- Jan 13, 2012
Yeah this. Any change will require the police and army to turn against the state. However, Iran is effectively run by a pseudo-mafia in the IRGC who control just about all aspects of the economy (basically the SS for want of a better equivalency) and they will never turn against the state as they owe literally everything to it.Only if the army turns against the religious fanatics there is some hope of overthrowing this regime. All the middle east muslim-dominated countries seem to be hopeless, there is not a single good example...
Doubt the current disorder will lead to revolution, however these protests are becoming more and more regular - something will have to give sooner rather than later (and with the Ayatollah on his last legs the succession will be potential dynamite).