The "staff replacement" thing is quite funny to me because
at my work I am 99,9% confident that no one can be 'replaced' by AI. They may become more productive with AI (AI can be useful) but there is so much nitty-gritty in our work that you cannot outsource that to a tool.
Canadian employers are paying the price after AI proves unable to replace laid off staff
https://www.theglobeandmail.com/bus...e-paying-the-price-after-ai-proves-unable-to/
Many employers seeking to save money by cutting staff and using artificial intelligence to do parts of their jobs are now going through the costly process of rehiring to fill voids left behind, a new survey shows. A recent Robert Half survey of 1,365 professional services hiring managers shows that more than a third of those who eliminated positions after onboarding AI have since added them or similar roles back.
“While [AI] can automate some of those routine tasks, [employers] underestimated how much human judgment, context and decision making many of those roles required,” says Koula Vasilopoulos, a Calgary-based senior managing director at Robert Half Canada. “It does work as a productivity tool, but not as a full replacement, so companies are now recalibrating after seeing gaps in quality, execution or oversight.”
This is a "language" issue - or how you name things. You mixed "person being replaced" (your comment) and "AI to do parts of jobs" (linked article). But it boils down the same thing - more productive employees means "more (work) can be done with less (resources)". The quoted part was by the way EXACTLY how my company framed the restructuring (meaning firing people / moving jobs to other places), what caused a major outburst and they had to back off/change how they name things. The restructuring is still hapenning, no changes there.
If you have 10 employees in a same role, and you make them 20% more productive, you will either be able to let go of 20% of people, or you will be enabled to scale up 20% (in terms of volume of work they can process). This is hapenning now. Some companies are reducing staff, others are picking up more work with the same resources (like my org does).
Looking at this from individual perspective ("they can't replace me because I do XYZ, which can't be done by a machine") doesn't make much sense. It's more a question how much % of your work can be done by AI, and aggerating this to global will give us an answer to how big of a job crisis we're about to face in the next years.
Even roles like translators/graphic designers (both took MASSIVE hit due to technology development in recent years, AI or not) still exist. But it's almost impossible to get a job unless you're very specific/1 percentile of the best of the best. So, did AI "replace" translators/graphic designers or not? Like I said, it's a matter of how you frame it.
Personally I think waste in corporate jobs (copy-pasting between systems, or fixing issues generated because of bad copy-pasting between systems) is gigantic. Some of those are easy to fix with AI, technology is not a problem. People think AI is "not there yet" in terms of development to do a real impact, and I would disagree with this statement - even if we stopped developing AI in this second, current technology will do massive changes to how work is being done in the next years - because the limitation is adoption of the technology, not the technology itself. Of course, not every role, job, department or company is going to be massively impacted by it, but effect on the economy will be enough to make serious damage. And unfortunately, stopping development of AI is not on the cards, it's actually quite the oppisite - a race. And whichever company is the winner, it's the people who will be the losers.
Back to this quote:
Many employers seeking to save money by cutting staff and using artificial intelligence to do parts of their jobs are now going through the costly process of rehiring to fill voids left behind, a new survey shows. A recent Robert Half survey of 1,365 professional services hiring managers shows that more than a third of those who eliminated positions after onboarding AI have since added them or similar roles back.
“While [AI] can automate some of those routine tasks, [employers] underestimated how much human judgment, context and decision making many of those roles required,” says Koula Vasilopoulos, a Calgary-based senior managing director at Robert Half Canada. “It does work as a productivity tool, but not as a full replacement, so companies are now recalibrating after seeing gaps in quality, execution or oversight.”
This is actually quite an interesting conclusion. So what they did is
1) they fired significant amount of people across the org*
2) identified what isn't working anymore
3) hired people back to some roles (reshaping them at the same time)
*(and applied AI to do parts of their job - or not, we will never know if this is really the case)
They only had to rehire 1/3 of the people they let go, which is I guess not a bad number and a decent business case for other companies to follow.
There is a method we used in Software development in previous company: you create an app, you give it to users and once it's up and running, you start removing features/functionalities and see when do they start complaining (or usage goes down). That's how you cut down to the essential/core of your business. It's was a method when we didn't want to keep investing/developing the software, and wanted to reduce costs of hosting/maintenance. It's similar approach to the one above. Works if your goal is not expansion, but rather cost reduction. Shareholder is happy either way I guess.