Football & Sports Betting Thread 2019/2020

madRedDevil07

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Anthony Davis over 11.5 rebounds in the Lakers @Mavericks game

San Antonio Spurs @ GSW under 223 pts.
I had gone with Davis > 11.5 rebounds and it did not came off unfortunately.
I think SA to win the final @ 1.9 is an excellent bet.
 

MC89

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ohama beach 5/4
Sistercharlie 10/11
Midnight bisou 5/4
 

Samid

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I've taken Hammarby -1.5 @ 2.6 in play. Looks like Swedish league will be decided on goal difference. Hammarby have to score 3+ to stand a chance.
 

One Night Only

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Whoever mentioned the Swedish league last week.


Gais - trellborgs tomorrow for a draw?

Edit: actually looks like both might need a win if the team below them can pull off a win, goal difference quite close.

In fact, frej looks like the bet at 4/1.

Or does this league use head to head to determine stuff?
 

Spiersey

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Whoever mentioned the Swedish league last week.


Gais - trellborgs tomorrow for a draw?

Edit: actually looks like both might need a win if the team below them can pull off a win, goal difference quite close.

In fact, frej looks like the bet at 4/1.

Or does this league use head to head to determine stuff?
It's GD. There's no bets pre. Needed Trelle to not lose last week then Gais would have fixed draws in both their final games. Should be good in play bets for late overs with teams needing goals.
 

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On Univeridad Catolica Win v America Quito at 1.75 on Saturday. Pretty big bet for me. They share the same stadium so it isn't an away game and it's priced like that. Kicked off 1.5 in the reverse game which is the fair price in normal circumstances. However, Catolica need the win for Copa Libertadores, last game of the season. Quito got relegated midweek. Morale will be really low and no motivation. Be very surprised if they don't win.
Just seen this is 0-0 half time. Are you watching this one Spiersey.. Universidad worth a bet to win?
 

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Atalanta vs Cagliari looks good for both teams to score at 11:30am tomorrow morning. The price is currently 1.66 but if no goals are scored in the first 10 mins then 1.8 should be available which looks fair on what both have achieved so far this season.
 

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Quality card at UFC 244 tonight. Tough one on the betting front but I've taken Gastelum to beat Till tonight and Zabit to beat Kattar at Fight Night 163 next weekend @2.2.

2.0 is still available. Till looked drained at the new weight class despite moving up a division. He doesn't have the skill set required to beat Gastelum imo. Zabit is taking on a tough opponent but is regarded as having arguably the best all round game in MMA.
 

Spiersey

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Just seen this is 0-0 half time. Are you watching this one Spiersey.. Universidad worth a bet to win?
Was watching yes mate, would have advised a bet on them to win but didn't see til now. Very unlucky bet, missed the biggest sitter in history first half along with loads of other good chances and conceded a random deflection.

Will try and link video of the miss later, he's middle of the goals 2 yards out and hits the post, will haunt me for a while, big loss for me.
 

M15 Red.

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Was watching yes mate, would have advised a bet on them to win but didn't see til now. Very unlucky bet, missed the biggest sitter in history first half along with loads of other good chances and conceded a random deflection.

Will try and link video of the miss later, he's middle of the goals 2 yards out and hits the post, will haunt me for a while, big loss for me.
Harsh mate. If Barcelona Guayoquil beat Olmedo tomorrow then they make the Libertadores instead. Any thoughts on that?
 

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11:40 Santa Anita. Breeders Cup Turf.

The American favourite Bricks and Mortar might hack up easily but @7/4 makes no appeal having never run over tonights distance. Plus I like to lay the fav. I'd like to fly the English/Irish flag but at the prices both Old Persian and Anthony Van Dyke have to win. As much as I rate Old Persian, he's by Dubawi so the firm ground could be a problem. Van Dyke gets a weight pull and is a decent 3yr old but he's quirky and has to win at his price. Onto the outsiders. I like Arklow, Zulu Alpha and Acclimate. All on the enhanced ew market. Only backing one thought so I'm taking Zulu Alpha ew 6 places @12/1.
 

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11:40 Santa Anita. Breeders Cup Turf.

The American favourite Bricks and Mortar might hack up easily but @7/4 makes no appeal having never run over tonights distance. Plus I like to lay the fav. I'd like to fly the English/Irish flag but at the prices both Old Persian and Anthony Van Dyke have to win. As much as I rate Old Persian, he's by Dubawi so the firm ground could be a problem. Van Dyke gets a weight pull and is a decent 3yr old but he's quirky and has to win at his price. Onto the outsiders. I like Arklow, Zulu Alpha and Acclimate. All on the enhanced ew market. Only backing one thought so I'm taking Zulu Alpha ew 6 places @12/1.
The fav won and looked a good horse. Zulu Alpha finished a good 4th paying 1.5. Will take that on what was a tricky race.
 

Spiersey

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Harsh mate. If Barcelona Guayoquil beat Olmedo tomorrow then they make the Libertadores instead. Any thoughts on that?
no bet on that now, Barca just need a point now. It’s at altitude as well and Barca are sea level, think they’ll just play for a point.
 

Spiersey

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On Taijikstan u17s +3.25 v Argentina later.

This could be terrible but I'm counting on Argentina having a brain.

Argentina are on a big handicap here because they need to score goals to win the group (Spain beat Taj 5-1) so on paper they need to win by at least 3 to win group. However, winning the group is a massive disadvantage here. The winners play Senegal next round who are excellent. They would then play France in the quarters and Brazil in the Semi, who are maybe the two strongest sides in it. Finishing 2nd means you play Italy or Paraguay next and have a much much easier half of the draw. Absolutely no benefit to winning the group unless I've worked stuff out wrong. If they are smart this bet should never lose, just need to hope they realise the situation.

Should say, I think this would be an okay bet anyway if it was the 1st or 2nd game. Taj aren't great, had an awful first 45 v Spain but been fine bar that. Hopefully they can keep it solid. Arg lack creativity.
 
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John_Dooh

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On Taijikstan u17s +3.25 v Argentina later.

This could be terrible but I'm counting on Argentina having a brain.

Argentina are on a big handicap here because they need to score goals to win the group (Spain beat Taj 5-1) so on paper they need to win by at least 3 to win group. However, winning the group is a massive disadvantage here. The winners play Senegal next round who are excellent. They would then play France in the quarters and Brazil in the Semi, who are maybe the two strongest sides in it. Finishing 2nd means you play Italy or Paraguay next and have a much much easier half of the draw. Absolutely no benefit to winning the group unless I've worked stuff out wrong. If they are smart this bet should never lose, just need to hope they realise the situation.

Should say, I think this would be an okay bet anyway if it was the 1st or 2nd game. Taj aren't great, had an awful first 45 v Spain but been fine bar that. Hopefully they can keep it solid. Arg lack creativity.
On that note, Spain to draw or 1 goal win wouldn't be a shocker either?
 

Spiersey

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On that note, Spain to draw or 1 goal win wouldn't be a shocker either?
Yup, same reasoning applies there also. Waiting to see how that one is in play, the line won’t drop so quickly compared to a higher line so pre staking Tajik only.
Both bets could be really really good if Spain/Argentina play the circumstances. Spain can lose and they’re guaranteed to finished 2nd unless they lost like 6-0 or something which obviously won’t happen.


Makes so much sense for both to try and avoid winning the group, just hope they’ve worked out the permutations. Sounds stupid but seen loads of scenarios where teams have no idea what they need and the benefits of it bar the fact that they are through.
 

AbusementPark

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Yup, same reasoning applies there also. Waiting to see how that one is in play, the line won’t drop so quickly compared to a higher line so pre staking Tajik only.
Both bets could be really really good if Spain/Argentina play the circumstances. Spain can lose and they’re guaranteed to finished 2nd unless they lost like 6-0 or something which obviously won’t happen.


Makes so much sense for both to try and avoid winning the group, just hope they’ve worked out the permutations. Sounds stupid but seen loads of scenarios where teams have no idea what they need and the benefits of it bar the fact that they are through.
Where you placing the bet? Ive checked a few sites and cant find the goals bet. Even bet365 not listing +3.25 goals
 

Spiersey

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Where you placing the bet? Ive checked a few sites and cant find the goals bet. Even bet365 not listing +3.25 goals
I used a Broker called Mollybet to stake via Asian betting sites. Think Skybet and Unibet might have these games also. Bet365 dont' cover below u18s.
 

Spiersey

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On that note, Spain to draw or 1 goal win wouldn't be a shocker either?
Spain rotated btw but still playing Pedri (best player imo) and Escobar. Think they'd rest both if they were trying to not win group.

Arg made 6 changes from Spain, pretty weak lineup for them compared to strongest XI.
 

Spiersey

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On Taijikstan u17s +3.25 v Argentina later.

This could be terrible but I'm counting on Argentina having a brain.

Argentina are on a big handicap here because they need to score goals to win the group (Spain beat Taj 5-1) so on paper they need to win by at least 3 to win group. However, winning the group is a massive disadvantage here. The winners play Senegal next round who are excellent. They would then play France in the quarters and Brazil in the Semi, who are maybe the two strongest sides in it. Finishing 2nd means you play Italy or Paraguay next and have a much much easier half of the draw. Absolutely no benefit to winning the group unless I've worked stuff out wrong. If they are smart this bet should never lose, just need to hope they realise the situation.

Should say, I think this would be an okay bet anyway if it was the 1st or 2nd game. Taj aren't great, had an awful first 45 v Spain but been fine bar that. Hopefully they can keep it solid. Arg lack creativity.
3-1 FT, Argentina no urgency for most of the game, late goal to make it 3-1 when Taj chased the draw.
 

Spiersey

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On Ajax u19s +1.25 tomorrow v Chelsea. I advised Chelsea Draw no bet last game because Ajax were missing a lot of players, Chelsea won 1-0 but the bet was average. Brobbey is back for Ajax but still missing the u17 WC players. Seems to big of line, think Chelsea around 1.9 Win is probably fair. Home advantage isn't that big in this competition, think it'll be a pretty even game.

Ajax win at 5/1 worth a bet as well, think 7/4 around fair.
 
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Spiersey

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On Genk u19s +1.5 v Pool also at 1.8. Liverpool won 2-0 away but was an even game, Genk probably deserved a draw from it. Think Brewster will be involved with the first team, Hoever is away with Holland u17s. A lot of their youth is training with the first team currently, think I seen Jones, Elliot and maybe Van Den Berg training in a video on their twitter. They won't all be with the first team but wouldn't be surprised if Elliot or Jones is. Either would be a big miss. Think it'll be a tight game again.
 

André Dominguez

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Benfica DC has a fancy odd. Both Benfica and Lyon are playing poorly at this season start, so I don't think it's such an impossible thing to happen.

At a higher risk, i think DC Lille is not a bad shout, because we don't which Valencia version will enter the field, despite Lille away record this season.
 

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Noticed something from the Spal v Sampdoria match later..... Collectively both have seen 20+ booking points in 19/20 matches and 30+ booking points in 11/20. Spal average 3.00 cards per game while Sampdoria average nearly 3 per game this season. The ref for the game, Daniele Chiffi averages nearly 5 cards per game since the start of last season. Anything over 40+ booking points looks like an absolute banker.

Both teams to score have landed in the past 4 matches for both sides too If you want to take up that option also.
 

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Noticed something from the Spal v Sampdoria match later..... Collectively both have seen 20+ booking points in 19/20 matches and 30+ booking points in 11/20. Spal average 3.00 cards per game while Sampdoria average nearly 3 per game this season. The ref for the game, Daniele Chiffi averages nearly 5 cards per game since the start of last season. Anything over 40+ booking points looks like an absolute banker.

Both teams to score have landed in the past 4 matches for both sides too If you want to take up that option also.
I am on both teams over 2 yellows in that, was 3.20 @Bet365(betbuilder).
 

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On Ajax u19s +1.25 tomorrow v Chelsea. I advised Chelsea Draw no bet last game because Ajax were missing a lot of players, Chelsea won 1-0 but the bet was average. Brobbey is back for Ajax but still missing the u17 WC players. Seems to big of line, think Chelsea around 1.9 Win is probably fair. Home advantage isn't that big in this competition, think it'll be a pretty even game.

Ajax win at 5/1 worth a bet as well, think 7/4 around fair.
Went with Ajax DnB at 4/1.
 

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Red Star Belgrade double chance is 6/5 at home to Spurs tomorrow. Good value for me with all the issues going on at Spurs.
 

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On Ajax u19s +1.25 tomorrow v Chelsea. I advised Chelsea Draw no bet last game because Ajax were missing a lot of players, Chelsea won 1-0 but the bet was average. Brobbey is back for Ajax but still missing the u17 WC players. Seems to big of line, think Chelsea around 1.9 Win is probably fair. Home advantage isn't that big in this competition, think it'll be a pretty even game.

Ajax win at 5/1 worth a bet as well, think 7/4 around fair.
Really like this from lineups. Brobbey starts, good keeper back in for Ajax also. Chelsea missing Gilmour again, really big miss.

On Genk u19s +1.5 v Pool also at 1.8. Liverpool won 2-0 away but was an even game, Genk probably deserved a draw from it. Think Brewster will be involved with the first team, Hoever is away with Holland u17s. A lot of their youth is training with the first team currently, think I seen Jones, Elliot and maybe Van Den Berg training in a video on their twitter. They won't all be with the first team but wouldn't be surprised if Elliot or Jones is. Either would be a big miss. Think it'll be a tight game again.
Traded some out of this to leave it a small bet. Genk missing best player as he isn't home from u17 WC yet. Brewster starts but no Jones. Think it's still small value. Game was changed venue yesterday also so not sure it will come in play.
 

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Suarez is out but Barca should still have enough firepower to score in both halves vs Prague @4/6. Both to score Dortmund vs Inter also looks ok @7/10. Bayern should bounce back vs Olympiakos tomorrow but with the manager sacking and the first leg being full of goals I fancy both to score again @4/5.
 

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Really like this from lineups. Brobbey starts, good keeper back in for Ajax also. Chelsea missing Gilmour again, really big miss.



Traded some out of this to leave it a small bet. Genk missing best player as he isn't home from u17 WC yet. Brewster starts but no Jones. Think it's still small value. Game was changed venue yesterday also so not sure it will come in play.
I stuck a £100 on Ajax, GL!
 

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On Genk u19s +1.5 v Pool also at 1.8. Liverpool won 2-0 away but was an even game, Genk probably deserved a draw from it. Think Brewster will be involved with the first team, Hoever is away with Holland u17s. A lot of their youth is training with the first team currently, think I seen Jones, Elliot and maybe Van Den Berg training in a video on their twitter. They won't all be with the first team but wouldn't be surprised if Elliot or Jones is. Either would be a big miss. Think it'll be a tight game again.
won the game 1-0, did not expect this to be a better bet than Ajax.

Ajax been okay, conceded a freekick. Keeper passed to their attacker on the edge of the box and then he got fouled and scored a great freekick. Brobbey missed a big chance for us. Really bad game though, was no chances until the goal.
 

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won the game 1-0, did not expect this to be a better bet than Ajax.

Ajax been okay, conceded a freekick. Keeper passed to their attacker on the edge of the box and then he got fouled and scored a great freekick. Brobbey missed a big chance for us. Really bad game though, was no chances until the goal.
Went on the Genk tip. Thanks mate.
 

André Dominguez

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Krasnodar to recover and win the 1Q Live

edit: fail. A very small punt, but fail nonetheless.
 
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André Dominguez

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Insteresting games for possible trading / live arbs:

Gdynia - Oldenburg
Andorra - Monaco (a bit risky)
Peristeri - Novogrod (also risky, but Novogrod has been surprisingly strong this season start)
Nymburk - Tenerife: Nymburk has a very decent rooster this season, but Tenerife is always a competitive team.
Zielona Gora - Parma Penn: I think this can be the arb goldmine for today ( or not :D ): 2 teams who have lots of weaknesses facing each other.
Orleans - Levallois: Also has potential
 

André Dominguez

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Krasnodar to recover and win at HT Live

Fail, but close: 1 point only... but the odd was very good, worth the small punt.
 
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Spiersey

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On Ajax u19s +1.25 tomorrow v Chelsea. I advised Chelsea Draw no bet last game because Ajax were missing a lot of players, Chelsea won 1-0 but the bet was average. Brobbey is back for Ajax but still missing the u17 WC players. Seems to big of line, think Chelsea around 1.9 Win is probably fair. Home advantage isn't that big in this competition, think it'll be a pretty even game.

Ajax win at 5/1 worth a bet as well, think 7/4 around fair.
1-1 FT, + won. Missed a big chance at the end to win the game but would have been lucky. + was good, Chelsea deserved a 1 goal win, missed some big chances at 1-1.
 

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1-1 FT, + won. Missed a big chance at the end to win the game but would have been lucky. + was good, Chelsea deserved a 1 goal win, missed some big chances at 1-1.
Good picks as always, shame skybet don’t offer handicaps on these.:(