Chaos in the TDF, snow/hailstorms and overall very bad weather caused earthslides down the mountain blocking the road. Finish will probably be
I have a medium bet on Alaphilippe to loose the jersey today, 1.8 at Expekt. As Im on Bernal overall I will not bet him today for stage 19, however pretty convinced the altitude(over 2700 meters) favours the columbians, and Bernal at 5/1 seems good value to me, but you always have the risk of a break going.
Porte vs Uran seems good value @2.70, so put a small bet on that. I was the other way yesterday with a big bet on Uran @2.18, but Porte gave me a scare as he actually handled the descent well. He has crashed badly in the past and had a mental block after that, so expected him to be without chance, but finished just behind on same time.
Win and void x2, Bernal was winning, but they called the race in. Bad weather caused earthslides to block roads which were already filled with snow/hail. No race winner, but times up to peak counted, so Bernal now in yellow.
As stated I will not bet Bernal today either due to my overall bet, but would if not for that.
For same reasons todays stage 21 is halved and down to 60 km, most of it a long climb up to the finish Val Thorens @2365 meters. Bernal has shown himself to be the best climber, Pinot is out and Thomas will not attack his teammate in the jersey, so I feel the stage is set for Bernal again. Obviously at 3.25 value can be discussed, but the short distance should reduce the risk of a break going in, and this climb is not the toughest apart from the beginning, but very long, so the profile may suits others like Kruijswijk better.
Some punts, most on b365, in case of a break going all the way: Uran 34/1(bethard), Mollema 151/1, Porte 68/1, De Gendt/Reisenbach/Aru 126/1, Mas 201/1 and Martin (100/1 Coolbet).