1.
You're the definition of a pseudo-intellectual. You can craft a few sentences but there is no truth or substance to anything you say.
1. Those aren't showing tightening. OH if anything is suddenly looking more promising. AZ had some trashy polls. It looks around 3-6 consistently.
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Apologies for hurting your simple sensibilities. I'll try to dumb down to your level next time, and claim a Biden 100 EC win as certainty.
NC is troubling.
Thanks that's 1am on 3rd?
To be fair at least one of those was part of a triangle jerk.
In the very piece you quoted here, it is noted that USC/Dornsife was wrong (off by R+5 in fact), and Trafalgar has called a litany of races wrong in R favour in there. So is it shy Trump voters (which is a dubious claim at best), or just heavily partisan pollster who are wrong all the time but lucked out once?
Emerson are for some reason usually a few points redder than Siena/Monmouth. Not played poll surgeon with them, but it's to be expected.
Try this, Trump is ahead after election day, proclaims victory. Biden refuses to concede because there's millions more ballots left to be counted, and they know they are likely to result in a Dem victory. Trump, his cronies and the GOP elected representatives (plus the right wing media) blast the airwaves with constant claims that the Democrats are trying to rig the election. They run to every court they can find, and every case they lose they immediately appeal. Meanwhile Trump is demanding his supporters come out and defend America and their beloved leader against the hordes of radical socialists and 'thugs' who are trying to hold a coup against him. Meanwhile the left are demonstrating against Trump's extremely blatant attempts to rig the election. Tempers are higher than they've ever been, both sides believe they are defending their country, and basically all the countries elected representatives are openly talking about the other side trying to steal the election.
Nate Silver shit all over both those polls on Fridays 538 podcast
He.Will.Pivot
The 4th.
No, but Susan Collins will send him a VERY sternly worded letter.
Cheers mate. I know it's easy to Google but this thread is active enough to get a check in!
Tbf, if the trumpers are out on the streets demonstrating I’d be nowhere near those crazy feckers. You’d want to be mad to try to counter demonstrate those loonies.
Hopefully head first into a wall.
Yeah, if it results in just a bunch of folk wagging their fingers at him and saying "that's not very nice, Donnie" then the world is buggered. Trump became the blueprint for other world politicians to ignore facts and do whatever the feck they want and that would make them go even further into wankersville territory.
Thanks for the info.
NC is one of the states I have quite a lot of exposure in, so anything I can do to massage my nerves... Did you see my question to you earlier?
I did not, I'll look for it now: I've been not getting updates for responses/tags in this thread.
Are the Bread & Roses party on the ballot in your state?
Nope
What do you mean by having a lot of exposure in?
So that’s what happened to Axl.
Declaring victory means nothing in the absence of actually winning 270.
I get that. What I'm talking about is whether the election institutions and courts being able to handle the pressure afterwards. By pressure, I mean preventing counting of mail-in, absentee ballots after the election night either through lawsuits or actual physical prevention through protests and hooliganism directed towards those institutions. We know they are clearly thinking about that, we just don't know whether they are capable of actually pulling it off.
The silent minority of the majority!
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Literally his MO his entire adult life in business. feck people over then litigate everything.
I do gotta say that despite my feelings and online search history im sure being very clear- that I continue to get hit with pro Trump ads - and.. More concerning imho- Republican party sponsored ads pushing people to vote in person. That imho shows how much their entire gameplan is centered around attacking the mail ins and absentee ballots, and believing they can take it thru in person votes (in case it wasn't clear yet). I wont feel better until come election day the Biden and/or dem voters are showing up en masse for that as well - as f-ed up in a way it is that folks will need to do that now.
I like how he says "I'm not going to do the thing" quickly followed by "I'm totally going to do the thing."
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