(15/7) x 26 would have them in 2nd, 7 points behind City. It would also lead to an 81 point season. Technically you are right at this moment in time as City are higher but it's very strong form.
They only spend money improving the starting 11 when we finish out of the top 4 and limit the spending to improve the bench when we finish in it.
I think this would equally be true if Chelsea weren't decimated by Frank Lampard.
Disagree partly with that point. I'd even argue we were quite unlucky in the recent bad run, should be closer to City. Some ridiculously marginal things going against us (Cavani misses vs Arsenal, two major refereeing decisions against us in the Sheffield game, Maguire's goal against Burnley, no foul against Lindelof...). So I think if we replay this season after the Spurs game again 10 times, we'd be second at this point in time quite often.
This is one of my least favorite myths, the league can and does regularly lie. This assumes that luck balances out over a season but that's not how luck works. Many teams have vastly overperformed/underperformed based on what would be expected due to luck and bad refereeing decisions.
They’re there because of injuries mate, let’s not pretend we’re something we’re not if Leicester weren’t constant bottlers they’d be second now and Chelsea have massively underperformed considering the money they’ve spent.
Sample size is way too small to make any kind to judgement to be honest at this moment , if they lose against Liverpool which is a possibility suddenly his start wouldn't look so great ,Tuchel is very good coach most probably he would do very well with Chelsea but it's way too early to comment on his impact on Chelsea whether positive or negative.
This.
If Leicester weren’t constant bottlers?
That's exactly what the threads about. If you'd asked me that question a month ago I would have felt the same as you. Now I don't because I expect us to win because we have far more quality than they have.
Yeah there’s been fine margins as I said if we can turn draws into wins against the top 6 we will have a very good next season.
Yes of course, my point was so far their form has been great.
We're not by far the second best team, we're the second best team by about a point... which is about right.
They bottled the top 4 last season and the chance to overtake us twice this season I think it has to be said, Liverpool lost some of their midfield as well and didn’t have their front 3 regularly for large parts of the season as well as their CB’s, not that I want to defend Liverpool but injuries have affected them.
They are their because that is where they deserve to be based off points won. Just like Utd are second based off points won, just like Sheffield Utd deserve to be bottom. You deserve your position on the table after 26 or 38 games based on whether or not you earn more or less points than other teams. Isn't that how the league table works?
Well if you look at my post I didn’t exactly say we didn’t deserve to be there I said we are there because everyone else aren’t as good as they should be so I guess we can agree on that.
As good as they should be, how good is that? Are we being better or worse than we should be, or not as good as we should be but still a slightly better not as good as we should be than teams below us?
yeah this is worrying. We aren't far away from a top 4 scrap at all. Look at Leicester last season. A bad run and they fall out of the CL spots that they were nailed on for. They were 12 points ahead of us at this stage last season.
Those big six charts are kind of pointless. Last season we were top (or very close to the top anyway?). This season we’re bottom. We haven’t changed much. It’s a tiny sample of games so you can’t draw any lasting conclusions. Unlike the 38 matches played over a full season. Which tells us exactly how good those 6 teams are, relative to each other.I added this to the Tuchel thread. Only because any success that Chelsea is experiencing, this is a reminder that we are nowhere where we need to be. I think both teams have more work that needs to be done. A top 4 finish would be really good after the last two months. I do agree that Man Utd have earned the second spot, I don't think based on this and other stats it is going to be easy to stay there until the end.
A chart on how the big six have done against each other this year.
We arent chasing 1 spot this year though. 1 team may go on a tear and overtake us but 3 teams arent coming from the pack and putting pressure on us.
