Recent content by Conrad

I'd be interested to hear what people think of Shoretire? He's kind of an odd one for me. On paper, he sounds like an absolute star, and I'm sure he probably could be, with his first-team appearances already and the fact that he's been playing regularly at U23 level since he was 16 and played at...

That's good to hear. I do hope they let Shoretire play some of the games though. He's only just on the fringes of the first team, so unless he has to travel to an away game why not also let him drop down.

Does anyone know if the FA Youth Cup game tomorrow against Salford is going to be on MUTV? It doesn't seem like it, but it was arranged with fairly short notice. It would be fun to see them take on Salford City. Also, does anyone with a bit more knowledge think we have a shot this year? If we...

I'm not an expert but I think you have to get somebody's permission to broadcast covert (identifiable) footage of them, which I imagine wouldn't have been forthcoming, or risk being sued.

I think I might have misread your point somewhat from those two posts, for which I'm sorry, but I'm still not sure I agree with you. There might have been a failure to really consider some of the legitimate motivations of his supporters which should be learnt from but I don't think that really...

Look you're like our very own Trump, unable to build a coherent argument which doesn't contradict itself. Is the lesson from these events that we need to listen or that expecting people to listen is stupid? Is they key point who the "the" is in this argument? Let me guess: Historically...

I am not saying he is going to hand over all his power to anyone but giving an anti-Semite a prominent role in the White House is giving them significant power.

Doesn't really matter what his personal feeling are though, if he's willing to hand power to anti-semites he might as well be one. Similar to the issue with it looking like personally he doesn't really care about outlawing abortion or opposing gay marriage. If he's willing to do it to please his...

Safe spaces aren't literally rooms where people can be safe from physical danger. Nor are they particularly associated with black students. Safe space: "A place where anyone can relax and be fully self-expressed, without fear of being made to feel uncomfortable, unwelcome or challenged on...

I think that Liberals, especially white liberals, do have a bit of a weak spot when it comes to working class white people* which has led to them being alienated and pushed towards people like Trump. Although I do think another inescapable conclusion from this election is that the panic over...

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/nevada/ http://www.nytimes.com/elections/results/nevada They already got Nevada "right" with the percentages predicted being pretty bang on. Look at the article, early voter data might tell you that early voter turnout is up for...

No. Early voting data is incomplete and only gives you part of the picture (http://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2016/11/02/early_voting_a_poor_predictor_of_final_results.html) so there is no real reason poll based models should bend over backwards to shoehorn it in. Plenty of people did...

Early voting is a bit of an incomplete picture as far as I know. What gets released varies state by state with Nevada being really the only one that releases raw data of who has how many votes. I think your second point is more where the problem lies, as the early voting picture is very...

Ok, I am aware of that but this years race was characterized by a lot of uncertainty due to undecideds and high third party support so they were bound to do worse. Also, again doing worse or getting it wrong does not mean that it's not real science or even inherently flawed nor does getting it...

It doesn't seem like a good point though. Saying they're "wrong" when they produce a probabilistic answer seems sort of perverse for one. Sure, maybe it would be splitting hairs to say Wong wasn't wrong but I think he was basically media whoring (Most probably what your history professor is...