Russian invasion of Ukraine | Fewer tweets, more discussion

Raoul

Admin
Staff
Joined
Aug 14, 1999
Messages
130,087
Location
Hollywood CA
This is no surprise. Theres only a few of the smaller countries in Europe who have maintained or built up a trustworthy military during the last 30 years. Bigger nations like Germany, France, Italy and even the UK to some extent have completly neglected the security of Europe despite Russia building up it's armed forces during this time.
True. And one of the things that will hopefully come out of the invasion is that Europe needs to wake up in terms of its military readiness and energy dependencies as long as Russia continues to be an autocratic dictatorship.
 

Foxbatt

New Member
Joined
Oct 21, 2013
Messages
14,297
Its is good that they are setting up a war crimes tribunal for the illegal invasion of Ukraine? But I wonder about the illegal invasion of Iraq, Libya, Syria etc?
 

RedDevilQuebecois

Full Member
Joined
May 27, 2021
Messages
8,011
Macron seems to like doing these things for public consumption. He knows there won't be any meaningful negotiations as long as Russian troops are in Ukraine.
If going through Opération Serval was fairly popular in the eyes of the French, why would giving Putin the middle finger be a step too far? And besides, doesn't Macron have a military industrial complex to satisfy after a bunch of contracts were lost to the British and the Americans?

Since there is no election on the horizon, nothing should stop him from telling it like it is to the cnut in the Kremlin.
 

MoskvaRed

Full Member
Joined
Sep 24, 2013
Messages
5,230
Location
Not Moskva
Horrible images, though I'm unsure whether they've been verified yet.

Anyone who can translate what the Russian signs say?
The one on the left says traitor to the Lugansk people, the one on the right says they passed on information to the enemy. Under all of them is the Soviet acronym “SMERSH” (Death to Spies).
 

frostbite

Full Member
Joined
Jun 28, 2021
Messages
3,186
Having weapons available is standard part of military readiness so whatever has been donated to Ukraine this year will need to be replenished on the US side, which will of course cost money.
Of course! But it is not an emergency. Sometimes it is presented like it is a critical problem that needs to be solved asap.
 

frostbite

Full Member
Joined
Jun 28, 2021
Messages
3,186
The one on the left says traitor to the Lugansk people, the one on the right says they passed on information to the enemy. Under all of them is the Soviet acronym “SMERSH” (Death to Spies).
Back to the Soviet Union.

Once a KGB agent, Always a KGB agent.

Here is an article by Khrushchev's granddaughter. It is from 2014, part of her book (The Lost Khrushchev: A Journey Into the Gulag of the Russian Mind).

It is shocking for me that the European Union had no idea what was going on in Russia, and took zero measures back then. Zero preperation. What were the foreign ministries and the spy agencies of the European countries doing all this time? Why they did not warn Merkel and the other European leaders that Russia is turning into the Soviet Union?

https://www.newsweek.com/once-kgb-agent-always-kgb-agent-251120
 

Raoul

Admin
Staff
Joined
Aug 14, 1999
Messages
130,087
Location
Hollywood CA
To be fair to Raytheon, they're not living unless they're supplying missiles to hit weddings or funeral processions. This is an emergency to them.
The reality is the US is a free market nation and doesn’t have the luxury of nationalizing industries to suit its needs like China and Russia do. Therefore weapons have to be procured through private industry instead. So when you have a situation like the Ukraine war where the US is donating a lot of weapons to repel Putin, it’s the private companies that have to replenish what has been lost in existing stockpiles.
 

the hea

Full Member
Joined
Aug 13, 2011
Messages
6,314
Location
North of the wall

If this is in fact from the explosion at the airbase it took the projectile about 27 seconds to travel the distance to the target so it flew at a speed of around 800km/h
 
Last edited:

goalscholes

New Member
Joined
Nov 3, 2021
Messages
904
Engels is pretty far from the border (maybe even further away than Moscow?) Is that the furthest target the Ukrainians have hit?
 

stefan92

Full Member
Joined
Feb 9, 2021
Messages
6,227
Supports
Hannover 96
Engels is pretty far from the border (maybe even further away than Moscow?) Is that the furthest target the Ukrainians have hit?
Considering currently occupied areas Engels is a striking distance of about 800-850km from Ukraine, Moskau about 700-750km, so yes it is a bit further than Moscow.

And I wouldn't be sure that thus actually was an Ukrainian strike. Yes, you can hear something flying overhead and than see the explosion, but as you can't see what it is I currently wouldn't rule out an out of control Tu-160 or Tu-95 crashing.
 

Dans

Correctly predicted Portugal to win Euro 2016
Joined
Jun 4, 2001
Messages
26,963
Location
Oberbayern
Back to the Soviet Union.

Once a KGB agent, Always a KGB agent.

Here is an article by Khrushchev's granddaughter. It is from 2014, part of her book (The Lost Khrushchev: A Journey Into the Gulag of the Russian Mind).

It is shocking for me that the European Union had no idea what was going on in Russia, and took zero measures back then. Zero preperation. What were the foreign ministries and the spy agencies of the European countries doing all this time? Why they did not warn Merkel and the other European leaders that Russia is turning into the Soviet Union?

https://www.newsweek.com/once-kgb-agent-always-kgb-agent-251120
I honestly think that after 50 years of cold war, the Europeans were hoping the threat of Russia would just dissolve as they transitioned to a "normal" market economy. They almost buried there heads in the sand expecting it to be over allowing everyone to concentrate on making money, Russia included. Of course, that the money making concentrated itself in the hands of a few thanks to the remnants of the rotten communist system and the general lack of consideration for the populace (something I feel we see more and more in US and UK btw) has led to full on corruption and control although China has been a more palatable, better thought out version of Russia. Remember, the EU had as one of it's original goals (as the EEC) to counter the economic prowess of the US and Japan (later then China of course). The way China grew was to European advantage though (cheap goods, cheap labour for multinationals), the way Russia grew was as a Mafiosi state, but also to our advantage - bountiful resources. In both cases, we are still economically bound to both, but have been doing so well in Europe that it was easier to ignore all the unsavoury aspects of both China and Russia which have unfortunately proven to be much more sinister and troublesome than I think anyone wanted to believe they would be.
 

Rajma

Full Member
Joined
Sep 8, 2012
Messages
8,577
Location
Lithuania
Considering currently occupied areas Engels is a striking distance of about 800-850km from Ukraine, Moskau about 700-750km, so yes it is a bit further than Moscow.

And I wouldn't be sure that thus actually was an Ukrainian strike. Yes, you can hear something flying overhead and than see the explosion, but as you can't see what it is I currently wouldn't rule out an out of control Tu-160 or Tu-95 crashing.
It’s certainly not a drone then as was initially speculated given the speed of the object? It would either be a cruise missile or malfunctioned Tu?
 

stefan92

Full Member
Joined
Feb 9, 2021
Messages
6,227
Supports
Hannover 96
It’s certainly not a drone then as was initially speculated given the speed of the object? It would either be a cruise missile or malfunctioned Tu?
At least not the typical propeller drone like a Bayraktar. The calculated speed matches a typical cruise missile, but also the travelling speed of those bombers.

However Ukraine does possess some old jet powered Tu-141 reconnaissance drones, which could in theory carry a warhead for a suicide mission and would fly at that speed, so a modified Ukrainian drone is indeed a possibility, and considering that Ukraine gets a lot of intel from NATO as well as from their more modern drones this would be a useful way to bin this old stuff.
 

Rajma

Full Member
Joined
Sep 8, 2012
Messages
8,577
Location
Lithuania
At least not the typical propeller drone like a Bayraktar. The calculated speed matches a typical cruise missile, but also the travelling speed of those bombers.

However Ukraine does possess some old jet powered Tu-141 reconnaissance drones, which could in theory carry a warhead for a suicide mission and would fly at that speed, so a modified Ukrainian drone is indeed a possibility, and considering that Ukraine gets a lot of intel from NATO as well as from their more modern drones this would be a useful way to bin this old stuff.
The reason I’m inclined to reject the idea of some out of control Tu Russian bomber is because there was another incident at another airbase hosting these strategic bombers around the same time. Meaning it was definitely a planned and coordinated attack from Ukrainian side.
 

stefan92

Full Member
Joined
Feb 9, 2021
Messages
6,227
Supports
Hannover 96
The reason I’m inclined to reject the idea of some out of control Tu Russian bomber is because there was another incident at another airbase hosting these strategic bombers around the same time. Meaning it was definitely a planned and coordinated attack from Ukrainian side.
Good point, somehow I missed that there were two incidents
 

Simbo

Full Member
Joined
Oct 25, 2010
Messages
5,217
There's been talk of a so called 'black box' project by Ukraine to develop their own deep strike capability. Rumoured to be a 1000km range drone. So, I think that is what is driving the drone speculation.
 

Raoul

Admin
Staff
Joined
Aug 14, 1999
Messages
130,087
Location
Hollywood CA
Appears it didn't stop their plans for the day.
Surprised the Russians still have enough missiles to keep these attacks up, especially given that most get shot down. Seems like an act of late stage desperation to cripple Ukrainian infrastructure before the worst of winter sets in. Either that or they've simply been reduced to pointless terrorism.
 

Raoul

Admin
Staff
Joined
Aug 14, 1999
Messages
130,087
Location
Hollywood CA
If going through Opération Serval was fairly popular in the eyes of the French, why would giving Putin the middle finger be a step too far? And besides, doesn't Macron have a military industrial complex to satisfy after a bunch of contracts were lost to the British and the Americans?

Since there is no election on the horizon, nothing should stop him from telling it like it is to the cnut in the Kremlin.
I think he's trying to frame the French position as the rational diplomatic option that is perceived as the interlocutor that pushed the peace process. It won't work of course since neither RU or UKR sides are going to back down from their positions anytime soon.