I'm less sure - Newcastle were top 4 for the second half of last season. That's more than just a blip or a good run and Howe is doing really good things up there.
They need a signing or two to boost their attack, and maybe one more midfielder, but they look a more cohesive team than us at the moment. It depends on how long it takes Ten Hag to either turn around the attitude and application of half our first team, or else drop them for younger players who are willing and able to follow instructions.
I wouldn't say it's a given that we will finish above them right now at all.