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Old 3rd June 2011, 11:48   #1 (permalink)
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Man Utd favourites to sign Sneijder and Young but not Modric

There has been plenty of speculation about who Man Utd will and won't sign this summer and it can often be frustrating hearing all the links in the newspapers only for nothing to materialise. A much better gauge of who is going where can be gained from looking at the bookies' transfer odds, as they are risking their own money on where the top players end up this summer.

It seems inevitable that Man Utd will strengthen their midfield this season, with Scholes now retired and Giggs' playing days coming to an end there certainly needs to be some new faces to freshen things up but there is also a bit of a spark missing from the centre of midfield and one player who has been very strongly linked is Tottenham's Luka Modric. The Croatian is a very talented player and it is only his goalscoring that really needs any work for him to walk into most teams in the world. He would fit in well at United but he is 4/7 to stay at Spurs for another year, if he does move then Man Utd are favourites for his signature at 2/1.

Modric would cost an arm and a leg considering he is on a long contract and Spurs don't want to sell, it might end up taking the best part of £40m to sign him (don't believe the £20m quoted in some newspapers) and a better signing at that sort of price would surely be Wesley Sneijder, who brings quality and plenty of goals to whatever side he plays for. Man Utd lead the pecking order to sign the Dutchman as they are 2/1 favourites to sign the joint top scorer from the World Cup and he could be the best bit of business United do this summer.

There could be another winger heading to Old Trafford in the shape of Ashley Young and he rates a decent bet to leave Villa Park this summer as Villa won't want to lose the player for nothing next season when his contract is up. Young would be a decent option in many matches next season and United are favourites to sign the England winger at just 1/3 and just 1/5 with another bookie, Young should be considering United's most likely signing this summer. One player who looks to be on his way elsewhere though is Charlie Adam, the Scottish midfielder looks certain to leave Blackpool but Liverpool are favourites to sign him despite reported interest from Sir Alex Ferguson.

All the latest transfer odds can be found on OLBG.com.
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Old 3rd June 2011, 11:57   #2 (permalink)
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Niall is a transfer muppet? Who knew?
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Old 3rd June 2011, 11:58   #3 (permalink)
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Old 3rd June 2011, 12:17   #4 (permalink)
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Olly inspired vid.

Spoiler


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Old 3rd June 2011, 12:17   #5 (permalink)
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Niall is a transfer muppet? Who knew?
Everybody is to varying degrees. Don't fall for the hollier than thou attitude of some of the posters.

Good post.
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Old 3rd June 2011, 12:20   #6 (permalink)
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Old 3rd June 2011, 12:23   #7 (permalink)
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Everybody is to varying degrees. Don't fall for the hollier than thou attitude of some of the posters.

Good post.
Hollier as in Houllier or as in holier?
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Old 3rd June 2011, 12:29   #8 (permalink)
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Good summarisation.

Any poster that doesn't want us to bring better players to the team is a liar.
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Old 3rd June 2011, 12:46   #9 (permalink)
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Wow


Fuck Modric if Sneijder is coming
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Old 3rd June 2011, 12:48   #10 (permalink)
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Wow


Fuck Modric if Sneijder is coming
Spoken like a true transfer muppet.
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Old 3rd June 2011, 12:55   #11 (permalink)
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It's about time we transfer muppets stopped being ashamed. I now declare...Muppet Pride week!

*fanfare on kazoo and triangle*
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Old 3rd June 2011, 12:56   #12 (permalink)
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Niall, you sellout!
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Old 3rd June 2011, 12:59   #13 (permalink)
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Niall, you sellout!
Hey, that's muppetist!
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Old 3rd June 2011, 13:00   #14 (permalink)
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if we signed those two I would be estatic!


Sneij over Modric easy
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Old 3rd June 2011, 13:05   #15 (permalink)
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We should bet £50m on signing on Modric and then bid £60m for him. £40m profit.
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Old 3rd June 2011, 13:05   #16 (permalink)
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Thread fails to deliver, was hoping for something better than just bookies odds
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Old 3rd June 2011, 13:07   #17 (permalink)
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I still think De Gea will be our only 15m+ signing.
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Old 3rd June 2011, 13:07   #18 (permalink)
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if we signed those two I would be estatic!


Sneij over Modric easy
Well I think we will know within 6 weeks - I am pretty certain the most important signings in place by our US tour
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Old 3rd June 2011, 13:39   #19 (permalink)
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We should bet £50m on signing on Modric and then bid £60m for him. £40m profit.
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Old 3rd June 2011, 13:39   #20 (permalink)
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Bookies' odds are all based on the public's reaction to transfer rumours. They don't know anything more than anyone else.

Nice summary though.
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Old 3rd June 2011, 13:51   #21 (permalink)
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Wow


Fuck Modric if Sneijder is coming
Why settle for one when we can have both?
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Old 3rd June 2011, 13:58   #22 (permalink)
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Why dont we just sign Hamsik, Sneijder, Schweinsteiger, Modric and Young!!! Lets go fucking mental
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Old 3rd June 2011, 14:01   #23 (permalink)
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Thread fails to deliver, was hoping for something better than just bookies odds
Thread's delivered the link which we're supposed to click on.

Start clicking folks..... OLBG.com.
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Old 3rd June 2011, 14:19   #24 (permalink)
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Quote:
Originally Posted by acrebo View Post
Bookies' odds are all based on the public's reaction to transfer rumours. They don't know anything more than anyone else.

Nice summary though.
This.

Go and stick a few grand on us signing Modric and he'll be odds on by the time the day is out.
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Old 3rd June 2011, 14:21   #25 (permalink)
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I still think De Gea will be our only 15m+ signing.
I can see where your coming from.. You may be right!
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Old 3rd June 2011, 14:24   #26 (permalink)
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The bookies aren't risking any money at all.
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Old 3rd June 2011, 14:59   #27 (permalink)
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I can understand why 'transfer muppets' get stick, but I don't understand why the 'nobody, never's' also don't get criticism. It seems equally absurd to instantly dismiss every piece of transfer speculation as 'bollocks' as it is being convinced it'll happen.
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Old 3rd June 2011, 15:01   #28 (permalink)
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This.

Go and stick a few grand on us signing Modric and he'll be odds on by the time the day is out.
But surely the point is that someone likely won't stick a few grand on us signing Modric unless they were fairly well informed that we'll be doing so.
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Old 3rd June 2011, 15:05   #29 (permalink)
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A genuine word of warning to anyone considering betting on a players next move or next manager markets. They are easily the bookies most profitable markets. Its literally a win win market for them.
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Old 3rd June 2011, 15:19   #30 (permalink)
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Someone needs to edit this gif so that he stops mid f-a-p and aborts with a disappointed look on his face... maybe with a caftard post rubbishing the rumour flashing up just before he aborts... that would sum up this thread, and be hilarious all in one...
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Old 3rd June 2011, 16:07   #31 (permalink)
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But surely the point is that someone likely won't stick a few grand on us signing Modric unless they were fairly well informed that we'll be doing so.
Or they read in the papers that we're after him, read his comments about Champions League football, remember the Carrick and Berbatov transfers and know that Paul Scholes has retired... they put two and two together they stick a few grand on Modric.

I bet there are transfer muppets everywhere, willing to risk money for sheer muppetry.
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Old 3rd June 2011, 16:11   #32 (permalink)
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But surely the point is that someone likely won't stick a few grand on us signing Modric unless they were fairly well informed that we'll be doing so.
History proves otherwise. Odds generally reflect betting markets, so everytime you see a transfer or managers sacking/appointment at odds on and it doesn't happen it means loads of people have laid money for the odds to get to that stage and they've lost out.

When you see something like 'betting has been suspended on X manager leaving X club' (like happened with Rafa at Liverpool about a hundred times) it usually follows a flurry of betting activity which the bookies will assume is based on insider knowledge.
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Old 3rd June 2011, 16:52   #33 (permalink)
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Bookies' odds are all based on the public's reaction to transfer rumours. They don't know anything more than anyone else.

Nice summary though.
This isn't entirely true. Bookies definitely follow betting trends to a certain extent, but I used to work for a big spread betting company as a broker, and you'd be very surprised how much inside information these guys come by. My old boss has an unbelievable list of sporting contacts.

As Niall says, they are gambling on this stuff with their own money, so it pays to keep an eye on the odds.
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Old 3rd June 2011, 16:53   #34 (permalink)
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These odds mean fuck all really. Its all based on newspaper hype and most of the time they have no clue what is going to happen.
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Old 3rd June 2011, 19:46   #35 (permalink)
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Quote:
Originally Posted by towcester_red View Post
Why dont we just sign Hamsik, Sneijder, Schweinsteiger, Modric and Young!!! Lets go fucking mental
If we did not have any debt and if we had a sugar daddy, then maybe!
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Old 3rd June 2011, 20:37   #36 (permalink)
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We should bet £50m on signing on Modric and then bid £60m for him. £40m profit.
Tbh you sir are a genius.
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Old 3rd June 2011, 21:46   #37 (permalink)
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Topic of the week, right here!
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Old 3rd June 2011, 22:30   #38 (permalink)
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We should bet £50m on signing on Modric and then bid £60m for him. £40m profit.
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