In light of the standings we have right now -- i.e. with Arsenal, City, Newcastle and us finishing top 4 -- this is how the top 6 summarize with my forecasts:
Note that only we and City have published our 21/22 AR. With the other clubs, I have looked at Off the Balls forecasts for 21/22, and made my own forecast for 22/23 and 23/24 based on their forecast. However, the bottom line for me that I feel quite comfortable with from a margin of error perspective:
* Liverpool and Arsenal can spend as long as they finish top 4 long term. Since you perhaps cannot count on that every year with the way the PL looks right now -- although, remember, next year 5 PL teams will qualify for the new CL -- they have to be fairly careful. Non of them could go on a Chelsea type of spending spree.
*Tottenham can spend a ton -- but they don't have the money. They make a big loss every year, but since so much of it is attributable to the stadium, they don't have the cash flow to sign players. If they get outside investment -- they could easily improve a great deal.
*Both we and City must sell to buy. City have a built in cushion from the Jesus, Zinchenko and Sterling sales, but if they didn't sell anyone last summer they are in a worse state than us.
*Chelsea, yeah, forget about them continuing the spending spree if they finish outside the CL (although, not being evaluated by UEFA if they finish outside of Europe altogether might actually buy them another transfer window).
*If we don't finish top 4 this year, we have very little room to accomplish anything next summer even if we sell quite many players.
Thanks! He got bone cancer in 2020 and was declared healthy in 2021, but then in the fall of 22' the crap came back and had spread pretty much, but treatment and everything is going really well and it looks that he could be declared healthy again this spring. Then of course its all about it not coming back again in the coming years. But right now I am pretty ecstatic because it looked kind of grim there for a while. He is a big Man Utd fan (he is 14 y/o), so we have had a pretty fun time following the team 24/7 when I am there (me and the wife take every other day).