Football & Sports Betting Thread 2020/2021

Pagh Wraith

Full Member
Joined
May 2, 2011
Messages
4,361
Location
Germany
Quite a few odds movements so far this season I find hard to comprehend. I staked Leeds on the 0 handicap at 2.15 earlier this week (had fair price at 1.75). But then the market went completely in the other direction and they closed at 3.00(!). Why - I have no idea. Seemed to be a massive overreaction to Villa's results. They are not the better side (and certainly not by that margin) so I bet some more at kick-off. Think the market was just wrong in this case and anyone who's seen the match would agree.
 

One Night Only

Prison Bitch #24604
Joined
Oct 16, 2009
Messages
30,643
Location
Westworld
Quite a few odds movements so far this season I find hard to comprehend. I staked Leeds on the 0 handicap at 2.15 earlier this week (had fair price at 1.75). But then the market went completely in the other direction and they closed at 3.00(!). Why - I have no idea. Seemed to be a massive overreaction to Villa's results. They are not the better side (and certainly not by that margin) so I bet some more at kick-off. Think the market was just wrong in this case and anyone who's seen the match would agree.
Yeah, I had Leeds @3.25 or something. Put it in yesterday aswell.

Ridiculous for what I perceived to be even game at best. Leeds are just set up in a way which doesn't suit villa at all imo.
 

MC89

Full Member
Joined
Oct 5, 2018
Messages
1,520
Location
Glasgow
Supports
Celtic
Cambridge to beat Bolton
Exeter to beat Scunthorpe
Hamburg To beat Wurzburger kickers whoever they are.
 

SalfordCitizen

New Member
Newbie
Joined
Aug 19, 2015
Messages
691
Saw a pretty fair fair bet of Worthing -1 at 13/10 over east thurrock in the english ismthmian league. Its semi professional football so it's all very sunday league esque so its probably even more of a basturd to call than the top leagues. Anyhow, east thurrock second bottom and Worthing who in my eyes will surely run away with the division (got them at 7/4 outright) should, in theory, who knows on grass dispatch them with aplomb. Win or lose it's a fair bet so let's see what happens. It looks a bit too good to me, so I thinking the bookmakers are making -1 worthing a good price because somehow they know it wont happen. Lets see what happens...
 

SalfordCitizen

New Member
Newbie
Joined
Aug 19, 2015
Messages
691
Rugby Union, ireland v italy, ireland simply must score as many tries as possible to have a chance of winning the six nations, and italy are the san Marino of this tournament, Ireland -31 is 6/5, worth a try.
 

Berbaclass

Fallen Muppet. Lest we never forget
Joined
Jan 23, 2010
Messages
37,981
Location
Cooper Station
Might be worth backing against the teams involved in Europe this season.

Teams that failed to win in the last day.

Atalanta
City
Zenit
Rennes
 

SalfordCitizen

New Member
Newbie
Joined
Aug 19, 2015
Messages
691
Saw a pretty fair fair bet of Worthing -1 at 13/10 over east thurrock in the english ismthmian league. Its semi professional football so it's all very sunday league esque so its probably even more of a basturd to call than the top leagues. Anyhow, east thurrock second bottom and Worthing who in my eyes will surely run away with the division (got them at 7/4 outright) should, in theory, who knows on grass dispatch them with aplomb. Win or lose it's a fair bet so let's see what happens. It looks a bit too good to me, so I thinking the bookmakers are making -1 worthing a good price because somehow they know it wont happen. Lets see what happens...
East thurrock 1 worthing 3 how the feck worthing never scored more post hit 4 times even with a red card on the hour but cest la vie it was covered, like it should have been.
 

Knux

Full Member
Joined
Feb 25, 2014
Messages
1,820
Supports
AIK Stockholm
Under 10 asian corners at 1.8 in the Dortmund v Schalke game on 365 is a great price. Dortmund's last league home game over 10 corners was in 2019, and every league home game post lockdown has ended under 8.5 corners, under 8.5 at 2.62 is worth a punt too. Schalke are in awful form so Dortmund should take an early lead (which is good for unders). 365 are a corner too high at least, I have it on a 8.5 line favouring unders when I price it.
Thanks for the tip, keep them coming. It was a close one, 9 corners with 10 minutes left was a bit nervously
 

luke511

Full Member
Joined
Jul 13, 2013
Messages
6,887
Thanks for the tip, keep them coming. It was a close one, 9 corners with 10 minutes left was a bit nervously
No problem. The formation change had me worried as all the stats were based on them played with 5 at the back. u8.5 was looking comfy until those 3 came on the 70th minute but happy that the under 10 asian came in at least, was certainly a nervy last 10 minutes, classic unders scenario :lol:
 

Knux

Full Member
Joined
Feb 25, 2014
Messages
1,820
Supports
AIK Stockholm
No problem. The formation change had me worried as all the stats were based on them played with 5 at the back. u8.5 was looking comfy until those 3 came on the 70th minute but happy that the under 10 asian came in at least, was certainly a nervy last 10 minutes, classic unders scenario :lol:
Yeah, it felt very comfortable after first half with only 4 corners. Then, as you said in the 70th minute it all changed :D
I made a double of u9,5 corners asian and Inter to win @2,70 so it was good!
 

SalfordCitizen

New Member
Newbie
Joined
Aug 19, 2015
Messages
691
Just logged on to see what's going on for tommorow on skybet and saw grecia in Costa Rica 2-0 up at home against herdadino, with 11 men against 8 men, with 2 minutes to go, at odds of 1/5000 (1.0002), and drew the game 2-2! The draw was 1000/1. I've seen some strange stuff before but that tops the lot. Anyone got any tips for the next few hours on anything.
 

André Dominguez

Full Member
Joined
Aug 7, 2017
Messages
6,325
Location
Lisbon
Supports
Benfica, Académica
AC Milan @2.15
CSKA HT @2.20

Smal punts:
Harry kane to score @2.10
Son to score @2.45
Waldschmidt to score @2.15
Besiktas AH+16.5 @1.94
Limoges AH+4.5 @1.98
 

Spiersey

Full Member
Joined
Feb 15, 2012
Messages
7,385
Location
United Kingdom.
Supports
Chelsea
Quite a few odds movements so far this season I find hard to comprehend. I staked Leeds on the 0 handicap at 2.15 earlier this week (had fair price at 1.75). But then the market went completely in the other direction and they closed at 3.00(!). Why - I have no idea. Seemed to be a massive overreaction to Villa's results. They are not the better side (and certainly not by that margin) so I bet some more at kick-off. Think the market was just wrong in this case and anyone who's seen the match would agree.
Syndis are clueless on prem this season so far for some season. Villa on Friday night is the biggest drop I’ve ever seen on prem in the hour to kick off (barring random team news drops). Thought Leeds was the right side too.
Syndis have kept backing Fulham and West Brom all season too, they’ll be losing a lot of money if they keep doing that.
 

André Dominguez

Full Member
Joined
Aug 7, 2017
Messages
6,325
Location
Lisbon
Supports
Benfica, Académica
AC Milan @2.15 [FAIL]
CSKA HT @2.20 [WIN]

Smal punts:
Harry kane to score @2.10 [FAIL]
Son to score @2.45 [WIN]
Waldschmidt to score @2.15 [FAIL]
Besiktas AH+16.5 @1.94 [WIN]
Limoges AH+4.5 @1.98 [FAIL]
Managed to break even. A bit unlucky because Waldschmidt actually had a couple of clear chances to score, but just didn't finnished it.
 

André Dominguez

Full Member
Joined
Aug 7, 2017
Messages
6,325
Location
Lisbon
Supports
Benfica, Académica
Liverpool AH-2,5 @2.20
Atleti - Salzburg NO BTTS @2.12

Small punts:
NDB Ajax @2.75
Hapoel Jerusalem AH+4.5 @1.93
Bamberg @2.15
 

André Dominguez

Full Member
Joined
Aug 7, 2017
Messages
6,325
Location
Lisbon
Supports
Benfica, Académica
Any thoughts on Porto v Olympiakos? I maybe fancy an upset.
Porto will probably win it, but have to tell you they aren't playing that well. Still, Olympiakos away record is pretty underwhelming, and even if Porto are not performing their manager instills a very aggressive attitude which helps them get scrappy wins.
 

shaky

Full Member
Joined
Jan 6, 2014
Messages
2,515
9/10 for Marseille +1.5 looks generous to me. At home against a strikerless City side who look pretty fragile compared to their usual standards.
 

Berbaclass

Fallen Muppet. Lest we never forget
Joined
Jan 23, 2010
Messages
37,981
Location
Cooper Station
I’ve just had a daft punt on goals tonight.

Over 2.5 in

Locomotiv/Bayern
Marseille/City
Liverpool/Midtjylland
Gladbach/Madrid
Atalanta/Ajax

then Over 1.5 Atleti/Salzburg

acca at odds of @ 6.18
 

André Dominguez

Full Member
Joined
Aug 7, 2017
Messages
6,325
Location
Lisbon
Supports
Benfica, Académica
9/10 for Marseille +1.5 looks generous to me. At home against a strikerless City side who look pretty fragile compared to their usual standards.
You clearly never saw Marseille play. It's going to be a terrible game to watch.
 

Spiersey

Full Member
Joined
Feb 15, 2012
Messages
7,385
Location
United Kingdom.
Supports
Chelsea
Pool drifted from -2.25 this morning to -1.75 now. Will wait for lineups but think that’ll be a bet assuming it’s normal team. Mid are a really open team, they aren’t great defensively and can’t see them managing to park a bus for 90 minutes, their defence always has errors in it. Can see them trying to outplay Liverpool during spells and it ending very badly. I think an early goal and it will be 4-0 or something. I thought -2.25 was probably fair line, the drift does make me think it won’t be the usual front 3 though so holding off for now.

City are probably a touch too short; -1.25 is fair for me. Marseille aren’t great but city are creating very little and giving up chances too. Shame it’s not against a better team or I’d have bet +.

Was tempted under 4 in Ajax Atlanta at 1.7. It’s about as high of kickoff goal line as you will ever see in a relatively closely matched game. Do think it will be a very very open game but seems a little high. Holding out for something in play though, will see how it starts. Pretty big game for both in terms of going through.
 

Spiersey

Full Member
Joined
Feb 15, 2012
Messages
7,385
Location
United Kingdom.
Supports
Chelsea
Pool drifted from -2.25 this morning to -1.75 now. Will wait for lineups but think that’ll be a bet assuming it’s normal team. Mid are a really open team, they aren’t great defensively and can’t see them managing to park a bus for 90 minutes, their defence always has errors in it. Can see them trying to outplay Liverpool during spells and it ending very badly. I think an early goal and it will be 4-0 or something. I thought -2.25 was probably fair line, the drift does make me think it won’t be the usual front 3 though so holding off for now.

City are probably a touch too short; -1.25 is fair for me. Marseille aren’t great but city are creating very little and giving up chances too. Shame it’s not against a better team or I’d have bet +.

Was tempted under 4 in Ajax Atlanta at 1.7. It’s about as high of kickoff goal line as you will ever see in a relatively closely matched game. Do think it will be a very very open game but seems a little high. Holding out for something in play though, will see how it starts. Pretty big game for both in terms of going through.
whole front 3 being rested for Pool apparently, very annoying.
 

Knux

Full Member
Joined
Feb 25, 2014
Messages
1,820
Supports
AIK Stockholm
Double
Real Madrid and Atletico to win @3,10 seems generous.
 

awop

Odds winner of 'Odds or Evens 2022/2023'
Newbie
Joined
Sep 28, 2010
Messages
4,086
Location
Paris
Supports
Arsenal
Real Madrid is officially blackklisted for me :mad: They're a mess at the moment...
 

André Dominguez

Full Member
Joined
Aug 7, 2017
Messages
6,325
Location
Lisbon
Supports
Benfica, Académica
Pool drifted from -2.25 this morning to -1.75 now. Will wait for lineups but think that’ll be a bet assuming it’s normal team. Mid are a really open team, they aren’t great defensively and can’t see them managing to park a bus for 90 minutes, their defence always has errors in it. Can see them trying to outplay Liverpool during spells and it ending very badly. I think an early goal and it will be 4-0 or something. I thought -2.25 was probably fair line, the drift does make me think it won’t be the usual front 3 though so holding off for now.

City are probably a touch too short; -1.25 is fair for me. Marseille aren’t great but city are creating very little and giving up chances too. Shame it’s not against a better team or I’d have bet +.

Was tempted under 4 in Ajax Atlanta at 1.7. It’s about as high of kickoff goal line as you will ever see in a relatively closely matched game. Do think it will be a very very open game but seems a little high. Holding out for something in play though, will see how it starts. Pretty big game for both in terms of going through.
The city punt went well, but also because Marseille manager decided to use a "new" 5 defenders system and it backfired spectacularly with 2 of the 3 goals being scored by defenders being sloppy in possession, which is kind of ironic.