I’m in two minds about this.
Tokyo 2022? Then do you make it paris 2026 or stick with 2024?
or just skip it and wait till 2024
Then do you still go to Paris or do you give tokyo 2024 and Paris 2028?
Doubt they can leave it too much longer before making a decision
I think they need to make a decision by March. It was left too late for the athletes last year. A lot of qualification still has to happen I think its only close to 50% that are currently qualified. If nations start pulling out they will have no choice but to cancel.
They won't postpone it again as we are already in the Paris Olympiad. Having a year into the next cycle may prolong some of the older athletes that were thinking last year would be their last games.
I think they'll cancel it rather than trying to push it out, the only real option of postponing is to push it to later in the year or scrap it. The weather is still decent in Japan around October & November so the Paralympics could still follow the games.
It's a tough decision and I wouldn't envy the organising committee making the decision. If it goes ahead there'll be arguments of putting commercial over health after the billions put into running the games.