SARS CoV-2 coronavirus / Covid-19 (No tin foil hat silliness please)

Wibble

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I haven’t seen stats but all my GP friends are saying that the number of “normal” infections they see, day to day, have fallen off a cliff. Although it’s possible that this is mainly driven by people suffering in silence, because they’re scared to visit their doctor.
Probably that is true but combined with social distancing and other measures reducing colds and flu to a large degree. I also wonder if people are having the flu shot more? I know our company free flu shot scheme has had a far higher uptake this year.
 

SteveJ

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Stop me if you think that you've heard this one before:

'Director of Public Health in Blackburn. He was told TODAY at 5pm that he starts a tracing system in 10 hours.

He has:

- No information on system protocol

- No additional resources in place locally

- 0 standard operating procedures'
 

Pogue Mahone

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Probably that is true but combined with social distancing and other measures reducing colds and flu to a large degree. I also wonder if people are having the flu shot more? I know our company free flu shot scheme has had a far higher uptake this year.
We’re already through the flu season in the Nothern Hemisphere. In Ireland, the flu vaccine will be free for all kids before the next season. So that will hopefully put a dent in our perennial flu epidemic.
 

UnrelatedPsuedo

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What do you guys think of Tony Robbins take on things? This undermines the pandemic.

Examples of putting Covid down on death certs is a staggeringly simple example of the American healthcare system and the stupidity of all involved.

Set it up for-profit, then complain about people possibly gaming the system and making money from it.

Tony Robbins is a ridiculous feck-knuckle anyway. But he must know what he’s doing by putting that out there.
 

Sparky Rhiwabon

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When does everyone think we'll be able to see someone outside of our household within 2 metres? Ie grandparents, partners etc. 2m could be 200m when you want a hug/shag. I'm hoping it's part of the June 15th proposed change but they aren't announcing it until then as people would just start it tomorrow if they did.
I think most people are seeing close relatives now if they live reasonably local (less than 260 miles!). Especially now after Boris said Cummings was fine. They won’t be publicising it on here of course.
 

antsmithmk

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I think most people are seeing close relatives now if they live reasonably local (less than 260 miles!). Especially now after Boris said Cummings was fine. They won’t be publicising it on here of course.
Yep. Both sets of grandparents to our kids have asked us too go and visit on the end of their driveway.
 

Smores

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I think most people are seeing close relatives now if they live reasonably local (less than 260 miles!). Especially now after Boris said Cummings was fine. They won’t be publicising it on here of course.
I'd be interested to see a thread poll on this as i don't think its anywhere close to a majority.

My close circle of friends are all still following the guidance so it's only really my chavy neighbours on one side that I'm aware of breaking it so far.
 

UnrelatedPsuedo

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It's been almost 4 weeks since Italy was allowed back outside and 2 weeks since most businesses were allowed to repoen, and still no rise in cases. The only thing that hasn't resumed is lots of people being allowed to cram indoors. Maybe this is all we need to avoid to kill the virus off.


What is also interesting is that Italy is beginning to add the random serological tests to the new case numbers and in the area they are doing it it is doubling the figures.
This kind of thinking is creeping back into conversation. Surely its only indicative of there being less virus in the populations, awareness being high, and social distancing having an effect.

If the world goes back to the old normal tomorrow, we’d be back to square one within a month or two.
 

SteveJ

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My local newspaper has an article directly beneath one of '8 new deaths, biggest rise since Friday' headlined by 'Grab your popcorn - cinema due to reopen'. Unbelievable...
Leaving aside the 'get back to work' business-driven push, for some people this virus is like leaking radiation - if they can't see, taste or smell it, wishful thinking means that the virus doesn't exist.
 

Stactix

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Went shopping yesterday on Monday bad idea. but there was a crowd of people just standing around certainly not social distancing, looked like people waiting for a coach.

Inside, social distancing was impossible.
Then while getting served the cashiers relief came and supervisor all in the little area where he serves chatting away.

Don't think he had much choice in the matter as he was busy serving us but then thats where the rules fall flat on its arse.
Back to work in varying situations social distancing nigh on impossible but can't visit loved ones.
 

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Does anyone have a feel for why Peru is quite so high on the chart? I got the impression that they locked down fairly early and that it was quite a tough lockdown.
Poor, crowded living conditions. Only 38% have bank accounts, so aid has to be distributed at crowded banks. Only about half have refrigerators, so markets are constantly crowded. Their economy does not allow for working from home for most.

It is all just irreconcilable with social distancing.

https://www.cnn.com/2020/05/25/americas/peru-covid-hotspot-why-intl/index.html
 

fergies coat

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Our neighbours have their daughter and 3 grandchildren round today. Rules are for suckers.
I think most people are seeing close relatives now if they live reasonably local (less than 260 miles!). Especially now after Boris said Cummings was fine. They won’t be publicising it on here of course.
Why not everyone else is doing it, including them in charge. I've been stuck in for nearly 12 weeks now I'm fed up with it. I obviously haven't got the virus. I would of had it by now. The kids can't take much more either. I'm not being told what to do anymore.
 

Snafu17

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Congregations of up to 200 in open public areas will now be allowed from Monday onwards, in Slovenia. Fitness and wellness centres, pools and larger hotels will also be allowed to re-open . Night clubs remain closed.

We've had 2 new confirmed cases today and 2 yesterday. Before that we haven't had more than one a day for a week.

E: Apparently masks are now just recommended rather than required to wear in closed off areas. And some fans might be allowed (I assume up to 200) in the stands for football matches at some point in June.
 
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madzo2007

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Northern Ireland to ease more restrictions on the 8th June (subject to review on the 4th)

Examples include, Car Showrooms, Pet Groomers, Furniture Stores, Outdoor Marriages (limited to 10 people), Phone & IT shops, Outdoor sports courts

Meaning i'll be back to work.... :nervous:
 

Dancfc

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According to my friend in Spain he saw on the news the research from Italy. They’ve been testing the virus in the lab over the past few months and where it previously attacked cells in 2-3 days and destroyed them fully now it appears that after 5 days they have only just started to destroy them. This would suggest the virus is weakening. I won't hold my breath on the UK press reporting this though.
 

Silva

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According to my friend in Spain he saw on the news the research from Italy. They’ve been testing the virus in the lab over the past few months and where it previously attacked cells in 2-3 days and destroyed them fully now it appears that after 5 days they have only just started to destroy them. This would suggest the virus is weakening. I won't hold my breath on the UK press reporting this though.
most of the UK press is desperate for lockdown to end so they can sell papers wtf are you on about, these are the same cnuts who went wild with "50% infected" from shitty projections when almost a thousand people were dying every day
 

prateik

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According to my friend in Spain he saw on the news the research from Italy. They’ve been testing the virus in the lab over the past few months and where it previously attacked cells in 2-3 days and destroyed them fully now it appears that after 5 days they have only just started to destroy them. This would suggest the virus is weakening. I won't hold my breath on the UK press reporting this though.
Can you ask your friend for a link to the video or any article talking more about the research?
If it was on the news, there should be some article for it on the web.. some basic googling didnt help me.
 

prateik

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From that FT article:


Does anyone have a feel for why Peru is quite so high on the chart? I got the impression that they locked down fairly early and that it was quite a tough lockdown.
Its not excess on top of the reported Covid numbers, is it?
How does the US just have ~65k excess deaths and a reported 100K+ covid deaths.. ? what am I missing ?
 

jojojo

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Poor, crowded living conditions. Only 38% have bank accounts, so aid has to be distributed at crowded banks. Only about half have refrigerators, so markets are constantly crowded. Their economy does not allow for working from home for most.

It is all just irreconcilable with social distancing.

https://www.cnn.com/2020/05/25/americas/peru-covid-hotspot-why-intl/index.html
I guess it's why Peru is seemingly worse off than its neighbours that puzzles me really. I can see the social issues having that kind of impact, but is Peru really more exposed there than other countries in the region? The other factor that occurred to me was the question of contacts from Spain at the height of their epidemic - but again I don't know if I'd expect the pattern to be that different to their neighbours.
 

Organic Potatoes

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I guess it's why Peru is seemingly worse off than its neighbours that puzzles me really. I can see the social issues having that kind of impact, but is Peru really more exposed there than other countries in the region? The other factor that occurred to me was the question of contacts from Spain at the height of their epidemic - but again I don't know if I'd expect the pattern to be that different to their neighbours.
I could see them being more open reporting current numbers than Ecuador, Venezuela, or Brazil (don’t know much about Bolivia). Also another poster mentioned above that there’s a dengue fever outbreak so maybe it’s more intense there than their neighbors.
 
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legolegs

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I guess it's why Peru is seemingly worse off than its neighbours that puzzles me really. I can see the social issues having that kind of impact, but is Peru really more exposed there than other countries in the region? The other factor that occurred to me was the question of contacts from Spain at the height of their epidemic - but again I don't know if I'd expect the pattern to be that different to their neighbours.
Both Ecuador and Brasil have been heavily impacted as well and the number of daily new cases is rising in Bolivia, Colombia and Chile.
 

balaks

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Northern Ireland to ease more restrictions on the 8th June (subject to review on the 4th)

Examples include, Car Showrooms, Pet Groomers, Furniture Stores, Outdoor Marriages (limited to 10 people), Phone & IT shops, Outdoor sports courts

Meaning i'll be back to work.... :nervous:
Get back to work you lazy git! Some of us have been working non-stop and not just in our homes either! ;)
 

Pogue Mahone

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Its not excess on top of the reported Covid numbers, is it?
How does the US just have ~65k excess deaths and a reported 100K+ covid deaths.. ? what am I missing ?
Excess deaths just means death in excess of the usual deaths for this time of year. Many countries (e.g. Ireland) have zero excess deaths, despite thousands of covid deaths. This is because the social distancing for covid reduces other infectious diseases and taking cars off the road and people out of pubs also helps keep them alive.

It’s also likely that some of the very frail, elderly people who die from covid might have died anyway, of whatever other infectious disease would end up finishing them off.
 

Maagge

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Have people in the UK not been allowed to see anyone at all through this lockdown?

Here in Denmark we've always been allowed to see people outside with 2 metres between and taking the necessary precautions like not touching the same stuff etc. When my partner and I were quarantining in a summer house our respective families would visit us in the garden and bringing their own tea and coffee etc.
 

Ronaldo's Mum Eh?

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This fits my theory that everyone who is a motivational speaker is a massive prick.
How on earth does he sound like a prick?

Bunch of cnuts with an agenda. Some might be genuinely idiots. There's no "hidden science" in there, just stupid opinions.
What part of it is stupid opinions? Did you see the body of work from the panel? Nobel prize winners - lots of well qualified individuals in that panel.

See above.


You are too nice. So much utter bullshit in there.
The panel consisted of well qualified, brilliant individuals who have accomplished a lot in science. What part of what they said is bullshit?

Examples of putting Covid down on death certs is a staggeringly simple example of the American healthcare system and the stupidity of all involved.

Set it up for-profit, then complain about people possibly gaming the system and making money from it.

Tony Robbins is a ridiculous feck-knuckle anyway. But he must know what he’s doing by putting that out there.
So you agree with the the premise of the video?
 

massi83

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Its not excess on top of the reported Covid numbers, is it?
How does the US just have ~65k excess deaths and a reported 100K+ covid deaths.. ? what am I missing ?
Excess death stats lag behind 2-6 weeks depending on how countries release data. 65k for US is probably from around end of april.
 

RonaldoVII

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I think most people are seeing close relatives now if they live reasonably local (less than 260 miles!). Especially now after Boris said Cummings was fine. They won’t be publicising it on here of course.
I have been this month and know a lot who have done from a safe distance locally from early on but some physical contact would be nice too.
 

Sarni

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Unfortunately, I doubt it’s going to kill the virus off. It does look as though it’s enough to stop hospitals getting overwhelmed though. Which is great. My concern is that even the countries quite far out of lockdown have still radically changed their behaviour. And the type of changes that have been made will be harder and harder to sustain and will get pretty much impossible when winter kicks in. Bicycles, long walks and picnics are great fun when it’s sunny but a lot less fun when it’s pissing down.
There is definitely less demand for bars and restaurants here even after they reopened. I'd not say people are super cautious but all corporations are working from home for the foreseeable future so it does have a very significant impact on reducing interactions.

Personally I've actually slightly enjoyed this time. It's been great to slow down a bit (though work has been super tense) and realize there are so many things that I've been spending money on and doing before that I didn't really need Also professionally I feel that I have developed more than I had for the previous 2 years, partly due to work from home (which I wasn't completely capable of before and treated those days as a more relaxing experience, while now I'm doing significantly more work done from home than I had in the office) and within my skills scope (haven't had to do so many outcome scenarios in my career). It also made me realize how many idiots I know and helped me clean up my Facebook friends list and remove many contracts from my iPhone.
 

Sarni

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Congregations of up to 200 in open public areas will now be allowed from Monday onwards, in Slovenia. Fitness and wellness centres, pools and larger hotels will also be allowed to re-open . Night clubs remain closed.

We've had 2 new confirmed cases today and 2 yesterday. Before that we haven't had more than one a day for a week.

E: Apparently masks are now just recommended rather than required to wear in closed off areas. And some fans might be allowed (I assume up to 200) in the stands for football matches at some point in June.
Seems we are at the same stage, though we have 350-400 cases per day.
 

One Night Only

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Time for school children to be guinea pigs.
What about those who have been forced to work as key workers? And the kids of those said workers? They've already been the guinea pigs.

Already said you don't have to send kids back if you don't want to. Not exactly everyone going back to work, retail and hospitality is a huge portion of jobs, so still likely a lot of staff furloughed and working from home.
 

jojojo

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Have people in the UK not been allowed to see anyone at all through this lockdown?

Here in Denmark we've always been allowed to see people outside with 2 metres between and taking the necessary precautions like not touching the same stuff etc. When my partner and I were quarantining in a summer house our respective families would visit us in the garden and bringing their own tea and coffee etc.
In principle, gardens as meeting places for different households were still against the rules until today. In England we've been in an odd phase where an individual was allowed to meet one vother person but only at a 2m distance and in a public place (like a park).

In practice, I think some people were meeting family for short periods in the garden, or on a driveway or similar for a while now.

Once the "meet one person in the park" idea came out, a lot of the rules got more loosely interpreted - bigger groups meeting up for a chat or a sunbathe. The 1+1+1+1+ etc daisy chain effect. I think increasingly the "only meet in a public place, not in your garden" bit of guidance irritated people, and I suspect people were starting to ignore that rule as well now.

The latest "6 people outdoors" might work better. At least they might be able to explain this one, rather than trying to justify why you could meet a stranger in the park but not your mum in her garden.
 

JPRouve

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Bars, restaurants and museums are reopening in France on June 2nd. EU borders are reopened. The 100km limit is lifted. Orly is reopening too.