Don't know favs the team batting 1st
NZ can't get 6 an over but England need to get over 7 to win
It doesn't. In fact, it has been mostly argued that it favours team batting 2nd. I remember reading that around 60% of times team batting 2nd has won the games under D/L. Duckworth Lewis doesn't just work on run rates. 250 chase in 50 overs and 100 runs in 20 overs is not same even though run rate required is same. D/L also brings no. of wickets remaining in equation(% of resources used).
As for today's game, 192 in 26 overs is not at all a tough target. 142 in 26 overs, if we go by just run-rate, would have favoured England massively. I am not watching the match but unless there was considerable help for bowlers off the pitch or through air, 192 in 26 overs is pretty manageable chase in era of T20 and flat pitches. Just see the targets chased or the scores put up in this series itself.
D/L needs further modification or tweaks imo based on how the game has progressed and needs to take into account the recent trend at particular venue or country with more weightage to recent scores for deciding 'G50.' G50 is the average score which a team batting first is expected to get in 50 overs in normal conditions. The G50 score which D/L used to have as basis for calculations was 235 for long time. That has changed to 245 now I think but 245 in 50 overs nowadays is still not a par score, so G50 can be further increased. Not sure how much impact it will have on targets, run wise though, might be 10-15 runs. Even then, in 20 overs game, it amounts to approx 1.5 over going by avg. run rate, so it can change results.
