As expected.
2026 US Elections & Beyond
- Thread starter calodo2003
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In the latest edition of the United Hour Podcast, we interview Duncan Drasdo of MUST - covering ticket prices, new stadium, INEOS and what fans should be demanding from our club.
Also, due to technical issues we couldn't put a notice up for the previous episode which was about the game against Bournemouth and other stuff. If you'd like to listen to it, click here.
A DINO in north Raleigh is going down hard.
Great to see constituents having buyer's remorse & acting on it.
Great to see constituents having buyer's remorse & acting on it.
Yes, but I’d caution that voters often have this weird compartmentalization between state vs federal races. Some Rs who were happy to vote for Cooper because they felt the R supermajority in NC legislatures can curb his worst instincts will be reluctant to do the same for a 6 year term Senate seat that can decide the majority.
Oh, for sure. NC has had back to back Dem Gov's and AG's. My excitement is "tepid". There is not incumbent, so the name ID is going to be with Cooper.
The generic ballot now is D+5. It was D+8.4 in 2018 with a more favorable map and Rs increased their Senate majority then. You can’t just shout ‘blue wave’ and hope it will sort everything out. Senatorial candidates have a pretty damn big incumbency advantage.
The generic ballot seems increasingly less useful and predictive these days. Its a fun way to look back at past elections, but the dynamics of voter turnout are increasingly unpredictable in the Trump era.
Who do you think was president in 2018?
Gonzalez neck and neck early in his primary. Green trailing early in his (both candidates are incumbents thanks to GOP Gerrymandering)
The dynamics have shifted since then. It’s a nice way to look at old we elections though. Ultimately everything is a turnout game.
Its looking line a runoff for the Rs and Talarico for the Dems. If it ends up Paxton v Talarico, there is a chance.
I'm hoping whoever wins (it does look like it will be Talarico at this point) has the support of the losing candidate. A united party in TX is essential to have a chance. It seemed to be a pretty amicable campaign.
True, and it does seem like both Dem candidates get along with one another so he shouldn't have too much trouble with her voters.
The dynamics have *intensified* since then. 20/22/24 all continued with the trend of Dems doing better in mid term and special elections, but still hitting against an oftimes much bigger wall in Senate races, Collins overperfomed her polling by 13 points in 20, Tester lost, Brown lost, Florida is solid R. Were it not for Trump’s very stupid antics in 2020, the Georgia double runoffs might well have turned out differently and D wouldn’t have 4 years of Senate control. Their saving graces were in races out west with the Reid machine remnants saving Cortez Masto and R shooting themselves in AZ by trying to push duds like McSally and Masters and a certified lunatic in Lake (and those races were open or with incumbency adv for D)
Quality of candidate still matters, but I will be extremely surprised if Dems manage to run the gamut and not only defend all their seats but pick up ME, NC and OH this Nov, let alone pipe dreams like TX or FL. In fact, I’m betting on precisely the opposite, and stand to gain, or lose, quite a bit of dosh from it.
Candidate quality definitely does matter. The GOP is about to put up another flawed candidate in Ken Paxton.
I think Talarico stands a good chance of beating him.
The Rs are worried about Texas and Ohio apparently. Both winnable for the Dems if they right candidates end up running
Texas needs to get their election crap in order. This Dallas thing is rediculous.
I do wonder if this will disinfranch Jasmine voters against voting in the general election (which may be the goal).
I do wonder if this will disinfranch Jasmine voters against voting in the general election (which may be the goal).
I think it’s due to MAGA refusing to do a joint primary, so everyone is confused where to go to vote.
She's getting clobbered by nearly 10 points and is apparently not concepding and will file a lawsuit
Perfect, just what we needed.
She should if the State was telling people in Dallas the wrong precinct to go to then the state Supreme Court didn't allow them to extend the polling hours. They are screwing Jasmine over.
She's getting smoked, so I don't think it would make up the difference.
Probably not and I worry her voting block will sit out the general election because of this.
Black voters aren’t new to this, they will turn out.
She also has to clean up her messaging, it’s fine highlighting irregularities and voter suppression, but don’t let it turn into intra-party fight if she still harbors future ambition. American voters don’t take kindly to sore losers (except Trump), crying foul probably killed Stacey Abrams career, and she had a much stronger case.
I hope so. She would be formidable as a campaign ally to Talarico.
It will depend on her attitude and whether she finally concedes instead of moaning about it. If she turns it into a racial issue, it could hurt Talarico in Nov - even though he had nothing to do with the decisions being made tonight.
With all of the votes in (minus provisional), the NC Senate Majority Leader since 2011 Phil Berger Sr is down 2 votes to the sheriff of Rockingham County. The sheriff is an insane moron, but Berger losing would be a fantastic result. Berger re-gerrymandered NC's congressional districts in exchange for Trump's endorsement in this race.
https://er.ncsbe.gov/contest_details.html?election_dt=03/03/2026&county_id=0&contest_id=1942
Closer to home, it seems like Nida Allam isn't going to pull out the win over Valerie Foushee thanks to Orange and Chatham counties. I'm going to personally blame @WI_Red.
https://er.ncsbe.gov/contest_details.html?election_dt=03/03/2026&county_id=0&contest_id=1942
Closer to home, it seems like Nida Allam isn't going to pull out the win over Valerie Foushee thanks to Orange and Chatham counties. I'm going to personally blame @WI_Red.
Hey, I voted for her!With all of the votes in (minus provisional), the NC Senate Majority Leader since 2011 Phil Berger Sr is down 2 votes to the sheriff of Rockingham County. The sheriff is an insane moron, but Berger losing would be a fantastic result.
https://er.ncsbe.gov/contest_details.html?election_dt=03/03/2026&county_id=0&contest_id=1942
Closer to home, it seems like Nida Allam isn't going to pull out the win over Valerie Foushee thanks to Orange and Chatham counties. I'm going to personally blame @WI_Red.
Edit: the bulk of the remaining ballots are wake and Durham, where she is leading, so it’s going to be close, but probably a close loss.
Durham has officially reported all of their votes except provisionals/military votes so it might get a little closer, but I can't see her pulling it out.
Well, Dan Crenshaw lost his primary, the fcking asshole.
The Dems could learn alot from Talarico message
He is the only person I could see pulling fundamental Christians away from MAGA.
Elbridge Colby trying to walk it back. It's not going to work!
You'd imagine if republican base stopped nominating these characters, senate would be well out of reach for dems, they are close to maxing out on swing seats as it is.
I think long term the Dems will get Maine back, Collins should at best get this term and no more, she’d be pushing 80 by the time she’s up for election again. Beyond that, I don’t see where their next long term seat comes from, under their current political strategy, without DC statehood, while seats in place like PA, MI, WI become increasingly precarious (and even MN) due to demographic trends, while NV as it has shown in 24 is still purplish under certain conditions, that’s before we get to GA and AZ where they hold all 4 with all being swings/lean red seats.
The only way they reverse that and make seats in red states competitive against is embracing Sanders brand of economic populism (with tweaks in the language, people don’t like ‘oligarchy’, for instance) and social conservatism (to some degrees, so less overt support for womens and minority rights, harder line on immigration, more lips service to religious authority, basically a return to 90s morals). The thing is I’m not sure they are capable of that, even if just for political engineering, because the former offends the donors while the later offends the base.
She doesn't actually say those words in that clip?
Anyway, is there anything to this in terms of shenanigans from the Republicans? I actually read somewhere, that the Republicans had an interest in her getting nomination, because she'd be easier to beat in the general.
In other news, Dan Crenshaw lost his primary. Apparently to someone more extreme.
Hear hear!! Dead right. And the same goes for the UK and the Netherlands.
Looks like both Paxton and Cornyn will have a fight on their hands if the Rs are going to retain their seat.
and in Maine......looks like its Plattner's race to lose. That's assuming no further negative information about him comes out between now and June.
and in Maine......looks like its Plattner's race to lose. That's assuming no further negative information about him comes out between now and June.
Regarding Texas I've come to the conclusion it's like watching match of the day and hoping for a different score.
You wouldn't be blamed for feeling that way. Its been a long time since TX was anything by red. But the same could've also been said for various other states who have gone blue in recent cycles. Georgia being the latest, and was preceded by the likes of AZ, and CO going back several cycles.