4bars
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I really like the Trunp thread and I read a lot of possibilities on a Iran invasion. I am no expert and I have some questions:
Why it would be so disruptive?
I even read that it would be similar than a world war. Is not over considering the importance of Iran? No country backs Iran up. They have the most powerful country in the world as enemy, has as an enemy Israel, arguably the nation that has more influences in the western world and has as enemy SA, the most powerful Arab nation and that is clearly winning the balance of power in the region
All other countries in the region had been taken care of little by little. Iraq, Afghanistan, Syria, Egypt, Lybia are in tatters. Jordan is the only one unscathed and probably ignoring everything that happens around them. Turkey is a US ally, Iemen is getting destroyed by SA, US, UK and France (?), Qatar is already under sanctions from SA and his Allies. Iraq is basically alone
Importance because of the oil? Sure it has lots of reserves and the oil will go up. But SA and UAE sure they would gladly increase their production if that would mean an invasion on Iran and is not that the barrel had never been way over 100$
Russia. How much saying has? We have been seen what US, UK and France cared in Syria and I don't think Putin has enough power/influence to say anything on a region that is way far from his area of influence.
I definitely not know anything about it and I know there are many experts in the Arab region. Could you guess the chances of such a thing to happen, rough implications and who most likely would back up Iran and Us and in which way?
Why it would be so disruptive?
I even read that it would be similar than a world war. Is not over considering the importance of Iran? No country backs Iran up. They have the most powerful country in the world as enemy, has as an enemy Israel, arguably the nation that has more influences in the western world and has as enemy SA, the most powerful Arab nation and that is clearly winning the balance of power in the region
All other countries in the region had been taken care of little by little. Iraq, Afghanistan, Syria, Egypt, Lybia are in tatters. Jordan is the only one unscathed and probably ignoring everything that happens around them. Turkey is a US ally, Iemen is getting destroyed by SA, US, UK and France (?), Qatar is already under sanctions from SA and his Allies. Iraq is basically alone
Importance because of the oil? Sure it has lots of reserves and the oil will go up. But SA and UAE sure they would gladly increase their production if that would mean an invasion on Iran and is not that the barrel had never been way over 100$
Russia. How much saying has? We have been seen what US, UK and France cared in Syria and I don't think Putin has enough power/influence to say anything on a region that is way far from his area of influence.
I definitely not know anything about it and I know there are many experts in the Arab region. Could you guess the chances of such a thing to happen, rough implications and who most likely would back up Iran and Us and in which way?