World Cup Betting Thread

Discussion in 'Football Forum' started by Samid, May 21, 2018.

  1. May 21, 2018
    #1

    Samid follows Pogue around, fixing his images

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    I fancy a punt on Isco @ 67. He has 8 goals in 9 apps since the start of 2017 and Spain are bound to go deep in the tournament.
  2. May 21, 2018
    #2

    shaky Full Member

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    Also on Isco. I fancy Spain to go all the way and he's going be a regular starter, so should get plenty of opportunities. Muller maybe worth a look at 33/1 but can't see much else that grabs me.
    Spain and Belgium are my 2 picks for the cup.
  3. May 21, 2018
    #3

    a_devil_inside Big footed hermaphrodite

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    Stuck a £1 on Giroud to be top scorer
  4. May 21, 2018
    #4

    Mr Bridger New Member

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    I've had £30 on Edinson Cavani to be top scorer @25/1 :wenger:
  5. May 21, 2018
    #5

    shaky Full Member

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    Griezmann, Lukaku and Falcao to be top scorers for their countries, treble pays 35/1 with victor.
  6. May 21, 2018
    #6

    711 Full Member Scout

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    16 x £30 bets on each first round game to draw, simply because they're all so shit scared of losing the first. £480 seems a lot for a poor person like me, but I don't actually expect to lose much, or win much, it's just for the interest.

    Other than that, tempted to back Belgium as value.
  7. May 21, 2018
    #7

    devil in me Full Member

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    I got on Isco a few weeks ago, too. Great value I think. Had a little bit on Lukaku, too. As for the winners, I can't see past Spain.
  8. May 29, 2018
    #8

    Samid follows Pogue around, fixing his images

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    We have a challenge for you. A £100 Million Challenge

  9. May 29, 2018
    #9

    Foxtrot New Member

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    Is this for real? £100 million is a ridiculous prize money and even though its hard, predicting just the win/draw/lose for every game isn't impossible.
  10. May 29, 2018
    #10

    Cal? CR7 fan

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    Actually less, 48 games with 3 outcomes and the remaining 16 with 2 outcomes

    Only 5.227573613486e27 possible outcomes. ;)
  11. May 29, 2018
    #11

    Revan Assumptionman

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    Even if chances of predicting each game are 80% (in reality, it is lower than it), chances of predicting all 64 of them would be 6 in a million.
  12. May 29, 2018
    #12

    JB08 Searches for nude pics of Marcos Rojo

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    6/1,000,000 are some absurdly good odds for a £100m prize though.
  13. May 29, 2018
    #13

    Revan Assumptionman

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    Indeed. But prob for each game is less than 0.8 though.
  14. May 29, 2018
    #14

    shaky Full Member

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    An accumulator on the shortest priced outcome of each of the 48 group matches works out at about a 460 billion to one chance according to my calculations.
  15. May 30, 2018
    #15

    NoPace Full Member

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    It's early, but I'm starting to research the following bets:

    To Qualify
    Morocco +400
    Have enough quality to trouble Portugal and could get an advantage over them if they earn a point against Spain playing defensively with it being Spain's 3rd game and maybe them playing some reserves or if Iran can nullify Portugal to a 0-0 or 1-1 draw.

    To Not Qualify
    Australia -550
    Literally have never heard of any of their defenders and while Mooy isn't bad there just isn't enough quality here to get 4 points against Peru and Denmark or trouble France

    South Korea -350
    +1 GD in 10 games in a group with Iran, Syria, Uzbekistan, China and Qatar is terrible and assuming Germany makes it I don't fancy them to finish ahead of both Mexico and Sweden, 2 basically competent sides that offer a completely different playing style. Maybe the Koreans beat or draw one, but tough to see them getting 4 points.

    Other
    Portugal to finish bottom of group +1100
    Unlikely, but great odds considering they've sputtered in group twice in the last 4 times, Spain are great and Iran only conceded 2 goals in qualifying and Morocco are decent. If Spain beat Portugal on matchday 1 and then Morocco and Portugal draw or Morocco wins, this bet can be hedged anyways.

    Tunisia to finish bottom of group +170
    Everyone has Panama finishing bottom but Tunisia don't look so great and it might come down to goal difference and how many Belgium batter these sides by. Seems like it's worth the odds of a small Panama upset over Tunisia or a draw and GD going my way

    Switzerland to finish bottom of group +400
    Brazil goes through, Serbia and Switzerland should fight for 2nd but Costa Rica aren't that bad and they play a 5 man defence that looks decent and has some aerial strength. The Swiss might not score more than 1-2 goals with Seferovic up top.

    Australia to finish bottom of group -125
    See above, and Peru aren't so bad and Denmark are probably even decent.

    Australia not to win a group game -138
    I think I like this one even better. A draw against Peru or Denmark or both and I still win.

    Senegal to win a group game -250
    Steep-ish odds, but Japan, Colombia and Poland are 3 very different opponents stylistically, Mane and Koulibaly 2 of the better players in the group, they're not overly reliant on extreme youth or old legs and their athletic Prem midfielders are not pretty to watch but do all work their socks off. Seems like enough for a group win.

    Top Goalscorer
    Lukaku +1800

    Panama and Tunisia could be romps and I'd back him to score against England too. De Bruyne, Meunier, Mertens and Hazard should be looking for him a fair amount.

    Mitrovic +15000
    Playing well and starting upfront for a team with an apparent $100M #10 in SMS to supply him and Kolarov to hit crosses and set pieces. Serbia's height might give him a decent matchup or two on those set pieces.

    Ozil +10000
    Obviously Muller and Werner will probably outscore him, but he's got 22 in 89 at International level and it doesn't seem crazy to think he could get 4-5 in 6 games and be up there with a shout to win it in the final
  16. May 31, 2018
    #16

    paulscholes18 Full Member

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    If you somehow made it to the final game, I wonder if they will try and make a tempting offer
  17. May 31, 2018
    #17

    ROFLUTION Full Member

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    What does this -125 and +15000 mean? And on what platform did you find the bet on Australia to not win a group game?
  18. May 31, 2018
    #18

    Samid follows Pogue around, fixing his images

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    Positive figures state the winnings if the stake is 100 dollars (or whatever currency you're using). Negatives state how much you have to bet to win a 100 dollar profit.

    I don't understand why everyone doesn't just use decimal odds. It's as simple as it gets.
  19. May 31, 2018
    #19

    MUFC OK Full Member

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    I've an accumulator of
    Group A: Uruguay Winner
    Group B: Spain and Morocco to qualify
    Group C: France and Denmark to qualify
    Group D: Argentina Winner
    Group E: Brazil Winner
    Group F: Germany Winner
    Group G: England and Belgium to qualify
    Group H: Columbia and Poland to qualify
    @ 429/1 - £5 returns £2145
  20. May 31, 2018
    #20

    LawCharltonBest Enjoys watching fox porn

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    Paul Pogba top scorer isn't out of the question. He'll surely play further up for France than United play him and he'll have a ridiculous team (Griezmann, Kante, Mbappe etc) around him.
  21. May 31, 2018
    #21

    RedPed Full Member

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    Agree. Fractional and the very weird American odds are so convoluted. Guess it's what people are used to I suppose, like the old metric vs imperial debate.

    I always work with decimal odds though. Easier to visualise.
  22. May 31, 2018
    #22

    JJ12 Correctly predicted Portugal to win Euro 2016

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    I’m on him and Uruguay as outsiders :wenger:
  23. May 31, 2018
    #23

    Cal? CR7 fan

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    Cristiano will make you cry, again... ;)
  24. May 31, 2018
    #24

    MUFC OK Full Member

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    Well he hasn't before. I've got the same on with Portugal to qualify, though only returns £299 from £5
  25. May 31, 2018
    #25

    Cal? CR7 fan

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    To be honest, it all looks good, but personally I think the problem with this type of accumulators is that some team always messes up.

    At a guess Morocco and Poland in the one you posted.
  26. May 31, 2018
    #26

    MUFC OK Full Member

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    You're right, that's the issue with trying to predict it all. Low stakes though for a bit of fun :)
  27. May 31, 2018
    #27

    Arbitrium Taking a year off

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    Spain are my winners against France in the final, which is not what I picked before deciding on what the result of every game should be.

    Germany knock England out in the quarters
  28. Jun 4, 2018
    #28

    Samid follows Pogue around, fixing his images

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    Isco to score over 1.5 goals @ 1.90
    Since I'm backing Isco as a long shot for the golden boot I also have to fancy him to achieve this.
  29. Jun 4, 2018
    #29

    ROFLUTION Full Member

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    Where can you do accumulators? I find that most of these only works for singles
  30. Jun 4, 2018
    #30

    ROFLUTION Full Member

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    Where?
  31. Jun 4, 2018
    #31

    ROFLUTION Full Member

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    Will he? He's played in a midfield two with Kante a lot of times. That was mainly his role at the euros.
  32. Jun 4, 2018
    #32

    Samid follows Pogue around, fixing his images

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    Unibet.
  33. Jun 5, 2018
    #33

    MUFC OK Full Member

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    I used skybet to place this acca
  34. Jun 5, 2018
    #34

    Danny Roberts Full Member

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    Some interesting million pound acca-type promos at BetVictor and Coral. Lookiong forward to some more interesting offers and stuff too.
  35. Jun 6, 2018
    #35

    Danny Roberts Full Member

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    It's 3 outcomes for every game. It ain't happening. It's not impossible, of course but a fairer prize would be more like £500BN.
  36. Jun 6, 2018
    #36

    Cal? CR7 fan

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    From the knockout stage you only select the wknner? :confused:
  37. Jun 6, 2018
    #37

    Danny Roberts Full Member

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    Do you? I haven't actually seen the Ts and cs or the offer, just saw the add which said win, lose or draw. Even so, don't think it's gonna make much difference to the staggeringly huge odds of success!
  38. Jun 6, 2018
    #38

    Big Andy Is really a midget

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    I'm hoping BET365 do a load of their free bet offers for the World Cup...
  39. Jun 6, 2018
    #39

    Danny Roberts Full Member

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    Hmm, think they are all customer-specific these days so if you bet with them a lot and don't hit their weak lines you probably will get a few.
  40. Jun 6, 2018
    #40

    Big Andy Is really a midget

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    I've had the last few, FA Cup, Champions LEague, etc...but I only get £25 instead of the £50...