Wouldn't the bookies just void any bets on that though?
Football & Sports Betting Thread 2019/2020
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I'm two and a half hours deep into the Racing Post football pull-out, not even half way 
Anyone else gotten it?
Have a few other things to go through as well then work out come ante-post singles and multis before the Football League gets underway Friday night.
Anyone else gotten it?
Have a few other things to go through as well then work out come ante-post singles and multis before the Football League gets underway Friday night.
Nah, because every bookie is wrong it isn’t a palp. It’s in line with the market so it’s deemed fair price.
My mate is the head trader at Skybet. I smashed all their markets on Thursday night and messaged him after to laugh about their error.
He messaged me today saying he complained to the company that provides their prices about the error, their response was that there was no error as every bookie had similar prices. Complete morons the people doing this.
Think this initial drop is mainly due to people knowing the 4-0 wasn’t a fair result. Don’t think it’s anything to do with a potential fix yet. Hoping for a big drop in play. Teuta kicked off 2.3 to win and we’re 1.5 after 20 minutes, a similar drop would be great.
Jumping on these is sure fire way to get banned though isn't it?
Skybet didn’t limit anyone for this bet as it was deemed fair value. Generally yes though it is. Can make £10k pretty easily from these normally though so it’s worth losing the account for. Would just get limited to 10% normally so if you’re on small stakes it isn’t an issue for most people. They wouldn’t limit if you were just betting small stakes on it.
Yeah, close call that one, 87m equalizer and 94m winner!
All in all a fair result though.CL qualifier, Maccabi T-A vs CFR, BTTS @2,5 Bet365, small bet.
Edit; 1-1 after 18m bet in, now a punt on Madrid vs Spurs @8.40
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Nice one JD that Btts has come in too! I'm on a bit of a roll now, that's three winning bets in a row. Unfortunately they were all for relatively small stakes, so typically what happens now is I tend to become over confident, increase stake and lose everythingYeah, close call that one, 87m equalizer and 94m winner!
CL qualifier, Maccabi T-A vs CFR, BTTS @2,5 Bet365, small bet.
Edit; 1-1 after 18m bet in, now a punt on Madrid vs Spurs @8.40
Common mistake that, betting quivalent of the guy entering the stockmarket when everybody has already made their money. If you follow punters with proven track records, try to start following or increase when they're in a little slump and been below their expected ROI for the last few games!Nice one JD that Btts has come in too! I'm on a bit of a roll now, that's three winning bets in a row. Unfortunately they were all for relatively small stakes, so typically what happens now is I tend to become over confident, increase stake and lose everything
Just had a small punt on Utd @5/1 live,edit; Glad to see the penalty and following conversion, Kristiansund were played very low towards the end.
Trondheims-Orn W -2 vs Floya W @2,05 in norwegian cup tomorrow(Marathon), small bet. Fløya top of the division below, gulf in class should be too great though.
Annoying they lost, was a good win for me if they won.
3-0 FT, thought they'd win by more but was very one sided.
This is a good bet, think 4-0 or something FT. Played a decent lineup last round so expecting same again. Stabaek beat Ovrevoll last round as well 2-1. Decent comparison I think given Stabaek are a lot poorer than Tronds.
Hopefully! Also had a little on o4,5 @2,89 on Expekt, think there is easily a 1 in 3 chance that this goes over.
Any view on FC Copenhagen - TNS? Think the market is overrating TNS here, expect 3/4-0 scoreline at least....
Edit; Gone with FCK o2,5 to 0 @2,37(B365), medium stake. Market has TNS goal @30%, think that is too high, and FCK should easily score 3 here. Added a little punt on same /w FCK o4,5 @6,5.
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Fair enough. Can't see how they deemed it fair value though!
Trondheims-Ørn gave away an early 2-0 lead, but at least their overtime 3-2 goal saved the o4.5 so just a small loss.
Had a nice little bet on Spurs HT result @ 3.60.
Spurs went with a much stronger lineup. Would have posted but my phone died and I forgot my charger at work!
Spurs went with a much stronger lineup. Would have posted but my phone died and I forgot my charger at work!
I've got too many ante-post fancies 
if I done them all i'd be on a very limited bank for the next nine months
Going to have to come up with some accumulator permutations.
if I done them all i'd be on a very limited bank for the next nine months Going to have to come up with some accumulator permutations.
Flamengo to qualify @ 2.20
Lost the first leg 2-0 surprisingly against Emelec who they really should be beating.
Lost the first leg 2-0 surprisingly against Emelec who they really should be beating.
Gone for BK Hacken to win tonight; Jeremejeff (missed the 1st leg last week) and Paulinho (rested in their previous league game) will be key.
I think these matches will go over 2.5 goals - all the home teams are down in the 1st leg: Sturm Graz v Haugesund, Viitorul v Gent & possibly Maccabi Haifa v Strasbourg
I think these matches will go over 2.5 goals - all the home teams are down in the 1st leg: Sturm Graz v Haugesund, Viitorul v Gent & possibly Maccabi Haifa v Strasbourg
Starting to look a bit fixed by the odds now. Will see how the odds change in play.
Pinnacle has Vettel to win Hungarian GP this Sunday @10.3. He had a fantastic race in Germany (considering he started from P20 after an embarrasment of qualifiers, which was the fault of the team), he loves the track and he is in a good mood, perhaps slowly finding his form - and he's a driver that tends to go on good or bad streaks. He was second here last year and won in 2017. I see some value here, Ferrari sooner or later will win the race and stop being unlucky/stupid with the car, engine performed great when it worked and one could make a case that without technical issues their car is the fastest one and able to win against anyone. Hamilton remains favorite, but Verstappen is also on low odds (around 3.25, I'd love to back him but that's too little) and many things can happen - especially with a good chance of rain during Saturday qualifiers (and in Germany it was raining, Seb did great). Sunday can be very hot, which leads us back to issues of Mercedes' tyres overheating (which I pointed during Austrian GP, won by Verstappen). Practice1 tomorrow, it will probably not tell us much but if Ferrari performs very well and without technical issues I can see odds being slashed.
Putting some money on Vettel finally getting the somewhat deserved first win of the season (after quite gutting loss in Canada), E/W seems a decent bet too but I like win better - if the car goes south and Scuderia fecks up again, he's toast, so it's one way or another. Leclerc valued @11 which is a bit of a longer shot and I don't advise following me on this too much, but if the stars align (i.e. hot Sunday, car works well, he drives without errors) he can also grab his first win here. Will be a good race.
Putting some money on Vettel finally getting the somewhat deserved first win of the season (after quite gutting loss in Canada), E/W seems a decent bet too but I like win better - if the car goes south and Scuderia fecks up again, he's toast, so it's one way or another. Leclerc valued @11 which is a bit of a longer shot and I don't advise following me on this too much, but if the stars align (i.e. hot Sunday, car works well, he drives without errors) he can also grab his first win here. Will be a good race.
So, any good tips for seasonal bets now as the season approaches? Some suggestions:
I think Burnley will do well, no EL-qualification to disrupt this summer, 1,55 to stay in EPL/7,00 for T10.
Brighton should struggle, totally changing their system with limited players, dont see that ending well. 2,90 to go down. Duffy/Dunk leaving?
Saints have looked good in pre-season, good manager, think their counterpress will be efficient and give them lots of goals. Best southern is 2,25 - 3,75 for T10, o41,5 points @1,86
Spurs top London club 2.20 and best without city @6.00, Kane top scorer is 5.50.
I also think Pompey will do in well in L1, t3/t6 is at 1,8/3,5.
Others? Anyone on the Championship? Like to play accas on these with comboes from different divisions, to not tie up too much money....
I think Burnley will do well, no EL-qualification to disrupt this summer, 1,55 to stay in EPL/7,00 for T10.
Brighton should struggle, totally changing their system with limited players, dont see that ending well. 2,90 to go down. Duffy/Dunk leaving?
Saints have looked good in pre-season, good manager, think their counterpress will be efficient and give them lots of goals. Best southern is 2,25 - 3,75 for T10, o41,5 points @1,86
Spurs top London club 2.20 and best without city @6.00, Kane top scorer is 5.50.
I also think Pompey will do in well in L1, t3/t6 is at 1,8/3,5.
Others? Anyone on the Championship? Like to play accas on these with comboes from different divisions, to not tie up too much money....
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I went for Newcastle to go down at 4.50 before Bruce was announced. My reckoning Bruce will be gone by Christmas and it'll be too late for a new manager to turn it around by then.
Torino -1 AH @ 1.80
Playing a full strength side, minus Falque. Should have more than enough for Debreceni
Playing a full strength side, minus Falque. Should have more than enough for Debreceni
Got a tip few weeks ago for MOJITO, it won well, it’s back out again tomorrow 3.00 Goodwood 7/2 if anyone wants it, really fancy it...... fingers crossed
Good call! Nice one mate
2-2 FT. Gzira dominated entire game and conceded 2 screamers. Ventspils fixed to concede a last minute goal as well. Would have been fixed to win if it was a draw late on, frustrating.
My bad, I followed this one
Cashed out at half time so small winMy bad, I followed this one
Yeah I looked at it too, then forgot to do it
oh well! It was close!Anyone able to find odds on Dybala staying at juve?
Middlesbrough seems high away to Luton tonight?
Luton have a compact ground and can make it hard for visitors. Can imagining it being a tough place to go for a season opener with them so pumped up for it.
Apart from being an opener, I think this has goal fest written on it. Luton full of confidence after last year want to make an impact, and Woodgate promising Boro fans attacking football. Change of system should leave Boro vulnerable at the back if so.
0-0 it is then !
True that!
So far weekend smells shite for Ferrari, but I'm waiting to see how qualifiers go tomorrow. Perhaps Verstappen at 3.25 wasn't so bad, Red Bull looks on fire during the practice (and won't be surprised to see Max taking the pole). Will be a good race x2
Had £400 on it bollocks
Luton v Boro BTTS @ 1.90
Already on that, so cash it out! I have shititus today, both Ruud and Vesely thrown away big leads for me so far
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