Does the best team always win the league?

Team Brian GB · 10th March 2010, 18:06

Quote:

Originally Posted by Bilbo

Arsenal can beat any side in the world on their day. It just so happens that they didn't do so this season, though they could easily have won at Old Trafford. If they draw United or Chelsea in the CL next round, they wouldn't be favourites but they would have a decent chance.

That is the point they can't, their best level matches neither of ours. There is a difference between losing big four contests and getting soundly beaten again and again.

CentreForward · 10th March 2010, 18:33

No.
The best team may have the worst run of luck

Jens' Face · 10th March 2010, 21:11

So the thread made me wonder:

Given that the unpredictability and variation in results, can we talk about the distribution of results as following a pattern. E.g., would it be a normal distribution (bell-curve)? power-law distribution? Is it possible to frame my question in a sensible way or is it just stupid?

MrMarcello · 10th March 2010, 21:58

No. Most years yes but not every year. Maybe 1-2x every ten year span the best didn't win the league. B'burn '95, United '98, Arsenal '03 come to mind. Possibly could argue for Newcastle '96 and Liverpool '09. Eh fuck it, Liverpool had far too many fortunate events in their favor that altered results.

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10th March 2010, 18:33	#162 (permalink)
CentreForward Reserve Team Player Join Date: May 2009 Location: Berbaria Posts: 4,636	No. The best team may have the worst run of luck

10th March 2010, 21:11	#163 (permalink)
Jens' Face An Arse Join Date: Dec 2007 Location: where the Glazers come from Posts: 1,200	So the thread made me wonder: Given that the unpredictability and variation in results, can we talk about the distribution of results as following a pattern. E.g., would it be a normal distribution (bell-curve)? power-law distribution? Is it possible to frame my question in a sensible way or is it just stupid?

10th March 2010, 21:58	#164 (permalink)
MrMarcello No Lifer Join Date: Dec 2000 Location: Georgia Posts: 31,943	No. Most years yes but not every year. Maybe 1-2x every ten year span the best didn't win the league. B'burn '95, United '98, Arsenal '03 come to mind. Possibly could argue for Newcastle '96 and Liverpool '09. Eh fuck it, Liverpool had far too many fortunate events in their favor that altered results.