I don’t know what’s happened to spur this sudden spate of negativity from the experts, but people do realise that development is not linear right? Players don’t keep developing at the same steady rate every year? Development often comes in bursts and is often tied to the extreme physical and playing level changes at that age. It’s also worth noting that the brain of young men is going through radical changes from 15 to 24, and as top level sport is 90% mental, that’s one of the most important development arcs that is constantly overlooked.
Fact is, I doubt anyone here truly knows how good he will really become or what his potential really is. I am 100% convinced that how good a player will become is 90+% down to how dedicated they are to improving and how hard they work. The other 10% are the things we tend to focus on in here because they are more obvious.
You need young players to go through adversity and struggle because the ability to rise above it and get better is what makes them great in the first place. Players like Rooney or Messi etc., will have had tough times, it didn’t just naturally come easily to them, but they had a relentless determination to be better. A fearlessness. Ronaldo at 17 had so many flaws in his game it was unreal. Even at 20 he was a relentless show pony who couldn’t do the simple well enough. There were fans back then who questioned his ability to consistently deliver end product, and he was seen behind Rooney. But, as much of a massive wanker that he is, one thing Ronaldo did better than everyone else around him was work hard. First cnut in training, last one to leave. And he listened.
The focus on youth football by fans and the media is extremely unhealthy. The spotlight put on players who are 15/16/17 is ridiculous. There are very, very few people who are qualified to assess players at that age, and those that are work with them daily and know their character.