Bright_Eyes
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- Aug 31, 2015
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I think we might finish 3rd or 15th again.
Will be hard to quote anyone with a head so firmly stuck in the sand.Now the transfer business has been done, what are peoples expectations for this season.
I’m expecting some negative predictions because most of you are a bunch of bedwetters, feel free to go ultra negative as it makes it easier for the rest of us to quote you later on in the season.
The win rate that you are quoting is Carrick with a fresh full strength squad. We won't have that till Feb by your own calculations - the CL group stages itself will mean Licha, Maguire, Shaw, Dalot, Cunha, Mbeumo, and maybe even Bruno will be stretched thin - which means we rely on depth and it means that's we'll drop points. So that 60% will not be over 36 games, maybe half of that. I think once we're out of cups and CL we can finish strong, and that's how we'll salvage 6th. I think our first choice XI, when fit and fresh, are a good side under Carrick - but that's not going to be enough this season.I think we’ll struggle massively in Europe and go out at round of 32 so early February, think we go out of both cups very early like Brighton in Carabo Cup and Fa Cup 4th or 5th Round so I’m anticipating 52 Matches and therefore we will be ok in EPL.
Can’t see Spurs or Villa finishing that high, think Brentford, Brighton, Everton and Leeds pose bigger threats.
The EPL comes down to wins and Carrick seems to have something about him to have a 60% win rate at the end of the season, his team will score goals but they will also concede plenty!
If we assume that he wins 60% of his 36 games left, that’s 21 wins from 36 matches, most of them will be at home. Even if he loses 10 more and draws 5 that’s 71 points which will comfortably in the top 3/4.
Why am I so confident because he seems to know what he wants and so far he managed United in 22 matches I don’t count friendlies, he has 15 wins 4 draws and 3 Defeats, he currently has a 68% win rate overall or 67% in the PL with 14 out of 21 wins.
He also has an awful lot of firepower in this squad plus I believe that young attacking players like Shea Lacey, T Thompson, Victor Musa, Noah Ajai, JJ Gabriel, Abragimov and Jayden Kamarson are all coming through.
Let’s get behind Carrick, he’s been let down massively but he gets the club and is going to have a real go trying to play attacking football and at times, we will be awful but in other spells we’re play some exhilarating football!
I think you're being very generous counting Liverpool. They have question marks from back to front just like us really.Arsenal, Chelsea, Liverpool and City have better squads and better/more proven managers. They're more likely to finish ahead of us than behind us, although I wouldn't discount the possibility of one or more of them having a bad season. There's a group of sides who I expect to bee battling for 5th, which includes Villa, Brighton, Newcastle, Spurs and maybe even Brentford - I think United will also be somewhere among that group.
Only Arsenal have a PL proven manager at a top team. Maresca was sacked at Chelsea. Alonso sacked at Madrid (wrongly) but has zero PL management experience, a proven winner in Germany. Iraola is so far a mid table manager so we’ll see. Chelsea, City and Arsenal have better squads, Liverpool have more holes than the titanic.Arsenal, Chelsea, Liverpool and City have better squads and better/more proven managers. They're more likely to finish ahead of us than behind us, although I wouldn't discount the possibility of one or more of them having a bad season. There's a group of sides who I expect to be battling for 5th, which includes Villa, Brighton, Newcastle, Spurs and maybe even Brentford - I think United will be somewhere among that group.
Now the transfer business has been done, what are peoples expectations for this season.
I’m expecting some negative predictions because most of you are a bunch of bedwetters, feel free to go ultra negative as it makes it easier for the rest of us to quote you later on in the season.
Im feeling positive about the business we’ve done and the position the team is in, so I’ll try and start this off on a positive note.
League
I reckons we’ll finish second or third, I fancy arsenal might run away with it this year as they have the most stable team and setup. But they were really lucky with injuries last year in the large part, and their best players have been ran into the ground over the meat 12 months. So, if we can just stay in and around it come March, number 21 may be on its way.
There’s been a lot of change at most of the other traditional league challengers. I think our fairly restrained business may actually suit us as long as we can get a little lucky with injuries.
Champions league.
I’d be happy to make the knockouts this season. Whilst I’m happy we have decent names to play again and I’m looking forward to it, every game looks both winnable and a potential humbling for different reasons. Regardless I reckon we’ll get some crackers, and not doing that Thursday/Sunday grind will be great regardless.
Cups
We’ll win one of them, not sure which, but I fancy a cup this season.
What are your shouts for this year?
Arsenal and City (with recent additions) are a clear first and second probably. Outside of that nobody is a sure bet for top 4. Chelsea doesn't impress me let's see but they are an injury or two away to being toothless in attack and defense doesn't inspire confidence. Without Enzo any injury to Caiceido they will be light in midfield as Lavia is also always injured. Liverpool? Worse than us. Gaping holes in the squad. Shit defence. Isak and Wirtz underwhelming, Ekitike out with long term injury. They will struggle this year. United let's see if Sesko will be up to speed soon and if Baleba can make an impact we hope he will then we will be fine even with issues in defense.Arsenal, Chelsea, Liverpool and City have better squads and better/more proven managers. They're more likely to finish ahead of us than behind us, although I wouldn't discount the possibility of one or more of them having a bad season. There's a group of sides who I expect to be battling for 5th, which includes Villa, Brighton, Newcastle, Spurs and maybe even Brentford - I think United will be somewhere among that group.
Yes we have mostly kept the squad but we do not have the squad depth to compete on all fronts. Last season we were fine playing one game a week but then once we started to play multiple games in week this is where we came unstuck.Surprised with the negativity in expectations. Except for Casemiro leaving, we have managed to keep last season's squad together to provide continuity in our progress. We have strengthen the midfield as we should and have a couple of youngsters in the fringe.
One thing I expect is we will finish above Liverpool. May their 100M pound signings continue to flop.
Top 4 finish in the league.
Getting to last 16 in CL.
Domestic cups will not be priority and I see us playing our 2nd string here. Semi finals at least for one of the cups.
We have an above average squad in terms of quality, but the lack of depth is a massive concern. Last season, plenty of our results could have gone either way, and dropping out of the cups early was basically a blessing in disguise. We also got an exceptional season out of Bruno, which is going to be very difficult to replicate.Surprised with the negativity in expectations. Except for Casemiro leaving, we have managed to keep last season's squad together to provide continuity in our progress. We have strengthen the midfield as we should and have a couple of youngsters in the fringe.
One thing I expect is we will finish above Liverpool. May their 100M pound signings continue to flop.
Top 4 finish in the league.
Getting to last 16 in CL.
Domestic cups will not be priority and I see us playing our 2nd string here. Semi finals at least for one of the cups.
You don't know until towards the end of the season whether it's top 4 or 5.Is it 4 or 5 places for the UCL this year? If it’s 4, I think we’ll definitely struggle.
Arsenal and City are already way clear. Chelsea have the upper hand as they don’t have European football.
That leaves one place for Liverpool and us, plus the usual 1-2 surprise teams that inevitably join the race.
If anything, the gap between us and the top teams has gotten bigger.
If I’m being honest, I’d say it’s a 50/50 chance that we make the top 4. It’ll probably come down to how many points are needed this year. I think we’ll manage around 65 points. On average, you need around 70 for top 4, although there have been a few seasons where 65 has been enough.