fair enough. haven't paid attention to daily updates but the complex foreign affairs write ups seemed to have stopped. so no real idea as to the state of war on either side or projections beyond periodical maps.
Russian invasion of Ukraine | Fewer tweets, more discussion
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Oh believe me, my comment was completely tongue in cheek towards Schroder.
I think you could add to that that Ukraine will be attempting to retake land that it knows incredibly well, with a sizeable proportion of the civilian population on their side, providing real-time information. I don’t think this is comparable to an invasion by a foreign army of relatively unknown land and a hostile populace.
Good point.
Alternatively, Putin does have a few more tricks up his sleeve. He still has thermobaric weapons that he has scarcely used (if at all), as well as chemical, biological, and nukes. The downside of using any of these would be that he would instantly turn into an even greater international pariah where the likes of the Chinese, Indians and others would be forced to wash their hands of him. It would also probably involve NATO getting involved militarily in some capacity. So all things said, Putin is quickly running out of options to stop the Ukrainians from gradually reclaiming lost territory.
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I thought they only used them at nighttime. Are they emboldened for whatever reason?
Difficult to find a real explanation for the lack of thermobaric weapon use. It might be that it has been communicated (at whatever level still exists) between the US and Russia that their use would be seen as a serious escalation which would result in a similar response from the West, I really don’t know.
I think he hasn't used them to any great extent because he knows he would lose what little international support he has and would in the process risk NATO getting involved militarily. He's therefore stuck in a war of daily attrition in which he is gradually running out of ways to win, at a time when the Ukrainians are beginning to erode his advances.
Maybe they got longer range missiles now?
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I’d never want to estimate Russia but it does look exceptionally difficult for them to achieve their aims and find a way out of this. Ukraine won’t simply stop fighting unless forced by the West through the halting of arms supplies. And being cynical about this I’d imagine current Nato countries are viewing this war in the same way we’ve come to view the US invasion of Vietnam or the Soviet invasion of Afghanistan. Gorbachev called the Afghan war an ‘open wound’ for the Soviet Union. This feels the same. I wonder how long it will take for Russia to be in a position to threaten another country with war. I think we’re looking at a decade.
Yeah, sure, the US has every right to complain about Soviet involvement as to why they lost the Vietnam War then. Oh wait, they didn't.
Unless Lockheed Martin has started production of the GMLRS-ER missiles earlier than expected, the only available missiles for the M270/M142 launchers with longer range are ATACMS. The missiles in the video are 100% not those as they are much bigger and a M142 HIMARS launcher can only carry one at a time.
ATACMS missile vs pod of 6 GMLRS missiles.
The GMLRS-ER missile that are being developed has a range of 150km, but the production of those is not expected to start until next year.
Wasn't there some missile with 300km range?Unless Lockheed Martin has started production of the GMLRS-ER missiles earlier than expected, the only available missiles for the M270/M142 launchers with longer range are ATACMS. The missiles in the video are 100% not those as they are much bigger and a M142 HIMARS launcher can only carry one at a time.
ATACMS missile vs pod of 6 GMLRS missiles.
The GMLRS-ER missile that are being developed has a range of 150km, but the production of those is not expected to start until next year.
Thats the ATACMS, the big one in the picture. A HIMARS launcher can either carry one of those or a pod with 6 smaller GMLRS missiles.
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Oh good.
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Fantastic, because Russian rockets never fails as we had been seen...
*Carry your "I'm with stupid" sign whenever you see a Russian soldier next to you.*
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Ukraine won’t cede any land because that would create a precedent, and we have already seen that even a de facto control of some territory isn’t enough for Russia. Crimea wasn’t enough. The occupied territories of the LNR and DNR weren’t enough. They (for example, Lavrov) keep expanding on their goals even during this conflict. Whatever Ukraine concedes, they will come back for more.
Virtually all Ukrainians recognise this. Ukraine will only survive and be independent as long as people grow up with national pride, nationalism (in the positive, defensive sense) and the will to fight for continual survival military, politically and economically.
You don’t have to be to write an opinion piece. Ex) Editorials
Well they've been accepting weak leaders for 200 years.
Let's not go too far!
Huh, the worst person you know made a good point meme. Oz is a hack unfortunately but I suppose he can be correct occassionally.
Dumb hypothetical but if Putin is dying (as the mental online rumours say) what are the chances he escalates to a point where intervention is needed and what is that point? He drops chemical/biological or nuclear weapons? He carpet bombs civilians? Starts invading another nation?
Russia orders to forcibly mobilize up to 10k men in occupied territories until 18th of August (Russian telegram channels report with confirmations from the locals). This is just a pure genocide of Ukrainians by having them to go up against their own country, probably to be used as cannon fodder too.Tweet
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What would he gain by doing any of these things if he's dying anyway and wouldn't be able to enjoy the spoils of victory ?
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They are there for the annual tank biathlon, a type of wargame organized by the Russian army.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tank_biathlon
This is a video from when they entered Russia a week ago.
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Thanks
So that’s why their tanks kept ending up in Ukrainian rivers
You are thinking of triathlon perhaps?
No. You’re just taking what I said seriously.
He's a "hack" who spent 3 months on the front line in Ukraine so he's put his money where his mouth is on this.
So has John Sweeney
Never heard of the biathlon before. And I learned what Abkhazia is & where it’s located. Thanks!
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This is nonsense IMO. Ukraine is somewhat of a proxy war. Proxy wars have been (unfortunately) plenty. This won't escalate to WW3.
It very well could if NATO hadn't made a collective choice to not engage beyond arming the Ukrainians. Imagine if they set up a No Fly Zone earlier in the war and Putin reacted to it by escalating. Once Russia and NATO are firing at one another, that's two sides with most of the world's nukes at war.
One thing that this war has showed me is the US would mop the floor with this wanna be super power (Russia).
In boxing terms, it would not even go the distance, a easy little KO, no contest
In boxing terms, it would not even go the distance, a easy little KO, no contest
Russia does not want any of the US smoke. They will embarrass Russia and Putin more then they already are.