Football & Sports Betting Thread 2019/2020

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madRedDevil07

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365 offering shot markets again for tonight's match. All of these very far from my own prices.

Sheffield v West Ham
- under 23.5 shots @ 1.83
- over 8.5 shots on target @ 2.00
- Sheffield over 4.5 shots on target @ 1.90
- Sheffield under 13.5 shots @ 2.00
Did some research and total shots under 23.5 and Sheffield shots under 13.5 shots looks pretty good as per the trend .I have gone for these two.
 

madRedDevil07

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Did some research and total shots under 23.5 and Sheffield shots under 13.5 shots looks pretty good as per the trend .I have gone for these two.
Won one and lost one as per Bet365. Official premier league account and bbc says Sheffield has 13 shots in total. I am not sure how they settled it as lost.
 

Pagh Wraith

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Sky has it at 13 shots as well. Pretty sure it's about the one from the goal line that West Ham's goalkeeper blocked. But since that was going away from goal I don't know how that can be counted as a shot.
 

madRedDevil07

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Sky has it at 13 shots as well. Pretty sure it's about the one from the goal line that West Ham's goalkeeper blocked. But since that was going away from goal I don't know how that can be counted as a shot.
Yeah - every website has Sheffield with 13 shots( whoscored and Opta as well). Hopefully, they will revert the settlement.
 

Spiersey

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Small on Psv win at 1.9 tomorrow v Eupen.

Rarely pre friendlies without team news but logically this looks great to me. Ajax played Eupen a couple of days ago, it was all Ajax kids. Basically their Jong side. They kicked off 1.8 for the win and were so dominant that they traded on a -1 asian from 1 and 2-0. Could have won by more, slowed down a bit second half.

Psv played Brugge a couple days ago, played a mixed side both halves. Lost 2-1 but traded on 0 Asians pre. Brugge were -2.25 at home to Eupen in the league.

Psv should play a strong side for 60 minutes + as generally teams give players more minutes in the 2nd friendly. Missing Malen and Bergwijn with injuries annoyingly but rest of team should be fine.

I’ve got 1.4 fair for win, can’t have them a bigger price than Ajax kids were anyway. Will be a good bet unless they play all reserves or the first team have zero intensity.
 

Pagh Wraith

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Shot bets for the televised matches:

Palace v Arsenal
- under 9.5 shots on target @ 1.83
- Arsenel under 5.5 shots on target @ 1.80

Spurs v Liverpool
- Liverpool over 6.5 shots on target @ 2.62
- under 25.5 shots @ 1.83
- Liverpool under 15.5 shots @ 2.10
 

Spiersey

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Livingston +1.5@1.8 is good later on v Anderlecht. Anderlecht played this morning, used most of their first team. Will be a mix of reserves + kids v Livingston I think. Only thing putting me off having a solid stake on is that Livingston lost to Ajax Jong B team (were missing all their best players with the Ajax first team). Very embarrassing result, should hopefully give them more motivation here.
 

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On Norwich not to score at 2.12 small stake.

I guess its Norwich 3rd or 4th choice striker up front. Cons are that Williams likes to go forward and has Buendia to keep an eye on. Cantwell in form too, but odds seems a tad high
 

Spiersey

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Small on Psv win at 1.9 tomorrow v Eupen.

Rarely pre friendlies without team news but logically this looks great to me. Ajax played Eupen a couple of days ago, it was all Ajax kids. Basically their Jong side. They kicked off 1.8 for the win and were so dominant that they traded on a -1 asian from 1 and 2-0. Could have won by more, slowed down a bit second half.

Psv played Brugge a couple days ago, played a mixed side both halves. Lost 2-1 but traded on 0 Asians pre. Brugge were -2.25 at home to Eupen in the league.

Psv should play a strong side for 60 minutes + as generally teams give players more minutes in the 2nd friendly. Missing Malen and Bergwijn with injuries annoyingly but rest of team should be fine.

I’ve got 1.4 fair for win, can’t have them a bigger price than Ajax kids were anyway. Will be a good bet unless they play all reserves or the first team have zero intensity.
Went 1.3 inplay for the win, conceded a freak goal to go 1 down and missed big chances and a couple woodies. Lost 2-1, played kids 2nd half but were still better team. Friendlies always a bit random.
 

Pagh Wraith

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Shot bets for the televised matches:

Palace v Arsenal
- under 9.5 shots on target @ 1.83 WIN
- Arsenel under 5.5 shots on target @ 1.80 WIN

Spurs v Liverpool
- Liverpool over 6.5 shots on target @ 2.62 WIN
- under 25.5 shots @ 1.83 LOSS
- Liverpool under 15.5 shots @ 2.10 WIN
4/5
 

Spiersey

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Livingston +1.5@1.8 is good later on v Anderlecht. Anderlecht played this morning, used most of their first team. Will be a mix of reserves + kids v Livingston I think. Only thing putting me off having a solid stake on is that Livingston lost to Ajax Jong B team (were missing all their best players with the Ajax first team). Very embarrassing result, should hopefully give them more motivation here.
1-1 FT, played 3 x30 so some sites will void.

Sporting -1.5 is a bet I think. Pretty public bet and it's moved from -0.5 to -1.5, but the team for Setubal looks poor. The players fit should still have some effect from the illness also. Would say 2/3-0 FT
 

ROFLUTION

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1-1 FT, played 3 x30 so some sites will void.

Sporting -1.5 is a bet I think. Pretty public bet and it's moved from -0.5 to -1.5, but the team for Setubal looks poor. The players fit should still have some effect from the illness also. Would say 2/3-0 FT
Cheers. What's a good value-odds for -1.5?
 

Pagh Wraith

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Bournemouth v Watford
- under 8.5 shots on target @ 2.10

Aston Villa v Man City
- over 9.5 shots on target @ 1.72
- Villa over 3.5 shots on target @ 2.50
- City over 6.5 shots on target @ 1.72
- over 26.5 shots @ 1.83
- City over 18.5 shots @ 2.00
 

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Bournemouth v Watford
Aston Villa v Man City
PSG
v Monaco
Roma v Juventus

£10 wins £75 back on Sky bet. Worth a go I reckon.
 

Pagh Wraith

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Premier League bets for the weekend:

Sheffield United v West Ham, West Ham 0.5 @2.07loss
Sheffield United v West Ham, under 2.25 @2.16win
Crystal Palace v Arsenal, Crystal Palace 0.5 @2.09win
Crystal Palace v Arsenal, under 2.75 @1.96win
Chelsea v Burnley, Burnley 1.5 @2.04loss
Chelsea v Burnley, under 2.75 @2.11half-loss
Everton v Brighton, under 2.5 @2.03win
Leicester v Southampton, Southampton 1 @2.04win
Leicester v Southampton, under 2.75 @2.09half-loss
Man United v Norwich, Norwich 1.5 @2.03loss
Man United v Norwich, under 3 @2.01loss
Tottenham v Liverpool, under 2.75 @2.19win
Bournemouth v Watford, Bournemouth -0.25 @2.25loss
Bournemouth v Watford, under 2.5 @2loss
Aston Villa v Man City, over 4 @2.21win
+0.68 units
 

Pagh Wraith

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Bournemouth v Watford
- under 8.5 shots on target @ 2.10 WIN

Aston Villa v Man City
- over 9.5 shots on target @ 1.72 WIN
- Villa over 3.5 shots on target @ 2.50 LOSS
- City over 6.5 shots on target @ 1.72 WIN
- over 26.5 shots @ 1.83 WIN
- City over 18.5 shots @ 2.00 WIN
5/6 for the shot bets
 

André Dominguez

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PSG was the dream destroyer. If they had won I would be 4917€ richer from a 10 game Acca. Bloody hell! Never been so gutted in my life!
 

M15 Red.

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Just watched Gary Smith (Tamworth's co manager) give an interview on YouTube in which he said only 6/7 first team players will be involved for Tamworth tonight away to Kidsgrove in the County Cup. Expecting Kidsgrove to field a strong 11. The teams met in the same competition last year and Kidsgrove won 6-0 so I've taken Kidsgrove draw no bet tonight @2.20.
 

ROFLUTION

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Just watched Gary Smith (Tamworth's co manager) give an interview on YouTube in which he said only 6/7 first team players will be involved for Tamworth tonight away to Kidsgrove in the County Cup. Expecting Kidsgrove to field a strong 11. The teams met in the same competition last year and Kidsgrove won 6-0 so I've taken Kidsgrove draw no bet tonight @2.20.
Cheers, sounds like a banker
 

M15 Red.

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Parma Vs Lecce at 7:45pm. Parma are running at a match goal post 70 mins in 88% of home games in Seria A this season (8/9) whilst Lecce are running at 77% (7/9). Looks one to keep an eye on in play.
 

2 man midfield

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No, trying to avoid it anyway as I saw PSG were winning, at home, whilst being top. Ugh.
In fairness Monaco were probably good value for their point, but the equalising goal is some next level shit. VAR at its finest.
 

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On Al Riffa Win tomorrow at 2.3 in AFC.

Chennai are I-League, which is essentially the 2nd tier of India. ISL is where all the top players play, locals and foreigns. Manzi moved to Albirex (best player by a mile), replacement can't play tomorrow. Riffa are decent, got a lot of Bahrain intys. Bahrain were faves against India last time they played, and India consist of all ISL players. Think they should be comfortably better. Isn't at Chennai's normal stadium either.
 

André Dominguez

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On Al Riffa Win tomorrow at 2.3 in AFC.

Chennai are I-League, which is essentially the 2nd tier of India. ISL is where all the top players play, locals and foreigns. Manzi moved to Albirex (best player by a mile), replacement can't play tomorrow. Riffa are decent, got a lot of Bahrain intys. Bahrain were faves against India last time they played, and India consist of all ISL players. Think they should be comfortably better. Isn't at Chennai's normal stadium either.
The odd is down to 1.86 now. Is it still worth it?
 
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