these threads. People struggle a lot with the concept of bookies giving odds on football matches. Out of interest, do you all go down to Ladbrokes if we lose and berate them for making us favourites?