SARS CoV-2 coronavirus / Covid-19 (No tin foil hat silliness please)

Pogue Mahone

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It is, but we all know that the main transmission is not coming from the kids but those dropping off, picking up and congregating for a good old chat. At my school I see some parents picking up kids from multiple households.

also I know from seeing it happen, there are kids brought to school sick. Parents aren’t getting their kids tested so not going to show up as positive cases
We don’t know though. I haven’t seen a single report of a cluster from parents gathering outside schools.

If people are sending their kids to school sick - or deliberately avoiding getting them tested - then they’re selfish idiots. That goes without saying. I don’t think its relevant to this study, though. Which seems to have either involved random testing or testing everyone at the school (would need to see paper to know for sure)
 

acnumber9

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I’ve no idea. The US definition of “schools” (which includes universities) makes all their data hard to interpret. So it’s good to see US data which references specific ages.
I think they have. From a quick Google I seen this:

“Students can only return if they have already signed up for in-person learning. About 190,000 elementary students and their parents must sign a consent form. In total, about 335,000 students out of the 1.1 million in the city have chosen in-person classes.”

That was in November. When schools had already been closed for ten days. So about a third of students.
 

Pogue Mahone

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I think they have. From a quick Google I seen this:

“Students can only return if they have already signed up for in-person learning. About 190,000 elementary students and their parents must sign a consent form. In total, about 335,000 students out of the 1.1 million in the city have chosen in-person classes.”

That was in November. When schools had already been closed for ten days. So about a third of students.
Well there you go.

Although I’m assuming the data above is from the 335,000 students that chose in-person classes.
 

acnumber9

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Well there you go.

Although I’m assuming the data above is from the 335,000 students that chose in-person classes.
Presumably. Doesn’t really tell us a whole lot about what to expect from schools returning at full capacity though. Split learning always seemed like the best compromise to me.
 

starman

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What do people think of Vaccine passports? It seems a given for international travel, but for domestic uses?

 

Penna

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Horrible idea. Bad enough for travelling never mind domestic
It's going to happen, however, even though there's no precedent. Yellow Fever vaccination is required to visit a small number of places, but that's a vaccine where there's only one version and it protects you for life. It's also to protect the individual traveller rather than to protect other people.
 

Oggmonster

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What do people think of Vaccine passports? It seems a given for international travel, but for domestic uses?

With stuff like this what happens if you've not had the vaccine yet? I.e you've just not had your call to get it rather than refuse it? Apologises it been answered already bit can never find the answer to it. Seems pretty unfair to be excluded through no fault of your own.
 

MTF

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What do people think of Vaccine passports? It seems a given for international travel, but for domestic uses?

My main issue is any form of implementation before widespread availability of vaccines. For International travel then it would only be "fair" when the vaccine was widely available in all countries which will take quite a while. Not that fairness will keep it from actually being implemented, but I for sure am against it.

Think of it this way: the younger/healthier parts of society -- for whom covid presents a fraction sometimes 1/100 of the risk for older/people with comorbidities -- sacrificed many of their usual activities (incl travel) to protect those at risk. Same with vaccine distribution prioritizing those most at risk. But then on top of that will the younger/healthier population also be the last ones to return to normal life?
 

Gambit

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With stuff like this what happens if you've not had the vaccine yet? I.e you've just not had your call to get it rather than refuse it? Apologises it been answered already bit can never find the answer to it. Seems pretty unfair to be excluded through no fault of your own.
Quiet Plague bearer. Us Vaxxies will now rule the world, for at least a few months this summer. Every last wheezing, grunting crippled one of us.
 

Sparky_Hughes

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I would have been totally against the idea of vaccine passports until yesterday, but now that my appointment has come through Im totally in favour joking
 

F-Red

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What do people think of Vaccine passports? It seems a given for international travel, but for domestic uses?

Not a fan here for domestic uses, the roll out has been driven by age primarily which means a passport is penalising the young in a pandemic which has naturally prioritised the older generations. Then there is a proposition of people who cannot take a vaccine for medical reasons, and therefore by having a vaccine passport penalises them through no fault of their own.

Outside of the moral discussion on it, operationally it's going to be a nightmare to manage in day to day life, and more so for businesses.
 

Pogue Mahone

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Not a fan here for domestic uses, the roll out has been driven by age primarily which means a passport is penalising the young in a pandemic which has naturally prioritised the older generations. Then there is a proposition of people who cannot take a vaccine for medical reasons, and therefore by having a vaccine passport penalises them through no fault of their own.

Outside of the moral discussion on it, operationally it's going to be a nightmare to manage in day to day life, and more so for businesses.
Why think of it as penalising anyone?

There’s been a bit of a theme throughout this pandemic of young people being quick to talk up their own hardship and slow to consider how much harder this has been for the elderly. At an individual level, the sense of threat and risk of imminent death has been horrendous for everyone above a certain age. Plus the months and months of “normal” life already lost to this pandemic are for more precious to them than to someone with decades of life ahead of them.

They’re being vaccinated first for a reason and if this means they get a passport for earlier access to certain locations/activities then good on them. They deserve it.

A bit of empathy and patience is what’s needed here instead of griping about being penalised for being young
 

Eboue

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Why think of it as penalising anyone?

There’s been a bit of a theme throughout this pandemic of young people being quick to talk up their own hardship and slow to consider how much harder this has been for the elderly. At an individual level, the sense of threat and risk of imminent death has been horrendous for everyone above a certain age. Plus the months and months of “normal” life already lost to this pandemic are for more precious to them than to someone with decades of life ahead of them.

They’re being vaccinated first for a reason and if this means they get a passport for earlier access to certain locations/activities then good on them. They deserve it.

A bit of empathy and patience is what’s needed here instead of griping about being penalised for being young
Because they'll get the vaccine later. We're not all 45 year old dentists pogue.
 

Oggmonster

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Why think of it as penalising anyone?

There’s been a bit of a theme throughout this pandemic of young people being quick to talk up their own hardship and slow to consider how much harder this has been for the elderly. At an individual level, the sense of threat and risk of imminent death has been horrendous for everyone above a certain age. Plus the months and months of “normal” life already lost to this pandemic are for more precious to them than to someone with decades of life ahead of them.

They’re being vaccinated first for a reason and if this means they get a passport for earlier access to certain locations/activities then good on them. They deserve it.

A bit of empathy and patience is what’s needed here instead of griping about being penalised for being young
Surely it's pretty obvious to see why younger people would be annoyed??

They've not refused the vaccine they've just not been called up go get it. The statistics clearly show younger people wouldn't be as high risk as older. The message throughout was ororext everyone and younger people were told to do it to help the elderly and vulnerable...they did that and are then potentially told they won't be allowed to do anything til they get the vaccine themselves through no fault of their own
 

MTF

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Why think of it as penalising anyone?

There’s been a bit of a theme throughout this pandemic of young people being quick to talk up their own hardship and slow to consider how much harder this has been for the elderly. At an individual level, the sense of threat and risk of imminent death has been horrendous for everyone above a certain age. Plus the months and months of “normal” life already lost to this pandemic are for more precious to them than to someone with decades of life ahead of them.

They’re being vaccinated first for a reason and if this means they get a passport for earlier access to certain locations/activities then good on them. They deserve it.

A bit of empathy and patience is what’s needed here instead of griping about being penalised for being young
You're viewing society as a risk management game then, not people who have equal rights.
 

Pogue Mahone

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Surely it's pretty obvious to see why younger people would be annoyed??

They've not refused the vaccine they've just not been called up go get it. The statistics clearly show younger people wouldn't be as high risk as older. The message throughout was ororext everyone and younger people were told to do it to help the elderly and vulnerable...they did that and are then potentially told they won't be allowed to do anything til they get the vaccine themselves through no fault of their own
Not sure what you mean? None of this is anyone’s fault. Young people will get vaccinated later for exactly the reason you point out. If this means older people get to do certain things sooner than them, so be it. Nobody is being penalised. The sequence is completely fair and rational.
 

F-Red

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Why think of it as penalising anyone?

There’s been a bit of a theme throughout this pandemic of young people being quick to talk up their own hardship and slow to consider how much harder this has been for the elderly. At an individual level, the sense of threat and risk of imminent death has been horrendous for everyone above a certain age. Plus the months and months of “normal” life already lost to this pandemic are for more precious to them than to someone with decades of life ahead of them.

They’re being vaccinated first for a reason and if this means they get a passport for earlier access to certain locations/activities then good on them. They deserve it.

A bit of empathy and patience is what’s needed here instead of griping about being penalised for being young
Well unless they give vaccines out to all at the same time, then effectively the younger ages groups are going to be restricted in what/where they can go until they get it done. Something which is largely out of their control.

It's not about empathy or patience here, it's a fact that restricting society on the basis of having a vaccine, where the public have no control over when they can receive isn't workable and creates something of a two tier society.
 

Pogue Mahone

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You're viewing society as a risk management game then, not people who have equal rights.
Which is exactly how it needs to be viewed during a pandemic. Same rationale as a lot of the people who got vaccinated early were forced to shield much more carefully early on in the pandemic, even during the summer, while the rest of us were hanging out in beer gardens. If they get their life back a month or two sooner than me I’m not going to begrudge them or moan about how I’m being penalised through no fault of my own.
 

Pogue Mahone

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Well unless they give vaccines out to all at the same time, then effectively the younger ages groups are going to be restricted in what/where they can go until they get it done. Something which is largely out of their control.

It's not about empathy or patience here, it's a fact that restricting society on the basis of having a vaccine, where the public have no control over when they can receive isn't workable and creates something of a two tier society.
There’s been a two tier society throughout this pandemic. Ever since the concept of shielding/cocooning was introduced.
 

F-Red

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There’s been a two tier society throughout this pandemic. Ever since the concept of shielding/cocooning was introduced.
That's not a solid reason to continue a two tier society when the risk profile of the pandemic is at a much lower level thanks to the vaccination programme.
 

MTF

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Which is exactly how it needs to be viewed during a pandemic. Same rationale as a lot of the people who got vaccinated early were forced to shield much more carefully early on in the pandemic, while the rest of us hung out in beer gardens.
That's so clearly a myopic view. It is still a society and you still should try to maintain most of its functions as well as its cohesion. That cohesion breaks down if one group for whatever reason perceives itself as being unjustly penalized.
 

Oggmonster

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Not sure what you mean? None of this is anyone’s fault. Young people will get vaccinated later for exactly the reason you point out. If this means older people get to do certain things sooner than them, so be it. Nobody is being penalised. The sequence is completely fair and rational.
Probably didn't word it the beat. Each to their own I suppose with all this. I completely understand the logic and I agree if someone is refusing a vaccine its ridiculously selfish but younger people here haven't refused it they've just not been offered it. The higher risk have been vaccinated and plenty more would of been by the April date for example. If they opened gyms/bars for example then said to people they can't come in through no fault of their own it just seems very harsh and would do plenty more harm to people's houses who are essentially forced to stay in for longer.

In all honesty I've avoided covid conversations for months but now it seems we're getting somewhere it'd just be shite to be told things are open but I can't use them. Probably is somewhat selfish but we've all done our part for a year now despite on a personal level my health being good and I'd obviously be considered low risk hence why I won't get the vaccine straight away
 

Pogue Mahone

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That's not a solid reason to continue a two tier society when the risk profile of the pandemic is at a much lower level thanks to the vaccination programme.
Sure. I hope we don’t need vaccination passports anyway. If all the most vulnerable are properly protected then hopefully the less vulnerable can get back to a much more normal life, with or without a vaccine. In a way, this is all hypothetical. It just grinds my gears when people underestimate how hard this has been for the most elderly/vulnerable. As I said, I certainly wouldn’t begrudge them a return to full normality a month or two earlier than me. They deserve it.
 

F-Red

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Sure. I hope we don’t need vaccination passports anyway. If all the most vulnerable are properly protected then hopefully the less vulnerable can get back to a much more normal life, with or without a vaccine. In a way, this is all hypothetical. It just grinds my gears when people underestimate how hard this has been for the most elderly/vulnerable. As I said, I certainly wouldn’t begrudge them a return to full normality a month or two earlier than me. They deserve it.
If the early data regarding transmission reduction appears to come true when we have a wider data set, then we shouldn't need a passport. Those young enough it's then up to them about managing their risk with the virus, and the older and most vulnerable have protection. The other part about opening up society, is that the younger generations have been highlighted as critical to the recovery of the economy, and limiting their mobility will only counter that.
 

MTF

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Sure. I hope we don’t need vaccination passports anyway. If all the most vulnerable are properly protected then hopefully the less vulnerable can get back to a much more normal life, with or without a vaccine. In a way, this is all hypothetical. It just grinds my gears when people underestimate how hard this has been for the most elderly/vulnerable. As I said, I certainly wouldn’t begrudge them a return to full normality a month or two earlier than me. They deserve it.
On the other hand, by logic, because the benefit of all of these actions (lockdown, restrictions, pushing vaccines) are for the elderly and vulnerable, the balance of benefits-minus-costs should be positive for them. If it's not positive even for them then that's actually an argument that none of the actions should have been taken because young people only pretty much got the costs column and therefore the benefit to total society was less than the cost.

I'm playing devil's advocate a bit in this one, but I do think it's the type of thinking that needs to at least factor into decision making around this.
 

Nytram Shakes

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That's really interesting there is a thread that explains the slide. Have to admit it goes over my head a bit, so I don't know if what they are saying is true or not. it's good if it is true though.

It's just weird how it isn't been reported anywhere, which makes me sceptical that is not the whole story or there are elements people don't understand yet.
 

Pogue Mahone

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That's really interesting there is a thread that explains the slide. Have to admit it goes over my head a bit, so I don't know if what they are saying is true or not. it's good if it is true though.

It's just weird how it isn't been reported anywhere, which makes me sceptical that is not the whole story or there are elements people don't understand yet.
The reason there’s doubts about the AZ vaccine and the SA variant is because of results from this study. Which is small patient numbers, so by no means conclusive, but more useful than the info in that Tweet. Which is all in vitro data so won’t necessarily translate to efficacy in clinical practice.

Basically, the jury is still out but there’s definitely a real concern about efficacy against that variant. Which is why South Africa decided not to use the AZ vaccine (yet)
 

F-Red

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That's really interesting there is a thread that explains the slide. Have to admit it goes over my head a bit, so I don't know if what they are saying is true or not. it's good if it is true though.

It's just weird how it isn't been reported anywhere, which makes me sceptical that is not the whole story or there are elements people don't understand yet.
It's interpretation of the data in front of you, it's difficult to say true or false when the data they're showing is that the antigens which the vaccine targets, aren't affected by the virus mutation variant. Eg. so the original mutation that the vaccine was designed for will work with the variants.

What has plagued the AZ vaccine throughout its whole timespan is the poor reporting of the clinical trials. The SA study (not peer reviewed) where they tested it on 2,000 people (average age of 31) of mild/moderate cases, is a study of a similar challenge for AZ. That slide I quoted was on the same published study, but not reported in media.
 

acnumber9

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Plus the months and months of “normal” life already lost to this pandemic are for more precious to them than to someone with decades of life ahead of them.
Are they though? I get what you’re saying, but those people had their youth. Not that anyone is losing all their youth but still. A young, single person losing this time to socialise is probably worse than an older, settled person losing it.

On the topic of the vaccine passport. I get the feeling any domestic use would be incredibly short lived. A compromise to get places open before they slowly stop asking for them.
 

Pogue Mahone

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Are they though? I get what you’re saying, but those people had their youth. Not that anyone is losing all their youth but still. A young, single person losing this time to socialise is probably worse than an older, settled person losing it.

On the topic of the vaccine passport. I get the feeling any domestic use would be incredibly short lived. A compromise to get places open before they slowly stop asking for them.
Fair point. Although their socialisation takes different forms. Not being able to hug your grandkids for a year has to be similarly painful to missing out on a year of dating/partying.

But yeah, this is all probably a moot point.
 

massi83

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Are they though? I get what you’re saying, but those people had their youth. Not that anyone is losing all their youth but still. A young, single person losing this time to socialise is probably worse than an older, settled person losing it.

On the topic of the vaccine passport. I get the feeling any domestic use would be incredibly short lived. A compromise to get places open before they slowly stop asking for them.
Yeah something like 2-6 months seems ok to me, depending on country's situation. Many are thinking of it in the wrong way. It isn't punishing anyone, but helping to open earlier. The choice is either to keep closed for everyone or to use vaccine passports and open to some. Unfortunately in many places opening up for everyone is still possible.