Football & Sports Betting Thread 2020/2021

André Dominguez

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Liverpool AH-2,5 @2.20 [FAIL]
Atleti - Salzburg NO BTTS @2.12 [FAIL]

Small punts:
NDB Ajax @2.75 [RETURNED]
Hapoel Jerusalem AH+4.5 @1.93 [WIN]
Bamberg @2.15 [WIN]
Not the best evenings, but at least the losses were small. Was expecting more from Pool, because the danish team is not that good when facing stronger teams. Atleti is defensively fragile this season.
 

Knux

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Real Madrid and Atletico to win @3,10 seems generous.
Well, this didn’t go too well. Real Madrid is a mess atm. Had another bet with atletico to win and under 2,5 goals in Porto game @3,50 that went good though.
 

André Dominguez

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Juve NDB @2.10
Club Brugge @2.10
Joventut AH+7.5 @1.98

Small punts:
NO BTTS at United match @2.30
Over 3.5 at Chelsea match @2.65
Sporting HT @2.10
Ulm AH+6.5 @1,96
Bourg AH+8.5 @1.95
 

André Dominguez

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Well, this didn’t go too well. Real Madrid is a mess atm. Had another bet with atletico to win and under 2,5 goals in Porto game @3,50 that went good though.
Atletico is no better either. The best thing they had were being defensively solid, but not anymore.
 

awop

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Hopefully tonight's games bring some normality back. I've gone for wins for Dortmund/Chelsea/PSG and Sevilla which should be quite safe :nervous:
Lazio's odds went horribly wrong with apparently 3 or 4 starters including Immobile and the GK testing positive yesterday. I had my bet already placed for a win so i've prepared myself to take the L :lol:
Also going with a small one on Barca @2.55. Juve with no CR7, struggling in the league and although they lost to Madrid i can see Messi stepping up following the Bartomeu news.
 

Knux

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Atletico is no better either. The best thing they had were being defensively solid, but not anymore.
True, but they made me a couple of wins lately.
PSG lineup looking strong, Di Maria, Neymar, Mbappé all starting in Istanbul tonight.
Going for PSG -1 @1,70
 

UNITED ACADEMY

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Hopefully tonight's games bring some normality back. I've gone for wins for Dortmund/Chelsea/PSG and Sevilla which should be quite safe :nervous:
Lazio's odds went horribly wrong with apparently 3 or 4 starters including Immobile and the GK testing positive yesterday. I had my bet already placed for a win so i've prepared myself to take the L :lol:
Also going with a small one on Barca @2.55. Juve with no CR7, struggling in the league and although they lost to Madrid i can see Messi stepping up following the Bartomeu news.
But Barca will also be without Pique.
 

Berbaclass

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United v Leipzig - BTTS & Over 2.5 @ 1.90

Superb bet IMO. I think Leipzig will definitely score and feel we will too.
 

Raredaredevil

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Hopefully tonight's games bring some normality back. I've gone for wins for Dortmund/Chelsea/PSG and Sevilla which should be quite safe :nervous:
Lazio's odds went horribly wrong with apparently 3 or 4 starters including Immobile and the GK testing positive yesterday. I had my bet already placed for a win so i've prepared myself to take the L :lol:
Also going with a small one on Barca @2.55. Juve with no CR7, struggling in the league and although they lost to Madrid i can see Messi stepping up following the Bartomeu news.
I went for this as well and added Barca win/draw to the accumulator. Good luck.
 

awop

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The big clubs acca went well tonight and got me 115€ :D
I also was one goal away from Lazio to win 850€ on another acca ! Immobile would have paid for my new iPhone, too bad :lol:
 

André Dominguez

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Juve NDB @2.10 FAIL
Club Brugge @2.10 FAIL
Joventut AH+7.5 @1.98 WIN

Small punts:
NO BTTS at United match @2.30 WIN
Over 3.5 at Chelsea match @2.65 WIN
Sporting HT @2.10 FAIL
Ulm AH+6.5 @1,96 WIN
Bourg AH+8.5 @1.95 WIN
Small profit overall. Can't complain with such a hit rate
 

Pagh Wraith

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Reading (top and flying) look big against 22nd place Coventry tomorrow. Almost 6/4 on Betfair. Any thoughts?
May have something to do with Reading producing a mere 6.2 xG so far (24th in the division!) They are also 24th for shots taken (Coventry 23rd). Amazing that they've got 7 wins and 1 draw out of that.
 

Danny Roberts

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May have something to do with Reading producing a mere 6.2 xG so far (24th in the division!) They are also 24th for shots taken (Coventry 23rd). Amazing that they've got 7 wins and 1 draw out of that.
Interesting, cheers. Any idea if their strikers are good or any more info. Only conceded 3 so guess xG conceded low. Which is the best site for xG in your opinion?
 

Pagh Wraith

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StatsBomb's model is the most accurate and sophisticated. They make some of their data freely available via fbref.com. Not for the Championship unfortutately but you can find some really advanced stats for Europe's top divisions there.

The numbers I quoted were from Infogol: https://www.infogol.net/en/leagues/english-football-league-championship-table-2020-21/264
Experimental 3-6-1 does statistical analysis of the English Football League and they also have xG tables: https://experimental361.com/2020/10/28/expected-goals-table-championship-27-28-oct-2020/
Shot data can be found here: http://www.footstats.co.uk/index.cfm?task=league_shots

Reading are definitely not rated very highly by the markets this season and their run of results does not seem sustainable.
 

Danny Roberts

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StatsBomb's model is the most accurate and sophisticated. They make some of their data freely available via fbref.com. Not for the Championship unfortutately but you can find some really advanced stats for Europe's top divisions there.

The numbers I quoted were from Infogol: https://www.infogol.net/en/leagues/english-football-league-championship-table-2020-21/264
Experimental 3-6-1 does statistical analysis of the English Football League and they also have xG tables: https://experimental361.com/2020/10/28/expected-goals-table-championship-27-28-oct-2020/
Shot data can be found here: http://www.footstats.co.uk/index.cfm?task=league_shots

Reading are definitely not rated very highly by the markets this season and their run of results does not seem sustainable.
OK, thanks for the info. Might rethink that one!
 

Knux

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PSV Eindhoven to win @ 2,10

Small bet: Leverkusen to win @ 2,05
 

Pagh Wraith

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Reading are definitely not rated very highly by the markets this season and their run of results does not seem sustainable.
Reading drifted out further and the match kicked off AH0 despite it being 22nd hosting 1st. Just goes to show again the table doesn't tell the whole story.

Pretty even game in the end and Reading suffered their first defeat of the season.
 

Berbaclass

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Slavia Mozyr v Dinamo Brest - BTTS & Over 2.5 @ 1.95

Been following the Belorussian league since the lockdown and I feel this a very good price. There tends to be goals very often and Brest are probably the best side in the division along with BATE right now and score a lot. They also concede their fair share of goals too.

Think it's a 1-3 scoreline or something.
 

Danny Roberts

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Reading drifted out further and the match kicked off AH0 despite it being 22nd hosting 1st. Just goes to show again the table doesn't tell the whole story.

Pretty even game in the end and Reading suffered their first defeat of the season.
yeah, I still backed reading but 40% of original stale so cheers. Interesting and I paid attention to the odds as ko approached as was interested to see what would happen.
 

One Night Only

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Over 21.5 free kicks in man city game.

Oliver the ref, paired with the conditions I see some silly fouls and a stop start game.
 

Berbaclass

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I’m half tempted by Newcastle DC after seeing that Everton team. Very average looking and Newcastle can definitely get a result here. Price is @ 1.70
 

RedPed

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Grealish & Ward-Prowse both to have 1+ SOTs @4.50 was a nice start to the day. Now to blow it all on the United game.