Zen
Full Member
- Joined
- Aug 11, 2008
- Messages
- 14,516
Hear it often, tend to believe it and maybe I have got lucky.... but it's no full time thing to me, does me alrite for now, so I'll just use exchanges when I do lose them all.I'm not even talking about match betting, I did that years ago and moved onto value betting horses. On horses there's no chance, you get done over in no time, really doesn't matter what you do once you beat SP. Bet on a low class affair and you'll be gone quicker than you can make a cuppa too.
Sure there's all kinds of "strategies" for avoiding getting restricted on promotions but for the most part they don't work as well as people think because they underestimate the bookies methods. They're not fooled by a slightly worse match or dumb accumulators thrown in, and all that stuff is also an opportunity cost in terms of efficiency.
Yes guy A will keep an account open longer while throwing in random bets, taking bad matches etc, and then subscribe all his success to that but then you'll get another guy who doesn't who can last just as long. You'll get someone banned in a week as well for a few matched bets.
Point is it's a matter of time generally, depends on the bookie and a bit of luck but the bottom line is they all catch up with you in the end whether you're a winner, matched better, arber, value better. It's way too easy to see smart money as a bookie, all the data is in front of them.