So, what's the deal then? Have we scored 10 pure bangers out of nowhere that have fluked their way in? Surely the only way a goal wouldn't count as an expected goal is if it goes right through a flapping goalkeeper, or is a calamitous own goal that the attacking team had little involvement in. If a striker gets a shot on target and it goes in, how could it possibly be an 'unexpected' goal? It makes a bit more sense the other way. I.e. a goalkeeper making miraculous saves of what looked like a certain goal, of which De Gea frequently does, so that is fairly clear. There was about 4 of those alone vs Spurs. But which are these goals that United have scored that aren't part of the "xG' total? I'd be interested to see these 10 extra "holy shit how did they score that?!" goals that we've amassed. Whoever is calculating this stat should provide that context, if they don't already.