Beans
Full Member
This guy is going to end up being so popular his kids will walk into office just on his name if they have a mind.
If I would be him, I would retire short after winning the war. Why tarnishing his legacy with the bickering of nasty politicsThis guy is going to end up being so popular his kids will walk into office just on his name if they have a mind.
Would you if you went through what he's gone through? I might be wrong, but you might be inspired to do what you can to speed the recovery process, assuming there is one.If I would be him, I would retire short after winning the war. Why tarnishing his legacy with the bickering of nasty politics
Actually he is starting to speak like him in the tweet already posted
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Last I know are reports that Russians retreated from Dudchany, but that was already yesterday. I assume that the Ukrainians are making sure that they actually are gone there before marching on, and at some point I think the Russians have retreated so far that they will be able to properly resist again, at least for some time.Let’s move on,
whats the latest in kherson
I’ve seen suggestions from russian sources that russian generals are pleading putin to give up Kherson city and set up defenses on the east side of Dnipro river because if they overran them in Kherson, the Crimea will become unattainable.I feel that Russia is a bit screwed whatever it does in that pocket of Kherson north of the river. They can’t defend Kherson city without keeping troops in that pocket (otherwise Ukraine could attack the city from 3 sides. So they can either let the current forces there fight a losing war of attrition in which all their equipment is lost or captured. Or they can funnel whatever they have in terms of equipment and men north across the river to resupply the existing troops. Which is a) exceptionally difficult with no bridges, and b) probably futile.
I’d like to see some predictions of if, when, or how the Kherson pocket will fall.
I still don’t think that Ukraine will advance fast around Kherson. Russian troops are still strong there, but their resupply is difficult, so here time is on Ukraine's side. It's different in the North were Ukraine has to keep going taking the railway hubs etc to cut the Russians off their resupply, which means they have to take the territory. So I think they'll keep their focus there and will move south until they reach the coast (Mariupol).I feel that Russia is a bit screwed whatever it does in that pocket of Kherson north of the river. They can’t defend Kherson city without keeping troops in that pocket (otherwise Ukraine could attack the city from 3 sides. So they can either let the current forces there fight a losing war of attrition in which all their equipment is lost or captured. Or they can funnel whatever they have in terms of equipment and men north across the river to resupply the existing troops. Which is a) exceptionally difficult with no bridges, and b) probably futile.
I’d like to see some predictions of if, when, or how the Kherson pocket will fall.
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Not long. A few weeks? But at the start of winter the ground will harden and allow for vehicles to travel more easily before the real cold weather bites.At least the weather in the relevant parts of Ukraine continues to look good for next couple of weeks. I saw a lot of sodden, muddy pictures and was getting worried that the climate may slow them down, but it looks like they won’t be deluged with rain and mud yet.
How long have they got before it becomes real difficult over winter and decisions will be have to made about whether to hold for a spring offensive? You’d think Ukraine and allies will make better use of a rest period than Russia would.
When the ground freezes the tanks and other Soviet design vegicles should have no issues with the air temp, they were engineered for this kind of weather. Not sure about the humvees.At least the weather in the relevant parts of Ukraine continues to look good for next couple of weeks. I saw a lot of sodden, muddy pictures and was getting worried that the climate may slow them down, but it looks like they won’t be deluged with rain and mud yet.
How long have they got before it becomes real difficult over winter and decisions will be have to made about whether to hold for a spring offensive? You’d think Ukraine and allies will make better use of a rest period than Russia would.
Ukraine isn't Siberia, all vehicles will be fine during the winter there.When the ground freezes the tanks and other Soviet design vegicles should have no issues with the air temp, they were engineered for this kind of weather. Not sure about the humvees.
What do you consider more dangerous atm? I am seeing it from some people from Western Europe or the USA to continue to say that - but after the siege of Mariupol what is more catastrophic? (consider the huge losses of life in the public population there, the massive deportations from the region, and the massive destruction of the area)Musk is a troll at heart but he is not speaking his own words imho… there is a growing sentiment to try and stop this hot war before further, truly dangerous escalation.
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It won’t stop, their professional army (especially officers and commanders) has been almost completely wiped out together with the most capable locals from Donetsk/Luhansk, they can send thousands of mobilized into a meat grinder but those will panic and run at the first sight of the Ukrainian forces with no competent commanders to organize them. It’s just a matter of time now until Ukraine pushes out occupiers completely.Seems to be reports of major advances on multiple fronts coming through now every few hours or so. At what point will the Russian collapse stop?
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-63126156Let’s move on,
whats the latest in kherson
Mind, I share your perspective in full. The danger is a local war slowly escalating toward a global war.What do you consider more dangerous atm? I am seeing it from some people from Western Europe or the USA to continue to say that - but after the siege of Mariupol what is more catastrophic? (consider the huge losses of life in the public population there, the massive deportations from the region, and the massive destruction of the area)
Because I know what the discourse has been in our Estonian media throughout the war and what is discourse in other Baltic states, Poland, etc. And none of them are ever been afraid or been getting more afraid of some kind of "new" escalation the whole mobilization wasn't anything we weren't ready for, nor Ukraine itself - they have been considering that card since the first weeks of the war already - same goes with the Nuclear strike possibility.
The months of war have shown us that there is nothing to be afraid of, but to continue our everyday work and support towards the lines and push Russia back to the dark ages, literally.
We should have acted in 2000. We had another chance in 2008.Mind, I share your perspective in full. The danger is a local war slowly escalating toward a global war.
Give em vodka and lets just throw more untrained cannon fodder at the problem without proper training or equipment. I'm sure that will solve itTweet
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Yea it's not something to be afraid of.Mind, I share your perspective in full. The danger is a local war slowly escalating toward a global war.
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This shows how fast things seem to be moving:Russian sources are reporting that the whole northern front west of Dnepr is retreating.
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How far is this from Kherson?Russian sources are reporting that the whole northern front west of Dnepr is retreating.