Football & Sports Betting Thread 2022/2023

André Dominguez

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Terrible day yesterday. While in basket picks I was expecting some risk, the Brazilian league usually delivers, but Flamengo did not cooperate.
 

Knux

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Thursday SHL
Skelleftea Reg @1.60
Might sprinkle a little on -1.5 @2.00 too.
Linköping ML @1.70
Frölunda ML @2.00

Lets goo!:devil:
 

André Dominguez

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They aren’t even, even money not really worth the punt. The other team is 18/5 though
With a couple of subs we Will turn the game. It's was on 1.94 for a while, but now down to 1.82
The bookies probably got and heavy influx.
 

André Dominguez

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A bit risky but...
Toulouse DC @2.86
Batista-Augut vs Medvedev under 21.5 @2.05
Taylor Fritz @2.60

I think this one might be doable. This is where I'm placing the chips.
Barcelona & Bologna @2.37
 

MC89

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Sorry about the last tip ( Tenebrism)

2.25 Newmarket, Epictetus 5/2 -

Kingman colt who won his maiden by by beating flying honours into 4th, (odds on fav in first today,) by all accounts he wasn’t fully wound up the day and his one of Gosden’s best 2 year olds
 

MC89

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Everything all good with me mate. Been quiet last few months mainly because I increased stakes/resources quite a bit + been on a few holidays. 365 have been reacting to my stakes too quickly so odds have been dropping near instantly which has made it very hard to actually tip anything. (An example being I staked Barcelona u19 earlier today at 2.5 and it was 1.72 within about 5 minutes, so pretty much all value is gone near instantly). Made it very hard to post anything that would actually be possible for people to follow and profit on my bets long term. Pinnacle have also started pricing some stuff before 365 etc with max limits of £15. This means that the odds get hammered before it’s possible to get on the bet. Started happening on a few leagues I follow which is a nightmare. Hoping this stops but think it’s unlikely.

Real Madrid u19s -1.25 a nice bet v Shaktar on Wednesday though. I have -2.25 as fair line. Isn’t priced on 365 which is why odds have held. Worth taking some on alternative handicaps too, -3 and -4. I lost massive on Real Madrid -1.25 v Leipzig last game. The xg was 7-0.93 and ended 1-1. Fair score was probably 4/5-0. Probably the biggest freak I’ve seen since I started betting, certainly xG wise. It’s the highest xG I’ve ever seen from a team that didn’t win the game. I have Shaktar and Leipzig around similar levels so should be pretty one sided. They’ll rack up a load of chances, will be fine as long as their finishing is better than against Leipzig.
Glad to hear everything good
 

MC89

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Sorry about the last tip ( Tenebrism)

2.25 Newmarket, Epictetus 5/2 -

Kingman colt who won his maiden by by beating flying honours into 4th, (odds on fav in first today,) by all accounts he wasn’t fully wound up the day and his one of Gosden’s best 2 year olds
Sorry
 

Deery

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Tottenham
Newcastle
Leicester

For me today, only a small bet hard fixtures today expect a few upsets..
 

Deery

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Tottenham
Newcastle
Leicester

For me today, only a small bet hard fixtures today expect a few upsets..
Leicester man, won 3-0 at a canter then goes get beat 2-1… aw well.
 

PogBruno

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A little advice here would be well appreciated.

I have been winning a lot lately with dafabet but I cant shake this feeling that they will soon block my account and refuse to withdraw the remaining balance. (about 3k pounds)

Do you think these sites will block the balance amount as well when they block the winning customer account ?
Should this happen, what rights do I have to claim the balance, as I dont really about the account if they blocked me.
 

Knux

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Thursday SHL
Skelleftea Reg @1.60
Might sprinkle a little on -1.5 @2.00 too.
Linköping ML @1.70
Frölunda ML @2.00

Lets goo!:devil:
3/4.

Today I like
Mora Reg @1.50 and -1.5 @1.85
Göteborg @1.75
 

RedPed

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A little advice here would be well appreciated.

I have been winning a lot lately with dafabet but I cant shake this feeling that they will soon block my account and refuse to withdraw the remaining balance. (about 3k pounds)

Do you think these sites will block the balance amount as well when they block the winning customer account ?
Should this happen, what rights do I have to claim the balance, as I dont really about the account if they blocked me.
I asked this question a while ago for similar reasons. Have had no problems with withdrawals so far though I've been blocked by Paddy Power and restricted by Betfair. Betfair just restricted me and stopped all promotions when I won and withdrew.

Depends how big Dafabet are but they shouldn't give you any grief over a few grand, surely? They can't refuse to give you the money as you've won it fairly. They may do the usual verification nonsense but you should be ok. Just withdraw it, if that's what you want. If you've made withdrawals before, you shouldn't have any problems. Punters win big all the time. They'll only be after you if they suspect any betting patterns like trying to minimise losses and sticking your house on a 4th division Norwegian game or stuff like that.

@Spiersey will explain it to you properly if he's about.
 

PogBruno

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I asked this question a while ago for similar reasons. Have had no problems with withdrawals so far though I've been blocked by Paddy Power and restricted by Betfair. Betfair just restricted me and stopped all promotions when I won and withdrew.

Depends how big Dafabet are but they shouldn't give you any grief over a few grand, surely? They can't refuse to give you the money as you've won it fairly. They may do the usual verification nonsense but you should be ok. Just withdraw it, if that's what you want. If you've made withdrawals before, you shouldn't have any problems. Punters win big all the time. They'll only be after you if they suspect any betting patterns like trying to minimise losses and sticking your house on a 4th division Norwegian game or stuff like that.

@Spiersey will explain it to you properly if he's about.
Thanks for your reply mate, that feels assuring. I did withdraw 3-4 times in the last two weeks successfully hence the dilemma whether they feel I am withdrawing more than I should be. I
will try to withdraw whole balance in the coming days and see what happens.
 

RedPed

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Thanks for your reply mate, that feels assuring. I did withdraw 3-4 times in the last two weeks successfully hence the dilemma whether they feel I am withdrawing more than I should be. I
will try to withdraw whole balance in the coming days and see what happens.
More than you should be?? Mate, it's your money! Don't ever feel apologetic about it. You won it fair and square. They're quick to rake your money in when you're on a losing streak.

Unless their Ts & Cs say otherwise, withdraw whenever you like. I do.
 

Knux

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Sevilla @7.00 against Dortmund (who already cemented that second place)?
I dont think they Will win but There are great odds on Sevilla handicaps.
Talk me out of it:)
 

RedPed

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Bookies already laughing their way to the bank this evening. Thank feck I didn't punt on the earlier kickoffs. All my accas would have been dead by now.
 

Utd heap

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Sevilla @7.00 against Dortmund (who already cemented that second place)?
I dont think they Will win but There are great odds on Sevilla handicaps.
Talk me out of it:)
On what planet have Dortmund cemented 2nd place? If Sevilla won it would be game on.
 

Knux

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On what planet have Dortmund cemented 2nd place? If Sevilla won it would be game on.
You dont even answer my question so why answer at all?
If Dortmund get a win/draw today they’re through. Thats How close they are. Dont know what you talking about.
 

Utd heap

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You dont even answer my question so why answer at all?
If Dortmund get a win/draw today they’re through. Thats How close they are. Dont know what you talking about.
I think it might be a translation/context thing. No harm done.
 

André Dominguez

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Thanks for your reply mate, that feels assuring. I did withdraw 3-4 times in the last two weeks successfully hence the dilemma whether they feel I am withdrawing more than I should be. I
will try to withdraw whole balance in the coming days and see what happens.
Depending from where you are, but in Portugal legal (registered) online bookies will always pay you if you wish to withdraw the money. They might limit your betting ceilings for a while, but they legally have to give you your prizes.
I assume this applies to almost every EU and UK countries, not totally sure. On the other hand, if that bookie is not legally registered in your country, they don't really need to follow gambling legislation. If you search online you'll see tons of people being robbed like that, but that's up to them, unfortunatelly. There's a reason why "illegal" online bookies have better odds.
 

Spiersey

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A little advice here would be well appreciated.

I have been winning a lot lately with dafabet but I cant shake this feeling that they will soon block my account and refuse to withdraw the remaining balance. (about 3k pounds)

Do you think these sites will block the balance amount as well when they block the winning customer account ?
Should this happen, what rights do I have to claim the balance, as I dont really about the account if they blocked me.
Youll be fine with Dafabet. In the Uk they are regulated by IBAS so in the worst case scenario and they refused (incredibly unlikely unless you are multi accounting etc/on Gamstop) then you’d get paid by IBAS. The worst they’ll do is ask for a load of verification stuff, bank statements, pic of ID, source of wealth/funds but you’ll get paid eventually.

We are pretty spoilt in the UK in that assuming you are doing nothing wrong you will pretty much always get paid due to the UKGC and IBAS being very punter orientated.

Just avoid any shady betting sites with Curacao licenses and you’ll be fine as a good rule of thumb.
 

MC89

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Nature Strip…… thank f I never put it on here, couldn’t see it being beaten, not watched the race back, dunno if was draw (12), the going ( soft/ heavy), the jockey or a combination of all 3 - best sprinter in the world my Arsenal….
 

RedDevilMachine

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Everything all good with me mate. Been quiet last few months mainly because I increased stakes/resources quite a bit + been on a few holidays. 365 have been reacting to my stakes too quickly so odds have been dropping near instantly which has made it very hard to actually tip anything. (An example being I staked Barcelona u19 earlier today at 2.5 and it was 1.72 within about 5 minutes, so pretty much all value is gone near instantly). Made it very hard to post anything that would actually be possible for people to follow and profit on my bets long term. Pinnacle have also started pricing some stuff before 365 etc with max limits of £15. This means that the odds get hammered before it’s possible to get on the bet. Started happening on a few leagues I follow which is a nightmare. Hoping this stops but think it’s unlikely.

Real Madrid u19s -1.25 a nice bet v Shaktar on Wednesday though. I have -2.25 as fair line. Isn’t priced on 365 which is why odds have held. Worth taking some on alternative handicaps too, -3 and -4. I lost massive on Real Madrid -1.25 v Leipzig last game. The xg was 7-0.93 and ended 1-1. Fair score was probably 4/5-0. Probably the biggest freak I’ve seen since I started betting, certainly xG wise. It’s the highest xG I’ve ever seen from a team that didn’t win the game. I have Shaktar and Leipzig around similar levels so should be pretty one sided. They’ll rack up a load of chances, will be fine as long as their finishing is better than against Leipzig.
Good to see you're back mate. Hope all is well with you. I've been following your bets back in the day when I was a lurker and it made me quite a bit of moolah which help me to pay off my school fees so thanks. I tried to do professional betting at some time but it was just not sustainable at all. One week you're on a huge winning streak and the next week, you're on a losing streak and back to square one and even worse, chasing losses. It's hard to be in a business where you have totally no control over the outcome. How do you go about managing this and what bookmaker would you recommend is the best? I've tried a number like Bet365, Ladbrokes, PaddyPower but it seems like no one comes close to Bet365 in terms of the odds and user interface. Lastly, what is your prediction for Liverpool vs City? Do you reckon Liverpool has any chance at all?
 

Dinghy

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Fred with 1+ shots on target @4.50
Fred with 2+ shots on target @41
 

IRN-BRUno

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Forest Green to win against Exeter at 2/1 looks a decent price, DNB is around 5/4 which might be safer.

EFL Trophy game so not sure how strong Forest Green will be but Exeter have been struggling to fill the bench in recent weeks, a couple missed the weekend through illness as well. They have a very tough run coming up in the league so I don't see them taking risks, 4 youth players were recalled from loans this morning so presumably they'll be involved in the squad.
 

Dinghy

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Fred with 1+ shots on target @4.50
Fred with 2+ shots on target @41
Luckily repeated the +2 bet on Fred tonight when I saw that he was starting. Always gets himself into good positions to shoot, it's just that he can't shoot for shit. Should have had a couple on goal last game as well, but scuffed them.
 

MC89

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Celtic winning before 15 minutes 11/4

I was looking at next week’s champions league same for PSG 9/4 against Maccabi Haifa is a great bet.
 

MC89

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Celtic winning before 15 minutes 11/4

I was looking at next week’s champions league same for PSG 9/4 against Maccabi Haifa is a great bet.
Get in there wee Forrest 13.44
 

MC89

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Napoli on Wednesday…..

-2 7/4
-3 9/2
-4 9/1
-5 18/1

15 mins 3/1

Fill your boots
 

André Dominguez

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Santos to win @2.70 is a good Shout. Corinthians just had a CUP final that went through extra time and pks on wednesday night, pretty sure their team is a bit knackered.
 

MC89

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2 aways for me today

Arsenal and Union Berlin pays about 15/8 or there abouts
 
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