Yeah I think @.mica is getting a bit ahead of himself here. I like our squad but it definitely has its flaws and for example the Uerdingen match was a bit of a disappointment for me. Maybe I expected a bit too much and it does also show the development of the last years that even with a mediocre performance we still qualified for the next round without any problems. I think the squad should on average be able to replicate the results of last season, maybe more, maybe less depending on injuries and luck.Oh come on.. Bayern basically still have the same team that got 42 points and beat Dortmund 5:0 in the "Rückrunde". Perisic is hardly going to be a downgrade over a 35 year old Ribery. When looking at their CL ambitions, their public comments about Sane and the famous "if you only knew who we already got lined up" comment from Hoeneß, then it has probably been a humbling summer indeed, but aside from concerns about depth it's knee-jerk to the extreme to write them off for the BuLi. Even in the Supercup, despite losing in the end, between two teams who want to dominate their opposition they were actually the ones who got to enforce their match plan, Kovac can take away from the match that he has to adjust details, e.g. fine tune their build up and signing someone like Roca may do just that for him..
I like Dortmund's transfers a lot, but I think at best it's even between who is the actual favourite.
With Bayern it is a bit of a gamble for them I think (based on their current squad that will probably be improved upon in the coming weeks). If they are spared an injury crisis they still comfortably have the best first eleven in the league und should win the league. If they do have a couple of injuries (Lewandowski/Süle/Coman/Gnabry/Kimmich) they will quickly have a severe drop in quality. So I guess it will depend largely on the matches where they are lacking a couple of their key players. If they win those I am pretty sure they will win the league again. If not, Dortmund may have a chance.
Overall I am really looking forward to this season. Bayern seem beatable but that doesn't mean you can count them out by a long shot.