Missed out on £1.6k tonight by one game again 
Football & Sports Betting Thread 2019/2020
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Let me guess: Inter?Missed out on £1.6k tonight by one game again
Did not found any value bets on the markets I know today. The only thing worth it is a multiple Sporting and Vitóriia to win today @2.65
Nah, I left them off my slip as they have fallen apart. I’ll post a pic of it, one sec.
cc: @André Dominguez
So close indeed. It's much worse to loose an Acca like this then loosing it by multiples fails. Much more frustrating.
On Sunday I lost £50k in this manner!
How much did you bet to have a 50k parlay ?
Was about £20 in total I think. I usually start with my most ambitious accumulator and put a little on it, which was about £7 to get £40k, then I removed a couple of selections for lesser odds and higher chance and put a little on that for a smaller return, and then down to the smallest, which I think was a 6 fold and had £6 on that which would have got me £1.6k.
Of course, if the biggest accumulator wins, then the smaller ones would all win too as they have the same selections, and the total was about £49.3k. The hope is that if one or two of the selections don’t come in on my main accumulator, I’ll still win something off one of the smaller ones.
Thanks @M15 Red. Helsingborg have only scored in 1 game (2 goals against Djurgården). The 5 games before that they Didnt score and are not Playing good attacking football. With that said, my team AIK have started this season slowly Aswell. But on Sunday im pretty sure we Will win comfortably against Helsingborg.
And AIK @ 1,90 looks like good value to me.
For the Gothenburg - Djurgården match on Sunday im more interested in BTTS tbf.
Its still very early (Allsvenskan just started) but I think we’re looking at a top 3 place this season at least. Helsingborg Will probably be relegation team this season. Hope it can help a bit.
Had a little punt on Fulham @ 1.95
Slim chance of automatic promotion still. Mitrovic back and also in decent form.
Slim chance of automatic promotion still. Mitrovic back and also in decent form.
Nice win. 2-0 could have scored more.
Over 3.25 in Anderlecht is worth a bet. Game is 120 minutes so 30 minutes of value, isn't factored into price. Not a big fan of these bets though as they need some luck to win but decent value still.
Newcastle value against Watford?
Newcastle got peppered for 5 off Man City last game so I'm sure they'll be at least a little bit more motivated to beat Watford. I think they'll be very determined to keep a clean sheet as they've only had one since the restart against a 10-man Sheffield United. They're probably not good enough to keep a clean sheet against Watford but I can see a 2-1 win for Newcastle. They're pretty good on the counter if Saint-Maximin is fit (missed the City game so should be fresh). Watford have to push for the win.
Newcastle win @ 4.20
Newcastle & BTS @ 8.50
Might suggest waiting to see if Saint-Maximin starts. Teams in 15.
Newcastle got peppered for 5 off Man City last game so I'm sure they'll be at least a little bit more motivated to beat Watford. I think they'll be very determined to keep a clean sheet as they've only had one since the restart against a 10-man Sheffield United. They're probably not good enough to keep a clean sheet against Watford but I can see a 2-1 win for Newcastle. They're pretty good on the counter if Saint-Maximin is fit (missed the City game so should be fresh). Watford have to push for the win.
Newcastle win @ 4.20
Newcastle & BTS @ 8.50
Might suggest waiting to see if Saint-Maximin starts. Teams in 15.
Need 2+ goals in Norwich game to win an ACCA from yesterday, so it's going to be 0-0
I agree, I put a bit on Newcastle to win since the line was so high. The line is set like they are playing a top 4 team which was odd to me. Usually I try and make a "win with a draw no bet" but that wasn't an option so I did a Newcastle to win and also a West Ham to win (both + money). West Ham is a win win, if they don't win, I laugh and hope they get relegated.
Golden Horde 3.35 Newmarket
I got told to back this earlier this morning, so the double tip of it means I'll have to back it I guess
Anything else you fancy today?
Thinking to make a small acca with Melnikova (2.05 Ascot) Celestran (2.40 Ascot) and Zabeel Prince (5.15 Leopardstown)
Could likely do with adding 1 or 2 more though.
Don’t really fancy much today being honest, if Golden Horde wins I might bet Edraak 7.00 Newcastle 3/1I got told to back this earlier this morning, so the double tip of it means I'll have to back it I guess
Anything else you fancy today?
Thinking to make a small acca with Melnikova (2.05 Ascot) Celestran (2.40 Ascot) and Zabeel Prince (5.15 Leopardstown)
Could likely do with adding 1 or 2 more though.
Fair enough I might just tag that onto the end and leave it at that.
Stupid Newcastle.
Liverpool win and O2.5g
little risky but im putting a small punt on Hammarby. Its 0-0 at HT. They are clearly the better team. Before the game the odds were too low for me, around 1,50. They are so much better with the home crowd behind them. Not the same team without audience.
Now its @2,10 with 45 min to play.
So putting 20€ on Hammarby. Lets see!
Edit: Paulinho had a goal disallowed for Hammarby, probably offside.
Boring match, ended 0-0.
Now its @2,10 with 45 min to play.
So putting 20€ on Hammarby. Lets see!
Edit: Paulinho had a goal disallowed for Hammarby, probably offside.
Boring match, ended 0-0.
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Aye, still think it was worth the bet. That probably makes relegation less exciting now, can't imagine Villa or Bournemouth make up those points.
Also had a late go on West Ham & o2.5g so not all bad luck today.
Sheffield United were 5.25+ before kick off... Didn't go for it after the Newcastle one failed would have been in already with early payout.
Hope someone got on it!
would have been in already with early payout. Hope someone got on it!
I did when I saw the midfield. Didn't post as I didn't think they actually do it.Sheffield United were 5.25+ before kick off... Didn't go for it after the Newcastle one failed
Hope someone got on it!
Wondering if I should cash out now though
Cash out? You need to find a bookie that pays out 2 goal leads.
Clearly... I'm on Betfair.
I haven't bothered ever setting up another one. Which ones pay out 2 goal leads?
Bet365 offer it. Not sure which others.
Cashed out at 4 times my stake.
Giroud on so put a bit on BTTS @ 2 and small stake on BTTS 2nd half at 9
Giroud on so put a bit on BTTS @ 2 and small stake on BTTS 2nd half at 9
I have Sheffield +0,25 @ 3,10
Nice win. Should’ve take without handicap at like 5,95?
Anyway, that Zouma/Christensen CB pairing is utter rubbish. And then I havent even mentioned Rudiger
Nice win. Should’ve take without handicap at like 5,95?
Anyway, that Zouma/Christensen CB pairing is utter rubbish. And then I havent even mentioned Rudiger
Should have took them at -2.5 at whatever mental price that wasI have Sheffield +0,25 @ 3,10
Nice win. Should’ve take without handicap at like 5,95?
Anyway, that Zouma/Christensen CB pairing is utter rubbish. And then I havent even mentioned Rudiger
did not expect that! Expected a 2-1 for either team.Well that didn't work out so well. I was sure Chelsea would at least get one back
Oh dear. Maybe 30x or something like that?Should have took them at -2.5 at whatever mental price that was
Nice to see their £72mill goalie doing wonders
But tbf to Kepa, their defence needs some big rebuild before next season starts.
Last bet of the day: Atletico - Betis u2,5 @2,00
Atleticos games seems always to be with very few goals due to good defence and maybe 1 or 2 goals made. Lets see..
Winning! Atletico actually had 2 disallowed goals in the first half, both correctly VAR desicions. Even the Goal was a close call. Ended 1-0.Oh dear. Maybe 30x or something like that?
Nice to see their £72mill goalie doing wonders
But tbf to Kepa, their defence needs some big rebuild before next season starts.
Last bet of the day: Atletico - Betis u2,5 @2,00
Atleticos games seems always to be with very few goals due to good defence and maybe 1 or 2 goals made. Lets see..
Helsingborg- AIK .. AIK @ 1,90 is my bet of the day. Lineups in 8 mins but should be a win. Helsingborg is a relegation team and AIK looking for a top 3 place minimum. Lets see..
After seeing lineups AIK -1 @ 3,50 is tempting.
Fun fact: The goalie in Helsingborg is Uniteds Old 2nd keeper Anders Lindegaard.
Some shocking refereeing in the first half. This has to be a pen surely: (h)ttps://mobile.twitter.com/domarnivan/status/1282298071221665797?s=09
EDIT: Not a good day in football. Shocking refereeing. Useless defence.
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So far I've made it through
Wolves
Aston Villa
Spurs
Think I should cash in rather than expect a Bournemouth win
Wolves
Aston Villa
Spurs
Think I should cash in rather than expect a Bournemouth win
Was 1.40 at kick off. Glimt won 1-6. They're ridiculous, like they're playing FIFA on amateur mode.
I'd keep an eye on their away game prices. All their away games so far have been priced way too high initially. Bookies/algorithms are treating them like any regular away team.
I hope you did!So far I've made it through
Wolves
Aston Villa
Spurs
Think I should cash in rather than expect a Bournemouth win
Yeah, wasn't looking pretty, so did around 10th min.
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