DWelbz19
Correctly predicted Portugal to win Euro 2016
- Joined
- Oct 31, 2012
- Messages
- 35,426
I agree with most of what you’re saying here — both in terms of the profile of midfielder we seem interested in, and the idea that a counter pressing team doesn't necessarily mean you can't have high amounts of possession.I think we can safely assume that advanced #8 signing is Ten Hag's first choice option this summer.
It's a shape we were already playing in the second half of the season particularly and the one thing we know for a fact (because we actually made bids for him) is that we went into the summer with Mount as a priority, with all reports agreeing the intent is for him to fill that #8 spot. That's a pretty clear sign what our first choice plan is.
What's less clear is whether we want additional midfield signings, what status profile those signings would realistically be or whether we are open to switching away from that advanced #8 if Mount isn't available.
In terms of style of play, a Mount signing would seem to suggest a focus on pressing/counter-pressing. Coupled with a signing like Onana in goal and I think the stylistic shift on last season we'd quickly see is the team playing a lot higher up the pitch.
How that reflects in terms of possession is tricky to say. It certainly doesn't suggest a particularly possession-orientated side, but that's relative. Klopp's Liverpool weren't regarded as a possession side either, and had a much more functional midfield than we would, but at their peak they were still finishing second only to City in the PL in terms of average possession. I would imagine the ideal play-out of this side is something similar.
However, I think the biggest difference between us and Klopp's Liverpool is ball retention, particularly in midfield. I remember having a quick glance at the stats and the Liverpool side since 2018ish: Wijnaldum, Fabinho, and Henderson in that 2018-21 period were mostly water carriers with their passing. Wijnaldum and Fabinho were in the top 90+ percentile every single season for passing accuracy (Wijnaldum was mostly 97+!). Henderson was the most ambitious of the three but even he was in the high 70s. It was their fullbacks that were able to play the creative lower percentage passes.
In contrast, our midfield three in its entirety (Casemiro; Fernandes; and the third - be it Eriksen or potentially Mount) are all midfielders in the bottom 30 percentile for passing accuracy. We’re turnover central in the middle of the pitch. Until we fix that, we don't really go from averaging 53% possession a game to the 60% that the likes of City, Arsenal, Liverpool (and now Brighton) seem to average.