FrankDrebin
Don't call me Shirley
"Kamel-Back" throw these people in the bin!
"Kamel-Back" throw these people in the bin!
Young money just wants those tax cuts.It’s shocking that anyone, regardless of skin color, would be so idiotic to think that this president has done that much for criminal reform. Save for some high profile releases of inmates who were out there wrongly, he hasn’t done much at all.
It just goes to show how the fascist philosophy of citizens falling more easily prey to the bigger lie is spot on.
Just a few more days and we can all go back to complaining about United!Really need this to be over now.
Cubans are simply afraid of the US taking a turn towards socialism/communism. That is what they risked their lives escaping from. You'll see the same thing happen with other immigrant populations from former communist countries. They learned their lesson through first hand experience.From all the data I've seen this cycle, it's purely the Cuban population driving the pro-GOP numbers among Hispanic voters in FL. Other non-Cuban Hispanic FL groups are more in line with the rest of the country. Basically, FL is still held hostage by a bunch of Cuban exiles who are unhappy they can't exploit their fellow former countrymen to make every last buck off their backs (or that's what it seems like to me).
Tiny part of me doesn't want this to end.
If you're a betting man, this is your chance for some easy money. If the polls are to be trusted, anything but a Biden win would be an upset at this point.4/9 odds for Biden look far too low based on this thread, and 538.
Am I wrong? Would anyone else jump in?
As long as Biden wins.Just a few more days and we can all go back to complaining about United!
Ah Lil Wayne who is a private school bubba and about as ghetto as me.Tweet
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And another bites the dust.
If not we're all relocating to Vanuatu. Pacific Cafe.As long as Biden wins.
Can you talk through the bets you made there?This is what I also have. Spread out the bets for security, if Biden wins 300-329/360+ EVs then it’s 2k profit, 330-359 about 12k, if Trump wins then about 1k loss.
Fortunately I’ve gone dry now and have to work for most of the day anyway, so at least this time I won’t have to nurse a hangover while working in the evening should the worst happens.
You lost me, sir.Can you talk through the bets you made there?
As in, I'd be interested to know what the bets you made were that left you with that exposure? Or is it as simple as you bet $500 on Biden winning 320-359 and $500 on Biden winning 360+?You lost me, sir.
Updated the previous post. I was actually off in predicting winnings with the 300-329 scenario, which wouldn’t be shabby at all.As in, I'd be interested to know what the bets you made were that left you with that exposure? Or is it as simple as you bet $500 on Biden winning 320-359 and $500 on Biden winning 360+?
He’s already mad at Barr for not prosecuting the Hunter Biden story, so this would be par for the course.Tweet
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Trump claims the only way joe biden can win is if the Scotus fail to act....the fascist is coming out to play
Michters No.1, Wild Turkey 101, Gentleman Jack, and Maker’s Mark.What are you polishing off?
I’m going to decant then bigger red wines I’ve chosen for that day on Monday night. Not worth waiting until Biden is declared the winner on Tuesday night / Wednesday morning as the wine won’t be ready to drink immediately upon opening.
Interesting, thanks for sharing. Will take a look at those and potentially follow your lead.Updated the previous post. I was actually off in predicting winnings with the 300-329 scenario, which wouldn’t be shabby at all.
All odds can be checked on TAB, the Australia/NZ gambling monopoly.
I claim no responsibility for any monetary loss which stems from that potential course of action. Remember @ItsEssexRob , the Chavs fan who got ruined with his gambling addictionInteresting, thanks for sharing. Will take a look at those and potentially follow your lead.
That's alien to me. I basically told my family to feck off with their right-wing bullshit and conspiracy crap. They all know to not stir the hornets nest IRT politics and religion when around me. It's sad to see people tow a line to not upset family/culture. We progress by bucking the trends.Thats what I’ve seen also. I’ve heard Qanus horseshit has played well in the Columbian populace, but I doubt it would have been as strong as the Cuban lunacy.
It’s weird, I was very close to a few Cuban-Americans in college (dated a couple, one of my best friends to this day from college is Cuban), they were all first generation Americans, & they were all pretty liberal when we first met. To a person, they all developed their conservative stance later in life. This is not an uncommon occurrence as one typically gets older, to gain more conservative beliefs, but theirs were hardcore shifts due to parental influence & incessant right wing Cuban propaganda in SE Florida. Also to person, they’ve all admitted that they wish they held their liberal views of the past, but they didn’t want to let their families & their culture down by remaining liberal.
Somewhat anecdotal, but totally common down there.
What gets me is the apathy that Puerto Rican voters had in 2018 in voting in the state of Florida. I thought that group would be very keen to vote Democrat back then & even moreso now, they could offset the Cuban vote somewhat. But, it appears the apathy still exists in their ranks.
Some cultures value the sense of community in a way Western individualism can’t comprehend. I have a few Pakistani friends who are all bright, pretty liberal, drink and party all day long but to a man accept arranged marriage with their cousins. Social ostracism is a powerful tool.That's alien to me. I basically told my family to feck off with their right-wing bullshit and conspiracy crap. They all know to not stir the hornets nest IRT politics and religion when around me. It's sad to see people tow a line to not upset family/culture. We progress by bucking the trends.
The polls had clinton winning by a landslide last time too... even on election day.If you're a betting man, this is your chance for some easy money. If the polls are to be trusted, anything but a Biden win would be an upset at this point.
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This sounds exciting but wait until we find out that someone called Declan Trimble, who died in 1892, voted for Trump 1.7 million times.Tweet
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Blue Wave?Tweet
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I get that. But I'd also think with how loose Western culture is that many of these pockets in the US (possibly other countries) would eventually begin to break these ties that bind. I'm sure it has in some cultures but perhaps the SE Florida Cuban culture is still dominated with the adults that fled in the 70s/80s still influencing the generations below.Some cultures value the sense of community in a way Western individualism can’t comprehend. I have a few Pakistani friends who are all bright, pretty liberal, drink and party all day long but to a man accept arranged marriage with their cousins. Social ostracism is a powerful tool.
Trying not to get my hopes up on Texas but it's hard seeing these numbers and not think we're maybe underestimating how many former Trump voters or registered Republicans have flipped in the south. Either way a big turnout is always good news for Biden need the same in Georgia now.Blue Wave?
Trying not to get my hopes up on Texas but it's hard seeing these numbers and not think we're maybe underestimating how many former Trump voters or registered Republicans have flipped in the south. Either way a big turnout is always good news for Biden need the same in Georgia now.
- W.I think — tide turning — see, as I remember — I was raised in the desert, but tides kind of — it’s easy to see a tide turn — did I say those words?
Now bulling the justices , that will end up wellTweet
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Trump claims the only way joe biden can win is if the Scotus fail to act....the fascist is coming out to play
It would be far closer to the truth, too. Calling Biden radical left is possibly the most ridiculous thing of all time.It annoys me that many on the right call the left the Radical Left by default. The media/left in the US should start calling them the Radical Right.
A bottle of Amarula, which is apparently available in the US.What are you polishing off?
I’m going to decant then bigger red wines I’ve chosen for that day on Monday night. Not worth waiting until Biden is declared the winner on Tuesday night / Wednesday morning as the wine won’t be ready to drink immediately upon opening.
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That's a myth, you know that, right?The polls had clinton winning by a landslide last time too... even on election day.
Polls are BS.
What I gather from it is that the final polling doesn't deviate that much from the final popular vote - and a 5+ popular vote for Biden should be ample to win him the EC right? Basically has to be down to 2.5 ish to be a toss up?Looks a bit wrong. Clinton didn't win 2016.
Is there any way that could legally work against him in the way his old tweets did with the various bans he tried to enforce? I remember them being quoted in cases.Now bulling the justices , that will end up well
I think 538 did an article on this at one point. It's somewhere around 6-7 points where it becomes extremely unlikely Trump could win. If I recall correctly, at 5 he'd still have a 20% chance or so.What I gather from it is that the final polling doesn't deviate that much from the final popular vote - and a 5+ popular vote for Biden should be ample to win him the EC right? Basically has to be down to 2.5 ish to be a toss up?