Football & Sports Betting Thread 2022/2023

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Knux

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SHL is finally back!

Starting light with some saturday action:

Vaxjo Reg @1.85 and ML @1.55
Orebro ML @1.55
Winners all of them. Had some handicaps that went in too:)
 

DJ_21

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Need Portugal and then Ipswich tomoz… confident in Portugal but unsure on Ipswich.
 

Paul_Scholes18

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Anyone experienced the bookies (bet 365) changing the odds you made days after you made the bet? I was going to earn 2.30 times the money ,but they changed it to 1.50 days after I made the bet. They made an error giving too high odds first, but I lost money on that since I thought I would get that odds.

I think that is pure fraudulence and I quit betting now. When they make an error they have to take the losses. I do not know how to contact them. Why should I pay for the error they make? If I bet on the odds even if it is a bad odds for them you deserve the money or at least them explaining it was an error and maybe compensate with a free bet for a tiny amount. I understand people could make millions on errors, but for regular people you should not pay for that.
 

OG J0E

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Anyone experienced the bookies (bet 365) changing the odds you made days after you made the bet? I was going to earn 2.30 times the money ,but they changed it to 1.50 days after I made the bet. They made an error giving too high odds first, but I lost money on that since I thought I would get that odds.

I think that is pure fraudulence and I quit betting now. When they make an error they have to take the losses. I do not know how to contact them. Why should I pay for the error they make? If I bet on the odds even if it is a bad odds for them you deserve the money or at least them explaining it was an error and maybe compensate with a free bet for a tiny amount. I understand people could make millions on errors, but for regular people you should not pay for that.
Think they refer to this as a 'manifest error' which according to the T&Cs gives them the right to change the odds retroactively. Had another bookmaker do this with some algorithm that means if the initial odds are more than 25% higher than they 'should' be then they can amend it. Proper scum behaviour
 

Knux

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A pick for wednesday:
Djurgarden Reg @1.50
Djurgarden -1,5 @1.85

This should be free money imo. Especially in regulation. Handicaps can be tricky even in hockey.
 

André Dominguez

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Corinthians to win @1.68 is a very good odd for this match. Will place a large stake.
 

daveoliver91

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Does anyone have the William Hill Plus Card? Just wondering if it's worth signing up on their shops since you can take advantage of those £10 offers (Epic Values).

For tonight, the game Benfica vs Rangers (women) seems good value the Over 2.5 goals at 1.50.
 

M15 Red.

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Does anyone have the William Hill Plus Card? Just wondering if it's worth signing up on their shops since you can take advantage of those £10 offers (Epic Values).

For tonight, the game Benfica vs Rangers (women) seems good value the Over 2.5 goals at 1.50.
I have quite a few Plus cards. You just need to purchase some sim cards then once registered with Plus dispose of them. This Saturday's offer is over 0.5 goals in the Arsenal vs Spurs match, boosted from 1/33 to evens. £10 max. You can even cover the offer with a bet of 80p on under 0.5 match goals with Bet365 @12/1 just in case the game ends 0-0, which will refund all your stakes.
 

André Dominguez

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Corinthians @1.68 for next Sunday seems a good choice. If the odd goes up I'll probably place some more
 

Knux

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A pick for wednesday:
Djurgarden Reg @1.50
Djurgarden -1,5 @1.85

This should be free money imo. Especially in regulation. Handicaps can be tricky even in hockey.
Wow, got burned on that one. Didnt watch the game but shocking result.

Some games I like today:
Farjestad ML @1.80
Frolunda ML / Reg @1.70 / 2.10

Hv71 ML @2.30 (Lean)
 

André Dominguez

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A bit risky punts for today:

Porto to win @1.80

Sporting to win @1.95 (Basketball)
Baskonia & Valencia to win @1.96

Rune to win @2.15

I think Porto with the usual VAR emotional support will nick the win, probably, so I'm placing the chips there. The ACB league games should be predictable, but it's the 1st game of the season.
 

André Dominguez

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Gonna risk on live betting on the Musetti match. Just need Musetti to go ahead or get a break to make a small profit. Otherwise, My small punt is doomed.
 

Deery

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Hard to call the matches today gone with

Liverpool
Everton
Fulham

Really could go anyway, good luck peeps!
 

André Dominguez

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I'm gonna do a risky bet on Djokovic wining 2-0 @1.60 and 2-1 @3.90

As long as Djokovic wins profit is certain.
 

DJ_21

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We’re a massive 6/1 today to win. Tempted to put a tenner on it. We’ve upset the odds a million times before.
 

MC89

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Bet Laurel yesterday, stuck up 2nd 9/1 sick,

really fancy Tenebrism 5.00 Longchomp 4/1, quite obvious doesn’t stay a mile 0/4 but 3/3 over shorter, gets 6lbs over Kinross, won’t mind the soft/ heavy surface and has the more favourable draw in 1
 

Spiersey

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Anyone heard from redcafe’s favourite tipster Spiersey? Not seen any posts from him in a while, hope everything’s ok with him.
Everything all good with me mate. Been quiet last few months mainly because I increased stakes/resources quite a bit + been on a few holidays. 365 have been reacting to my stakes too quickly so odds have been dropping near instantly which has made it very hard to actually tip anything. (An example being I staked Barcelona u19 earlier today at 2.5 and it was 1.72 within about 5 minutes, so pretty much all value is gone near instantly). Made it very hard to post anything that would actually be possible for people to follow and profit on my bets long term. Pinnacle have also started pricing some stuff before 365 etc with max limits of £15. This means that the odds get hammered before it’s possible to get on the bet. Started happening on a few leagues I follow which is a nightmare. Hoping this stops but think it’s unlikely.

Real Madrid u19s -1.25 a nice bet v Shaktar on Wednesday though. I have -2.25 as fair line. Isn’t priced on 365 which is why odds have held. Worth taking some on alternative handicaps too, -3 and -4. I lost massive on Real Madrid -1.25 v Leipzig last game. The xg was 7-0.93 and ended 1-1. Fair score was probably 4/5-0. Probably the biggest freak I’ve seen since I started betting, certainly xG wise. It’s the highest xG I’ve ever seen from a team that didn’t win the game. I have Shaktar and Leipzig around similar levels so should be pretty one sided. They’ll rack up a load of chances, will be fine as long as their finishing is better than against Leipzig.
 
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André Dominguez

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Gonna make one more atempt on the 2-0 2-1 strategy on Alcaraz match.

Edit: gonna include Kyrgios match too, even though he is very unpredictable on his moods.
Edit2: Odds of Kyrgios match do not have enough spread between them to give a minimally decent % profit, so just went with Alcaraz.

Edit3: No more takes on that "strategy". It's very liable (worked a few times though, but not worth the risk).
 
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One Night Only

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Gonna make one more atempt on the 2-0 2-1 strategy on Alcaraz match.

Edit: gonna include Kyrgios match too, even though he is very unpredictable on his moods.
Edit2: Odds of Kyrgios match do not have enough spread between them to give a minimally decent % profit, so just went with Alcaraz.

Edit3: No more takes on that "strategy". It's very liable (worked a few times though, but not worth the risk).
Wouldn't taking the player for straight win be the same odds as betting on both 2-0 and 2-1?
 

Deery

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Salah even money for 2 shots on target with Coral, take your £20 bet it on Spurs and Napoli ;)
 

Deery

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Salah even money for 2 shots on target with Coral, take your £20 bet it on Spurs and Napoli ;)
Nearly there lads, what the hell is going on with Spurs if they can’t score in 5 minutes cash.
 

André Dominguez

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PAOK AH+2.5 @2.00
Dínamo Sassari @2.05

Bragantino & Flamengo & Palmeiras @3.38
 
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Spiersey

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Everything all good with me mate. Been quiet last few months mainly because I increased stakes/resources quite a bit + been on a few holidays. 365 have been reacting to my stakes too quickly so odds have been dropping near instantly which has made it very hard to actually tip anything. (An example being I staked Barcelona u19 earlier today at 2.5 and it was 1.72 within about 5 minutes, so pretty much all value is gone near instantly). Made it very hard to post anything that would actually be possible for people to follow and profit on my bets long term. Pinnacle have also started pricing some stuff before 365 etc with max limits of £15. This means that the odds get hammered before it’s possible to get on the bet. Started happening on a few leagues I follow which is a nightmare. Hoping this stops but think it’s unlikely.

Real Madrid u19s -1.25 a nice bet v Shaktar on Wednesday though. I have -2.25 as fair line. Isn’t priced on 365 which is why odds have held. Worth taking some on alternative handicaps too, -3 and -4. I lost massive on Real Madrid -1.25 v Leipzig last game. The xg was 7-0.93 and ended 1-1. Fair score was probably 4/5-0. Probably the biggest freak I’ve seen since I started betting, certainly xG wise. It’s the highest xG I’ve ever seen from a team that didn’t win the game. I have Shaktar and Leipzig around similar levels so should be pretty one sided. They’ll rack up a load of chances, will be fine as long as their finishing is better than against Leipzig.

Madrid 2-0 up and missed a pen for 3 and then just scored a horrible own goal. Should still score another couple but bet should be won already.

Stream is here https://www.uefa.tv/match/live/223328/2035828
 

Deery

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Going to go PSG and Real Madrid can’t see much else..
 
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