We did play well at OT earlier this season so think we'll give you a game but......yeah three points.
However by same logic you need to factor in the usual loss at Brighton no?
It was a surprise to me when I was checking your away record, thought you'd have won more than 4 given you were very good at Man. City and to lesser extent at Chelsea. Lack of consistancy really. Play exceptionally well at Man. City then lose poorly at Watford. Dig out a win at Burnley then lose to Arsenal 3 days later.
I'd still say likes of Spurs, Leicester and even Palace (although your record at Selhurst Park is probably even better than at Villa Park in recent times) will be tough away games to win especially if they're in between europa.