Football & Sports Betting Thread 2019/2020

ROFLUTION

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Small bet on draw in Jordan u23 v UAE in play @3.4. Both go through with a score draw regardless of what Vietnam do. Either can go out with a loss. I thought pre game it would end 1-1 as 0-0 meant Vietnam could overtake them on GD (3 way tie h2h and all 3 would be 0-0s). Still think it'll probably be 1-1 ft. UAE will play the score and won't be too fussed about avoiding conceding I think. Wouldn't be surprised if they agreed pre game to have a draw, does happen sometimes in these competitions. If it's a draw after 65/70, it'll 99% finish a draw.
Cheers, managed to get on fast!
 

Samid

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@Spiersey Thoughts on Tranmere-Watford? Watford mostly used fringe players in the home game after the festive fixtures. I'm struggling to see why it would be any different this time considering they play Saturday and then on Tuesday (48 hours before). That game at Villa Park is a 6 pointer. Tranmere on the other hand will be at home and desperate to set up a 4th round home tie vs United. But are they actually any good?
 

Pagh Wraith

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Nigel Pearson said this: "But it is clear we will not send the strongest side to Tranmere.”

I think that makes it pretty what side to expect from Watford. Perhaps surprisingly, there hasn't really been much movement in the line and Tranmere +1 looks very tempting I have to say. They are fighting relegation from League One which would be a deterrent but I think a potential match against United is too much of a draw for them.
 

Spiersey

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@Spiersey Thoughts on Tranmere-Watford? Watford mostly used fringe players in the home game after the festive fixtures. I'm struggling to see why it would be any different this time considering they play Saturday and then on Tuesday (48 hours before). That game at Villa Park is a 6 pointer. Tranmere on the other hand will be at home and desperate to set up a 4th round home tie vs United. But are they actually any good?
No real opinion on it, I’ll have a look tomorrow and try and work out roughly what sort of side they’ll put out. Tranmere +1 accounts for a weaker Watford side than normal in my opinion, Watford would probably be -1.5 away full strength.
Coventry were 1.8 to beat them away and Rotherham were -1 asian at home. Realistically you’d have to imagine the side that Watford put out would be stronger than Coventry, so line seems fair on initial analysis but ill look more in depth tomorrow.
 

André Dominguez

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At Euroleague:

The Zenit - Valencia match can be interesting: two teams making relatively poor seasons, but I'm going on a small punt for Valencia, since they seem to be a little bit better.
 

M15 Red.

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Europa FC vs Lions Gibraltar. Over 4 goals @2.38

I like to keep an eye on Europa FC as one of their players, Jack Sergeant, used to play for West Didsbury & Chorlton, a local side that I like to watch now and again. He's gone from kicking a ball about behind my house to representing Gibraltar at international level in the Nations League. The sides met 3 times in 2019 and over 4 goals landed each time with scores of 5-2. 8-0 & 5-1 so tonight's price looks decent to me.
 

André Dominguez

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M15 Red.

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Another goal post 70 minutes in a Parma home game last night. That makes it 11 from 13 homes so far this season in all comps. The price is usually 1.8. One to note.
 

André Dominguez

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Small punt on over 0.5 Away team HT on iranian league match. The home team saw a red card and they are pretty much a poor team also.

Failed, but they missed two bloody sitters!
 
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John_Dooh

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I actually like the Double Chance ODD. And the AH+1.5 is actually quite nice too.
Normally don't bet Liverpool games, but have a big bet on United +1,5 this time. Expect Rashford starts, if not will hedge stake asap. Watch Lingard play a blinder, these games live their own life.
 
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Spiersey

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50/1 to beat the Gobshites is a chance worth taking. They HAVE to run out of luck someday?

https://bettingoffers.co/888-50-to-1-offer/

One I feel confident my Aunt will like. On that topic @Spiersey how much do you pay for your fresh accounts? I assume quite a lot? Just a ballpark figure would be appreciated.
Really varies, I was buying Peruvian 365s for 100 euros per account last year but they were only lasting 1 bet. With friends I'll usually offer 50 quid upfront or 10% of profit. Had to give someone £2k for using their hills last year though. It's annoying but people found out and had loads of people willing to let me use their accounts so worked out pretty well. I give some people £500 up front for making me a bank account also and that lets me create about 50 different accounts in their names. Then I'll give them another £500 or so if I make a decent amount on them (Thats my preferred method but not everyone is keen for letting me use a bank account of course). I'm 24 so most of my mates are still pretty skint and happy to help out in return for a bit of cash. Would have been way cheaper if they were all still at uni though:lol:
 

Red Star One

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Really varies, I was buying Peruvian 365s for 100 euros per account last year but they were only lasting 1 bet. With friends I'll usually offer 50 quid upfront or 10% of profit. Had to give someone £2k for using their hills last year though. It's annoying but people found out and had loads of people willing to let me use their accounts so worked out pretty well. I give some people £500 up front for making me a bank account also and that lets me create about 50 different accounts in their names. Then I'll give them another £500 or so if I make a decent amount on them (Thats my preferred method but not everyone is keen for letting me use a bank account of course). I'm 24 so most of my mates are still pretty skint and happy to help out in return for a bit of cash. Would have been way cheaper if they were all still at uni though:lol:
Pehraps I am an ignorant and shouldn't even ask this, but could you tell me why woud you need so many different accounts?
 

Pagh Wraith

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All UK and Euro books will close your accounts or restrict you to pennies once they've figured out you know what you're doing and betting large stakes. Some are quicker than others and there are certain ways to prolong the lifespan of your account, e.g. placing a mug bet or accumulator every now and then. But it's inevitable. And with the markets Spiersey is betting, one bet might indeed be all it takes for them to pull the trigger.
 

Danny Roberts

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Really varies, I was buying Peruvian 365s for 100 euros per account last year but they were only lasting 1 bet. With friends I'll usually offer 50 quid upfront or 10% of profit. Had to give someone £2k for using their hills last year though. It's annoying but people found out and had loads of people willing to let me use their accounts so worked out pretty well. I give some people £500 up front for making me a bank account also and that lets me create about 50 different accounts in their names. Then I'll give them another £500 or so if I make a decent amount on them (Thats my preferred method but not everyone is keen for letting me use a bank account of course). I'm 24 so most of my mates are still pretty skint and happy to help out in return for a bit of cash. Would have been way cheaper if they were all still at uni though:lol:
24. cnut! ;) I was envious before but now I'm angry!

Cool. Need to be pretty trusting to give you bank details. Peruvian 365s, it's a funny old world and the world isn't entirely to blame.
 

André Dominguez

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@Spiersey , here in PT we have a "state sponsored" betting bookie.

The first problem is that the odds are usually a bit shitty, but sometimes it has some good offers on the portuguese lower leagues markets and sometimes on basketball (but they don't have WL markets, but WDL), but you will not be blocked if you win a lot of money. You still have betting amount limits, but they are pretty much high.

The second problem is that you have to register the bets at shops, just like you do with the lottery / euromillions (it's the same institution).

The third problem: no live markets. Just pre-match.

In this case you just need to get some trusty people to serve as proxy.

In case you want to check it (you'll have to translate it to english, though):
https://www.jogossantacasa.pt/web/Placard/placard
 

John_Dooh

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@Spiersey , here in PT we have a "state sponsored" betting bookie.

The first problem is that the odds are usually a bit shitty, but sometimes it has some good offers on the portuguese lower leagues markets and sometimes on basketball (but they don't have WL markets, but WDL), but you will not be blocked if you win a lot of money. You still have betting amount limits, but they are pretty much high.

The second problem is that you have to register the bets at shops, just like you do with the lottery / euromillions (it's the same institution).

The third problem: no live markets. Just pre-match.

In this case you just need to get some trusty people to serve as proxy.

In case you want to check it (you'll have to translate it to english, though):
https://www.jogossantacasa.pt/web/Placard/placard
Can't just get a VPN?
 

muller

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Europa FC vs Lions Gibraltar. Over 4 goals @2.38

I like to keep an eye on Europa FC as one of their players, Jack Sergeant, used to play for West Didsbury & Chorlton, a local side that I like to watch now and again. He's gone from kicking a ball about behind my house to representing Gibraltar at international level in the Nations League. The sides met 3 times in 2019 and over 4 goals landed each time with scores of 5-2. 8-0 & 5-1 so tonight's price looks decent to me.
5-0, good tip.

I mean.. I forgot to put anything on it but still..

well done mate.
 

ROFLUTION

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Gone for Leicester to keep a clean sheet away against Burnley @ 2.7

Burnley failed to score in 3 out of 6 matches, and Barnes is out. Physical duels should be alright for Soyuncü/Evans, and Burnley just dont have much of a creative line up.
 

Pagh Wraith

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Shot bets:

Watford v Spurs
- over 8.5 shots on target @ 2.25
- Watford over 4.5 shots on target @ 3.50
- Spurs over 4.5 shots on target @ 1.90

Newcastle v Chelsea
- over 24.5 shots @ 1.90
- Chelsea over 16.5 shots @ 2.10
 

Spiersey

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On NYC FC +1.5 at 1.8 later today. Getting a bigger line than we should here. NYC played Corinthians a couple days ago, opening price was +0.25 but NYC played their youth team and then Corinthians got hammered. It's expected to be first team back for NYC today. Palmeiras should play kids/reserves for one half I'd imagine, or 30 minutes at least. Is a danger of NYC doing the same but should be first team for most of the game considering none played v Corin. Palm were -0.75 at home to Corinthians, so isn't too much between the sides. Full v Full I'd have +0.5/+0.75 fair for todays game.
 

Pagh Wraith

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Shot bets:

Watford v Spurs
- over 8.5 shots on target @ 2.25 LOSS
- Watford over 4.5 shots on target @ 3.50 LOSS
- Spurs over 4.5 shots on target @ 1.90 WIN

Newcastle v Chelsea
- over 24.5 shots @ 1.90 WIN
- Chelsea over 16.5 shots @ 2.10 WIN
3/5
 

Spiersey

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On NYC FC +1.5 at 1.8 later today. Getting a bigger line than we should here. NYC played Corinthians a couple days ago, opening price was +0.25 but NYC played their youth team and then Corinthians got hammered. It's expected to be first team back for NYC today. Palmeiras should play kids/reserves for one half I'd imagine, or 30 minutes at least. Is a danger of NYC doing the same but should be first team for most of the game considering none played v Corin. Palm were -0.75 at home to Corinthians, so isn't too much between the sides. Full v Full I'd have +0.5/+0.75 fair for todays game.
On Palmeiras Win in play 1.9 for a nice middle. NYC subbed on 10 at HT, lot of kids on now. Palmeiras some kids also but should finish 2-1 I think.
 

muller

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On Palmeiras Win in play 1.9 for a nice middle. NYC subbed on 10 at HT, lot of kids on now. Palmeiras some kids also but should finish 2-1 I think.
Literally 2-1, just checked up. How do you guys do it?!
 

Pagh Wraith

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Burnley v Leicester
- under 9.5 shots on target @ 2.00
- under 23.5 shots @ 2.10
- Leicester under 13.5 shots @ 2.25

Liverpool v Man United
- Man United over 3.5 shots on target @ 2.10
- Man United over 9.5 shots @ 2.25
 

carvajal

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On NYC FC +1.5 at 1.8 later today. Getting a bigger line than we should here. NYC played Corinthians a couple days ago, opening price was +0.25 but NYC played their youth team and then Corinthians got hammered. It's expected to be first team back for NYC today. Palmeiras should play kids/reserves for one half I'd imagine, or 30 minutes at least. Is a danger of NYC doing the same but should be first team for most of the game considering none played v Corin. Palm were -0.75 at home to Corinthians, so isn't too much between the sides. Full v Full I'd have +0.5/+0.75 fair for todays game.
Thanks Spiersey, your tips are gold
 

Spiersey

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On NYC FC +1.5 at 1.8 later today. Getting a bigger line than we should here. NYC played Corinthians a couple days ago, opening price was +0.25 but NYC played their youth team and then Corinthians got hammered. It's expected to be first team back for NYC today. Palmeiras should play kids/reserves for one half I'd imagine, or 30 minutes at least. Is a danger of NYC doing the same but should be first team for most of the game considering none played v Corin. Palm were -0.75 at home to Corinthians, so isn't too much between the sides. Full v Full I'd have +0.5/+0.75 fair for todays game.
On Palmeiras Win in play 1.9 for a nice middle. NYC subbed on 10 at HT, lot of kids on now. Palmeiras some kids also but should finish 2-1 I think.
2-1 FT, both bets won. Game played out as expected really.
Thanks Spiersey, your tips are gold
No worries! :)
 

Pagh Wraith

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Burnley v Leicester
- under 9.5 shots on target @ 2.00 LOSS
- under 23.5 shots @ 2.10 LOSS
- Leicester under 13.5 shots @ 2.25 LOSS

Liverpool v Man United
- Man United over 3.5 shots on target @ 2.10 WIN
- Man United over 9.5 shots @ 2.25 LOSS
1/5
 

Spiersey

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Not a fan of short odds usually but TAA for YPOTY at 1/3 is worth a decent bet. Should be way way shorter. Liverpool are going to win the league and with Rashford out for a month or two there is no real challenger for it. He's a shoe in for it in my opinion. Really can't see anyway he doesn't win it barring a huge injury, even then with the Liverpool love in, he's probably done enough already to seal it.