Oranges038
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- Oct 19, 2020
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It sometimes feels like we have no other solutions than to just ban things.
Banning haircuts and long hair is the only solution.
It sometimes feels like we have no other solutions than to just ban things.
It's not about standing out, it's about mass ability to be fluid and drown the data with overload.Would they not stand out more in a small village rather than a big town/city?
Locals would be more wary/nosey of who is coming into their little town.
100% agree.The software is only mopping up after the water has spilled though. If they're going to truly do something about it then they need to tighten up Companies House and make commercial landlords as truly accountable as banks are with customers when it comes to signing up a new tenant through their regulatory checks.
I've not really understood your posts on this over the last page or two. Can you explain it like we're laymen here? What does the software do and what data are you looking at?It's not about standing out, it's about mass ability to be fluid and drown the data with overload.
I can't unfortunately talk about the software. Nor can I talk about all the data sets but let's say companies house public data. Say there's a corner shop, that shop keeps shutting down as a business and reopening as another with a new name and new owner. Now imagine that same corner shop is also the over seeing office address for 20 more business in different industries that aren't a corner shop. The staff there keep changing every 2 weeks or so and every business owner to that address is a different alias. Yes the shop is dodgy as hell but who are the people behind it. You don't know because you need to survey it and start linking faces to aliases. Thing is your the poor data analyst who has to produce all this evidence find the links to get the survey to get the investigation and it takes you and many more of you 6 months to do it, because there's an over load of data, get it ratified and start the process. That shop though is now empty and derelict. Now the barber shops have staff who are barbers. They are kept away from the upper people who come on to conduct business there that's not cutting hair. They only allow for payments in cash so they can cook books and hide things like say someone paying 15-20k to have a family member smuggled over. The staff though are not involved. This allows the upper criminals an endless possibility of locations to travel to and conduct their business and there's not enough cops to watch then all. So your biggest task is to link the aliases to the real peoples names then match the business. To much data makes it an ever evolving process and hides the people in the nose. The software allows the data analysts to go through all that data and build the cases, make the links super quick. It still all has to be checked but they can hopefully get it done in a tighter window.I've not really understood your posts on this over the last page or two. Can you explain it like we're laymen here? What does the software do and what data are you looking at?
I've not really understood your posts on this over the last page or two. Can you explain it like we're laymen here? What does the software do and what data are you looking at?
Yeah F-Red explained far better than I.Thanks for the extra details. Interesting stuff.
If I were you I’d take the unders on the number of Betfreds still open by MayI am putting together my ante-post selections for the upcoming season today inspired by this thread.
My local town will break ground on it the mixed used model in about 2-3 years, so I think the proposition of that will appeal to a lot of cohorts (people looking to get on the ladder, those looking to downsize). City centres/towns are all in need to renovate so focusing on brownfield sites ahead of greenbelt is a sensible move to get some form of house building going.
Yeah, these will be the same because the compulsory purchase prices will necessitate that. And then they'll sell people the dream of living in a swanky new development, but it'll just be flats above shops that are a bit ropy at night time and loads of people will just be wandering through the town centres pissed up from the local bars that play music too loud, and arguing and fighting while you're trying to sleep.Sounds interesting but that was kinda my point about something needing to give. The areas would have to be affordable to attract buyers or downsizers. A lot of flat developments around my way seem to come at a premium.
Already covered in this thread.I don’t understand the people arguing against the majority of these new barbers being money laundering operations, if they’re not, can they explain where the supposed 500% increase in demand has come from?
Yeah, these will be the same because the compulsory purchase prices will necessitate that. And then they'll sell people the dream of living in a swanky new development, but it'll just be flats above shops that are a bit ropy at night time and loads of people will just be wandering through the town centres pissed up from the local bars that play music too loud, and arguing and fighting while you're trying to sleep.
At least that's my experience of city/town centre living. The people that don't live there treat it like a kind of theme park and never adjust their behaviour once it's become a neighborhood. And they're never designed to accommodate families, just single people and couples, which leads to problems too.
I live about 10 minutes walk from one of the biggest and best known shopping streets in the region and have about eight malls within a 10-15 minute radius and I love it.Yeah same experience. I think it's all marketing and data because I've never met anybody who lives near a city centre who didn't grow to hate it.
Think that's just a Hull in general thing tbf city centre or notI live about 10 minutes walk from one of the biggest and best known shopping streets in the region and have about eight malls within a 10-15 minute radius and I love it.
A friend used to live next to Hull Marina, adjacent to the city centre, and the houses round there would get people pissing in their doorways and sticking shit through their letterboxes etc though.
Yeah, we still haven't adjusted in the UK to city centres also being residential. People visit and act totally differently, like the whole place is there just for shopping and boozing.I live about 10 minutes walk from one of the biggest and best known shopping streets in the region and have about eight malls within a 10-15 minute radius and I love it.
A friend used to live next to Hull Marina, adjacent to the city centre, and the houses round there would get people pissing in their doorways and sticking shit through their letterboxes etc though.
Sounds interesting but that was kinda my point about something needing to give. The areas would have to be affordable to attract buyers or downsizers. A lot of flat developments around my way seem to come at a premium.
Yeah, these will be the same because the compulsory purchase prices will necessitate that. And then they'll sell people the dream of living in a swanky new development, but it'll just be flats above shops that are a bit ropy at night time and loads of people will just be wandering through the town centres pissed up from the local bars that play music too loud, and arguing and fighting while you're trying to sleep.
At least that's my experience of city/town centre living. The people that don't live there treat it like a kind of theme park and never adjust their behaviour once it's become a neighborhood. And they're never designed to accommodate families, just single people and couples, which leads to problems too.
I wasn't complaining about the change of use, just the fact that it's always incredibly expensive and never well thought out enough.Not directly aimed at you two but those points sums up UK planning, and even politics to a degree, that if a solution isn't 100% perfect for everyone then it's not worth pursuing or the right direction.
Everyone complains if greenbelt land is built on, usually focused on from a commercial and desirability aspect, but as soon as someone suggests brownfield or town centre density, the complaints switch to noise, parking, or prices being too high. We end up in total planning paralysis because no one wants to compromise. I’ve seen that same pattern play out across a number of towns looking back as far as 5 years ago when I was looking for retail leases.
The liveability issues people mention often sound like localised problems with specific bad areas, rather than an inherent flaw with urban living as a whole. My local town doesn't have that problem at all, so it really depends on where you are.
The hard reality is the traditional retail high street is never coming back to what it was, mainstream retail simply doesn't want these units anymore. To me it’s a pretty binary choice in either residential/mixed-use conversions or we leave them vacant to be snapped up by dodgy money laundering fronts, American candy stores, and vape shops. Mixed-use won't suit every cohort, but getting spades in the ground on brownfield sites is a hell of a lot better than letting town centres rot while waiting for a fairytale option.
I wasn't complaining about the change of use, just the fact that it's always incredibly expensive and never well thought out enough.
Like, yes, mixed usage is an improvement on what is there, but if you fail to provide services for the people that move in, such as schools, nurseries and doctors surgeries, you put strain on the existing resources and doom it to failure. Which is what happens in 99% of these things because they are done by private companies while councils basically cross their fingers that they're going to do what they say in the planning stage and know they aren't going to build anything other than the units they make their profits from.
They basically have them over a barrel, promise the council the moon on a stick and then under deliver. And then in 30 years, it's all knocked down and they do the same thing again.
Probably wants all pubs shut down as wellWhy on earth are we banning people having a bet? I love it.
Not directly aimed at you two but those points sums up UK planning, and even politics to a degree, that if a solution isn't 100% perfect for everyone then it's not worth pursuing or the right direction.
Everyone complains if greenbelt land is built on, usually focused on from a commercial and desirability aspect, but as soon as someone suggests brownfield or town centre density, the complaints switch to noise, parking, or prices being too high. We end up in total planning paralysis because no one wants to compromise. I’ve seen that same pattern play out across a number of towns looking back as far as 5 years ago when I was looking for retail leases.
The liveability issues people mention often sound like localised problems with specific bad areas, rather than an inherent flaw with urban living as a whole. My local town doesn't have that problem at all, so it really depends on where you are.
The hard reality is the traditional retail high street is never coming back to what it was, mainstream retail simply doesn't want these units anymore. To me it’s a pretty binary choice in either residential/mixed-use conversions or we leave them vacant to be snapped up by dodgy money laundering fronts, American candy stores, and vape shops. Mixed-use won't suit every cohort, but getting spades in the ground on brownfield sites is a hell of a lot better than letting town centres rot while waiting for a fairytale option.
I've seen this touted in something like Nottingham's attempt to put flats in the old Broadmarsh area, which currently acts as the main thoroughfare from the station to the city centre. Lovely idea but I just don't see how it works.
I know that bit of Nottingham and it looks like it'd be an awful place to live if you enjoy sleeping.They are localised issues but I'd say that's a pretty big conundrum. A sleepy market town transformed into urban living that ends up being bakeries and delis and coffee shops (i.e. daytime spaces) would be great because the space can be mixed-use but crucially allows residents to enjoy peace in terms of living there. However, if you take a busy city centre with bars/pubs open late, then that's going to be a nuisance for people who can't adjust their lifestyles around that sort of thing.
I've seen this touted in something like Nottingham's attempt to put flats in the old Broadmarsh area, which currently acts as the main thoroughfare from the station to the city centre. Lovely idea but I just don't see how it works.
Still, despite my reservations, I largely agree with you that it's worth a shot.
Local small high street near me. They had 1 barber with 2 chairs and to be honest he was never that busy. Within 5 shops either side 2 Turkish barbers opened, each with 7 chairs. The original has not really lost any trade to them. Has to be money laundering
Rents can be relatively cheap - as low as maybe just £25-40 a day in some areas. Other business expenses very low, could be as low as £25-40 a day. Say a store has 15 customers a day paying £12 on average, and just the business owner working, £180 a day revenue. 5 days a week, roughly £3,900 revenue per month. Profit could be £1,500 to £2,000 per month. That's roughly on par with minimum wage, for a pretty chill, no stress job. They'd be unlikely to pay a single penny in tax. Well under the VAT threshold. Cash income, so untraceable and easy to report that their profits are under the personal allowance. Maybe a small amount of NICs if they even choose to report enough income. Almost impossible for HMRC to prove otherwise, and the amounts of £ involved doesn't even make it cost-effective for HMRC to pursue. HMRC, like most public services, is also incredibly ineffective, poorly structured and poorly managed, with out of date systems, clunky processes and an increasingly poorly trained workforce. HMRC and DWP are also not connected, so it's easy for someone to simultaneously underreport their earnings for tax, and claim unemployment benefits.
Not quite, HMRC will have a good grasp of a ratio of earnings to energy costs. It's actually one of the key metrics they use on establishing if a business is worth investigating if they're primarily posing a cash business. Typical or high energy usage for a barbers but only reporting on the books say 4-5 cuts then it'll flag pretty quickly. The making tax digital process will hopefully eliminate a lot of this in the future.
For decent sized businesses. They don't pursue very small businesses in this way. The resource cost purely on staff hours to take up the case would not make it worthwhile, and the small business compliance department is especially shit (source: friends and family who work or worked at HMRC)
Maybe 10 years ago. My wife's cousin is a tax inspector and the AI tools they now have through their connect system means investigating is pretty straight forward now. Whether they choose to pursue or not is a different question entirely based on the return but the view from HMRC, is that MTD will allow them to close that gap quicker.
Ok so why aren’t they coming down like a ton of bricks over all the dodgy barbers shops?Maybe 10 years ago. My wife's cousin is a tax inspector and the AI tools they now have through their connect system means investigating is pretty straight forward now. Whether they choose to pursue or not is a different question entirely based on the return but the view from HMRC, is that MTD will allow them to close that gap quicker.
Probably because the money laundering ones pay taxOk so why aren’t they coming down like a ton of bricks over all the dodgy barbers shops?
most I’ve been to (with my son I am a cueball) take cash only.
I wonder why that is?
What's been obvious in my town and others like it, is that loads of high street shops, independent ones and older chains like Woolworths went out of business, others pulled out and reduced their branches, focussing on the bigger cities. Banks closed thousands of branches all over the country.
So towns like mine had loads of empty units. Eventually the rents on those units reduced as demand declined. And the only viable businesses were charity shops, discount shops selling bulk foods close to their sell by dates, barbers and vape shops, which basically replicated the old tobacconists shops that were all over the place throughout most of the 20th century without anyone suspecting them of being a front for anything.
The question is, if they are all obvious criminal enterprises, and we can all see that, why aren't the police busting them? Or the councils evicting them? Could it be that mass suspicion isn't actually backed by any evidence?

Ok so why aren’t they coming down like a ton of bricks over all the dodgy barbers shops?
most I’ve been to (with my son I am a cueball) take cash only.
I wonder why that is?
The amount of energy a barbers shop uses will be miniscule. The lighting and heating will account for most of it. There's no way you could accurately analyse a bill and extrapolate from it the number of times a set of clippers has been used.Not quite, HMRC will have a good grasp of a ratio of earnings to energy costs. It's actually one of the key metrics they use on establishing if a business is worth investigating if they're primarily posing a cash business. Typical or high energy usage for a barbers but only reporting on the books say 4-5 cuts then it'll flag pretty quickly. The making tax digital process will hopefully eliminate a lot of this in the future.
There’s two different things money laundering, then there’s the cash element.Ok so why aren’t they coming down like a ton of bricks over all the dodgy barbers shops?
most I’ve been to (with my son I am a cueball) take cash only.
I wonder why that is?
The machine is broken pal.Ok so why aren’t they coming down like a ton of bricks over all the dodgy barbers shops?
most I’ve been to (with my son I am a cueball) take cash only.
I wonder why that is?