Football & Sports Betting Thread 2020/2021

altodevil

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Lakers and Heat to both win series 4 games to 2. 12-1 odds. You heard it hear first.
 

Pagh Wraith

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My biggest bets of the weekend are in Ligue 2. Over 2.0 in Rodez v Dunkerque (2.01) and Troyes v Clermont (2.38)
 

Berbaclass

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Monza v SPAL BTTS @ 1.95

I've doubled it up with Strommen v Lillestrom BTTS @ 2.98
Well that was a load of Garbage.

Really feel that Hertha are really nice value tonight @ 2.42 against Frankfurt. They thrashed Bremen 4-1 last week and looked pretty good, Frankfurt struggled to a 1-1 draw against newly-promoted Bielefeld.

Think they've been fairly solid under Labbadia. Frankfurt is either really good or really shit.
 

André Dominguez

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On the LNB match tonight Dijon - Lyon, despite the result on the pre-season, Dijon has more competitive rythm due to european games (Lyon will play in Euroleague later) and I think going on Dijon AH+5.5 can give a return, but bare in mind that Lyon is clearly the favourite.
Now, bare in mind that post-covid Euro basket is not what used to be, So I would advise starting low. On ACB surprise results have yet to happen for example, and that was a league that even top teams had difficulties outside their venue.

Another risky choices for tonight would be Gran Canaria AH+5.5. Gran Canaria is usually a very solid team that will always have a chance to win any match, even if it's a small chance, but can't guarantee on post-covid.
The other game is between Belfius Mons - Bakken Bears. Now, the danish team is usually a solid team for FIBA European Cup level, but they rarely reach FIBA Champions League. The bookies are giving them a good chunk mainly because the belgian team is inconsistent and also because Bakken Bears are more advanced in the season with more competitive rythm. Mons AH+8.5 is a chance.

But as I said, the choces above are even more riskier due to post-Covid impredictibility (a lot of squad changes due to budget cuts, etc)
The Mons - Bakken and Gran Canaria games are showing my fears: post-Covid rosters changed and while Bakken Bear battering the belgian team might happened in pre-Covid, no way Gran Canaria would be defeated this easy.
I know Burgos have a very good team, but Gran Canaria is a team that is a regular outsider. This is bad news for me as I relied a lot on Euro Basket bets :(
 

André Dominguez

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On the LNB match tonight Dijon - Lyon, despite the result on the pre-season, Dijon has more competitive rythm due to european games (Lyon will play in Euroleague later) and I think going on Dijon AH+5.5 can give a return, but bare in mind that Lyon is clearly the favourite.
Now, bare in mind that post-covid Euro basket is not what used to be, So I would advise starting low. On ACB surprise results have yet to happen for example, and that was a league that even top teams had difficulties outside their venue.

Another risky choices for tonight would be Gran Canaria AH+5.5. Gran Canaria is usually a very solid team that will always have a chance to win any match, even if it's a small chance, but can't guarantee on post-covid.
The other game is between Belfius Mons - Bakken Bears. Now, the danish team is usually a solid team for FIBA European Cup level, but they rarely reach FIBA Champions League. The bookies are giving them a good chunk mainly because the belgian team is inconsistent and also because Bakken Bears are more advanced in the season with more competitive rythm. Mons AH+8.5 is a chance.

But as I said, the choces above are even more riskier due to post-Covid impredictibility (a lot of squad changes due to budget cuts, etc)
My main bet happened confortably, since Dijon won the game. But as I said on a previous post, the Gran Canaria match left me worried, because they are a traditionally strong team.
Got 1/3, so I guess I'm still up to date in LNB rosters. Will have to study ACB and other leagues rosters to update myself.

Another good case study for today: Le Mans - Strasbourg, with Strasbourg AH+3.5. In pre-covid this would be a quite even match, but Strasbourg pre-season was poor. Go low.
 

FootballHQ

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Penalty being the final goal scored in a game looks an even more cracking bet this season.

Nice treble in Bayern Munich/Man.City/Spurs game if anyone predicts it regularly. And Real Madrid of course yesterday.

I do on occasions but usually pick the wrong game or the penalty is missed. :lol: (Mahrez v Liverpool two years ago was one that messed me up).

Usually from 80th minute the odds are between 20-25/1 so imagine bookies will start shortening it.
 

shaky

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Looks like the bookies have finally started to shorten their odds for penalties in PL matches. Had been getting between 2/1 and 5/2 so far but seems to be around 6/4 or 7/4 now. Probably still decent value if they aren't going to change the daft handball rules anytime soon.
 

JakeC

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Spurs at 4-1 seems like an ok shout.
 

Spiersey

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Small on Atletico PR -1.25 tonight @1.8. I make -1.75 fair line.

hopefully make it 3/3 on Wilstermann games so far. PR are way better team and are really solid at home; even with no fans. Wilstermann have really underwhelmed, look way off proper match fitness/sharpness. First two games been at altitude and they’ve been really poor. Didn’t create much at all against Penarol; 3-1 was a really generous scoreline, 1-0 was probably fair. If they don’t improve from that game then they’ll lose 4-0 tonight. Expecting some improvement though given they’ve more minutes under their belt. Probably be 2/3-0 ft. PR were arguably better team away at altitude, it’s a big gulf at sea level.
Wilstermann need a point too, if they are losing then they’ll go suicidal to get an equaliser and should concede on the counter. They are reckless when chasing games and will leave 1/2 men back from 70h minute onwards. The midfield just flies forward whenever they are chasing games.
 

André Dominguez

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Small on Atletico PR -1.25 tonight @1.8. I make -1.75 fair line.

hopefully make it 3/3 on Wilstermann games so far. PR are way better team and are really solid at home; even with no fans. Wilstermann have really underwhelmed, look way off proper match fitness/sharpness. First two games been at altitude and they’ve been really poor. Didn’t create much at all against Penarol; 3-1 was a really generous scoreline, 1-0 was probably fair. If they don’t improve from that game then they’ll lose 4-0 tonight. Expecting some improvement though given they’ve more minutes under their belt. Probably be 2/3-0 ft. PR were arguably better team away at altitude, it’s a big gulf at sea level.
Wilstermann need a point too, if they are losing then they’ll go suicidal to get an equaliser and should concede on the counter. They are reckless when chasing games and will leave 1/2 men back from 70h minute onwards. The midfield just flies forward whenever they are chasing games.
It was a good tip, nonetheless. Atletico could had won by 3 goal margin easily. It was one of those days that they could keep shooting that the ball refused to cros the goal line.
 

André Dominguez

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Go low on these risky ones (Covid risk :D)

Promitheas to win (Gran Canaria is in poor shape)
Monaco AH+4.5
Cedevita AH+4.5 (more risky)
 

Spiersey

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It was a good tip, nonetheless. Atletico could had won by 3 goal margin easily. It was one of those days that they could keep shooting that the ball refused to cros the goal line.
Yup, I wound up losing huge on the game as I rebacked -0.75 and -0.5 too. Genuinely no idea how they didn't win. Wilster didn't leave their half until the 80th minute and had a half chance. Worst part was PR attacker headed it past the keeper and our own player cleared it off the line from an offside position. Tempted to stake Palmeiras -1.5 tonight if it reaches in play. Similar reasoning as PR bet but Palmeiras way better quality than PR but Bolivar are better than Wilst. Should be a 3 goal win though if Palmeiras score early, they're such a good counter team.
 

André Dominguez

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Football:
Granada to win @2.38
PSV & Standard & Basel ACCA to win @4.62
Rangers to win @2.02
Sporting to win @2.15
Spurs -2 @1.96

AEK to qualify @2.50 (low stake)

Basketball:
Zenit AH+9.5 @1.89
Zalgiris AH-7.5 @1.96(low stake)
CSKA to win @2.55 (low stake)
Nymburk AH+9.5 @1.88
Tenereife to win @1.74
 

André Dominguez

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Football:
Granada to win @2.38 WIN
PSV & Standard & Basel ACCA to win @4.62 FAIL
Rangers to win @2.02 WIN
Sporting to win @2.15 FAIL
Spurs -2 @1.96 WIN
AEK to qualify @2.50 (low stake) WIN

Basketball:
Zenit AH+9.5 @1.89 WIN
Zalgiris AH-7.5 @1.96(low stake) WIN
CSKA to win @2.55 (low stake) FAIL
Nymburk AH+9.5 @1.88 FAIL
Tenereife to win @1.74 FAIL
7/11 = 63.4% Hit Rate
A very decent night overal, with an overall 46.92 € of profit. I think I'm starting to get back on track.
 

André Dominguez

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For today:

PSG -3 @2.14
Fiorentina HT @2.21 (low stake)
Moreirense - Boavista over 2.5 @2.50 (low stake)

Bayern AH+6.5 @2.01
Zaragoza AH+2.5 @1.91
 

Flanders Devil

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If anyone likes rugby league. Roosters live @15-1 is avail. Down by 12 with 20m left. But all the momentum
 

MC89

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Ascot off today, waterlogged track.

Longchomp....

3.25 The Revenant ( evs )
4.00 Call the wind ( 10/11)
 
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MC89

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Moll Davis 4.10 Newmarket (6-1) -

Down in grade to class 4 and has the soft ground it loves, Hayley Turner has managed to get the best out of her but top Jockey William Buick up Today, finished 3rd in a group raceover in France last year, when last had soft ground, if doesn’t win it’ll definitely place,

tip I just received.
 

MC89

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Moll Davis 4.10 Newmarket (6-1) -

Down in grade to class 4 and has the soft ground it loves, Hayley Turner has managed to get the best out of her but top Jockey William Buick up Today, finished 3rd in a group raceover in France last year, when last had soft ground, if doesn’t win it’ll definitely place,

tip I just received.
Nope
 

Spiersey

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Very mainstream but I am pretty big on Man City -1.25 v Porto in a few weeks at 1.8. Very big limits thankfully as its CL. I think -2/2.25 is fair line. City fitness will improve + good chance of at least 1 of Jesus/Aguero being back. Telles looks like hes off too. City are the same line against Arsenal in the league next and would be pretty confident that Arsenal would be -1 at home to Porto. Portuguese league is so poor now compared to previous years.
 

Spiersey

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Also pretty big on Brazil -2.25 and -2.5 next week against Bolivia. Will post reasoning later on. Think high handicaps are worth small bets too, can end 6/7-0 if Brazil are on it.