Fantasy Premier League 25/26

Yeah. Speaking of Haaland, judging by Salah's FPL price history, the best times to buy him was in the years his price came down. And it just makes sense from an averages standpoint. And we are in a price down year for Haaland.

Intetersting thing on goal share is it it kind of applies to Haaland too with Marmoush at City. Marmoush with a much higher xG than the other City attacking midfield options eats into Haaland's more than the other players would in theory. He's more of a secondary focal point than the options with over 0.40 xG per 90 when the other guys are lower.

Some of his xG last season was achieved when he played up front a few times when Haaland was out, but if just isolating it down to the games where they both played last season with Marmoush in a wider role (small sample size) Marmoush's remains high. Marmoush's did drop in the few games he played in the #10 position but I'm guessing he doesn't play much there this season - Cherki/someone else?

Marmoush must actually be fairly close to Haalanad on a per-90 FPL points basis, but his minutes expected aren't thought to be anywhere near as good due to Pep roulette.

GW1 example for the new Solio Analytics site that launched (numbers change depending on fixture):

Haaland 0.72 goals per 90, 0.18 assists
Marmoush 0.43 goals per 90, 0.33 assists, 40% clean sheet chance

Put that altogether and add in 2 points for playing 60+ it becomes Haaland 5.42, Marmoush 5.15 not counting bonus or points lost for yellows if they both played 90.

The difference grows because Haaland is expected to play 86 minutes, Marmoush 68 on their model. Last 20 minutes see more goals too than the rest of games so if factoring that in the difference would become even more prounounced.
 
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Any interest in United players? I am leaning towards Fernandes, but Mbeumo or Cunha interest me as well. Only want one Fernandes 1m more but is on penalties.
 
Any interest in United players? I am leaning towards Fernandes, but Mbeumo or Cunha interest me as well. Only want one Fernandes 1m more but is on penalties.
Mbeumo & Cunha are overpriced imo.

Both were on pens last year so I’d expect them to score much less this season
 
I am going 343.
Sanchez (Dubravka or Darlow)
Aina, VVD, VDV (Dorgu, Esteve/Bijol)
Salah (TC), Palner, Kudus, Rogers (Ramsey)
Watkins, Pedro, Wood

All 11 play at home. Only thing which is open is 3rd striker. Wood, Bowen or Larsen. At this moment i am closer to Wood.

Arsenal is a no go for me first 6 games. City's rotation also turned me down from them.

Looking nice and solid!

Suppose Rogers is a little injury doubt right now. Only just seen it myself, he went off injured in their friendly against Roma.

Expected to miss the rest of pre-season and could be back for the first league game. One to keep an eye on and look for any press reports as we head into GW1.

Speaking of injuries - Colwill gone for Chelsea with an ACL injury and had surgery on it.
 
Mbeumo & Cunha are overpriced imo.

Both were on pens last year so I’d expect them to score much less this season
Bryan Mbeumo was 2nd in FPL points last year. He beat Haaland, Palmer Isak- everyone but Mo Salah. Mbeumo was on pens but he wasn't a pen merchant.

Sure he overperformed. But he got second ! Lots of players overperform and they don't get second. So how could he possibly be overpriced ? If he went to Newcastle or Chelsea , he would be 20+% owned on expert teams. But he went to United so everyone by default thinks he is radioactive. Along with Cunha also.

He is a half million more than Florian Wirtz, who hasn't kicked a ball in this league.

Mbeumo and Cunha are priced perfectly for what they are imo.
 
Struggling more than other years with this, especially on who to pick as FWDs. I had it on Watkins, Beto and Isak before to accommodate Palmer, Salah and Wirtz in midfield, but not sold on Beto and I don't even know whether Isak will be on the field (and for which club) if the season starts.

Wissa might switch clubs, who's starting between Pedro and Delap, will Wood be as effective as last season, don't think Gyokeres will hit the ground running, I'm not sold on Solanke, and Ekitike might play from the left wing (although unlikely as long as we don't sign Isak). So it's basically down to Haaland and Watkins as safe picks. But playing those two as FWDs, I'd need five midfielders and that would look like Salah, Wirtz, Anderson, Baleba and an £8.0m midfielder (Gakpo but don't want Liverpool overload, or Mbeumo/Cunha but they have Arsenal in their first week). So yeah, will be lots of switching in the upcoming week.

Non-negotiables for me are Kelleher/Dubravka in goal, defense of Esteve/Dorgu/VDV/Williams and a £4.0m option, Salah/Wirtz in midfield and Watkins up top. Palmer and Haaland in all that would be ideal but not sure if feasible.
 
I am going 343.
Sanchez (Dubravka or Darlow)
Aina, VVD, VDV (Dorgu, Esteve/Bijol)
Salah (TC), Palner, Kudus, Rogers (Ramsey)
Watkins, Pedro, Wood

All 11 play at home. Only thing which is open is 3rd striker. Wood, Bowen or Larsen. At this moment i am closer to Wood.

Arsenal is a no go for me first 6 games. City's rotation also turned me down from them.
I would change Pedro for Bowen - Pedro has hardly been prolific in the past he will not be on pens either now.

I’ve got Wood in too atm - Im concerned though as they’ve been in awful form all pre season.. only scored once I believe
 
I'm making the same mistake as last season and going Salahless. Taking a gamble that points will be more spread out in that Liverpool attack this season whereas Haaland is still the one being fed at City.

Midfield is currently Wirtz, Gakpo, Palmer, Mitoma and Cunha with Haaland and a £7.5m striker up top (keep changing which one)

Also really want to take a gamble on a United forward because why not (Cunha at mo but more of a placeholder). How much do we think Sesko will be? If he's £8m then it'll be him instead of Cunha and maybe and Eze/Gordon/Rogers in mid instead.
 
I'm making the same mistake as last season and going Salahless. Taking a gamble that points will be more spread out in that Liverpool attack this season whereas Haaland is still the one being fed at City.

Midfield is currently Wirtz, Gakpo, Palmer, Mitoma and Cunha with Haaland and a £7.5m striker up top (keep changing which one)

Also really want to take a gamble on a United forward because why not (Cunha at mo but more of a placeholder). How much do we think Sesko will be? If he's £8m then it'll be him instead of Cunha and maybe and Eze/Gordon/Rogers in mid instead.
Rodgers got injured yesterday. Not sure what his status is.
 
I have settled on what I want to do. What has swung it for me is that there is still so much in the air that won’t be resolved until the end of August. There are so many questions about who is going where and who will be preferred to start at every almost every team.

I am also not happy with my multi premium teams.

I am going bench boost out of the gate (with nailed options) with an eye on an early wildcard once things have settled down. No Salah and spread the funds, backing Haaland in those first three game weeks with good fixtures.

I might even FH in 2 and be ultra aggressive with it to get great fixtures for the first 3 weeks guaranteed.
 
I have settled on what I want to do. What has swung it for me is that there is still so much in the air that won’t be resolved until the end of August. There are so many questions about who is going where and who will be preferred to start at every almost every team.

I am also not happy with my multi premium teams.

I am going bench boost out of the gate (with nailed options) with an eye on an early wildcard once things have settled down. No Salah and spread the funds, backing Haaland in those first three game weeks with good fixtures.

I might even FH in 2 and be ultra aggressive with it to get great fixtures for the first 3 weeks guaranteed.
FH in 2 is a bad idea cause then you can’t make transfers till week 3. And when you want to do transfers in week 3 there will be so many price rises and drops in the first 2 weeks so you will need to have 1M left over.
 
FH in 2 is a bad idea cause then you can’t make transfers till week 3. And when you want to do transfers in week 3 there will be so many price rises and drops in the first 2 weeks so you will need to have 1M left over.

It is an opportunity though to get a lead early on. A few price drops and rises with the knee jerking might be worth the hit.

No strategy is perfect, but I think you just have to think about the potential benefits and how likely they are and go for it.

If you go bench boost, you could potentially be carrying up to 15 players on the rise too.
 
I'm making the same mistake as last season and going Salahless. Taking a gamble that points will be more spread out in that Liverpool attack this season whereas Haaland is still the one being fed at City.

Midfield is currently Wirtz, Gakpo, Palmer, Mitoma and Cunha with Haaland and a £7.5m striker up top (keep changing which one)

Also really want to take a gamble on a United forward because why not (Cunha at mo but more of a placeholder). How much do we think Sesko will be? If he's £8m then it'll be him instead of Cunha and maybe and Eze/Gordon/Rogers in mid instead.

Think you'll be alright on Sesko there. Can't see too much too justification for them to make him more than that.

Going to guess 7.5.
 
Speaking about Everton; if Rogers is injured my pick would be Mitoma or Ndiaye. Your thoughts on your guy?
Depends on the rest of the team really. 9 goals last season, wouldn't be surprised if he was on penalties again...

I like him and expect him to have a good season but we still need to improve our attack, especially the RW.
 
Dango being stronlgy linked with Brentford. Might be interesting if he becomes nailed at 6.0.

Probably more one to watch than jump on from the start.
 
Why is AWB so popular? I get the price but WH is not famous for mighty defence.
 
Dango being stronlgy linked with Brentford. Might be interesting if he becomes nailed at 6.0.

Probably more one to watch than jump on from the start.
Wary of any Brentford asset without Frank there. Want to see how they kick on first, without Mbeumo as well.
 
One of the best tacklers in the league, perhaps for the defensive contributions?
In theory yeah, but tackles alone are not enough. His stats show that he would have underwhelmed on that front if the new rules were in place last season. Center backs are better bets if you are targeting defensive contributions because they make more clearances and block more shots than fullbacks.
 
One of the best tacklers in the league, perhaps for the defensive contributions?
They didn't had much CSs last year and, as McKing said, new point system benefits central defenders.
But his price is tempting though.
 
In theory yeah, but tackles alone are not enough. His stats show that he would have underwhelmed on that front if the new rules were in place last season. Center backs are better bets if you are targeting defensive contributions because they make more clearances and block more shots than fullbacks.
Hmm okay, thanks for that. Might want to read up on that before next week.
 
Broja joined Burnley. He isn’t in the game currently. I thought he was on Chelsea roster?
 
In my head I really want to go a Salah and Haaland less team, but then I think about it and I just know they will both smash a hat trick on opening day.
 
With Zabrnyi gone, is Hill (4.0) a real option until they sign a new cb?

Has played a decent amount of time in pre season
 
Think I'm pretty much set....

Sanchez
VVD Gabriel De Cuyper Tarkowski
Salah Palmer Bruno Kudus
Welbeck Pedro

Valdimarsson Dorgu Anderson Guiu
 
I’ve settled on this so far but probably changes a few times between now and next week

Kelleher
VVD Lacroix Milenković
Palmer Wirtz Anderson Salah Ndiaye
Watkins Wood

Dubravka Guiu Dorgu Esteve

Really not sure about Wirtz, can either upgrade to Bruno and downgrade another spot, or save 1.0 and move down to Gakpo and spend the money on another premium defender. Also worried about Wood, not sure he will have the same type of goal scoring season this season
 
Georginio Rutter up front again for Brighton in their friendly v Wolfsburg. Once again Welbeck in the B team friendly, this time behind closed doors.

Hmmmm.

Not saying buy Rutter, might be a case of avoiding both until we see how they're going to line up in the league.
 
Rutter scored in the friendly, De Cuyper also with a goal and I know he's caught the eye of many.

Gyokeres and Saka on the scoresheet in their friendly v Bilbao.

Fullkrug scoring for West Ham today, he's been in good form in pre season.
 
Rutter scored in the friendly, De Cuyper also with a goal and I know he's caught the eye of many.

Gyokeres and Saka on the scoresheet in their friendly v Bilbao.

Fullkrug scoring for West Ham today, he's been in good form in pre season.
De Cuyper & Diouf could be cheap assets.

Rutter I think is guaranteed minutes - upfront or out wide with Pedro gone
 
De Cuyper & Diouf could be cheap assets.

Rutter I think is guaranteed minutes - upfront or out wide with Pedro gone
Has to be out wide cause they have Welbeck and the Greek kid they spent a lot of money on. But out wide there are also Mitoma and Minteh as options.
 
With Zabrnyi gone, is Hill (4.0) a real option until they sign a new cb?

Has played a decent amount of time in pre season
Yes but their defense is now shit with so many players gone. Might as well go for one of the promoted teams 4.0 options. There is still ambiguity there.