Fergies Gum
Full Member
- Joined
- May 23, 2011
- Messages
- 13,599
Sinema has announced she isn't running for re-election.
g = window.googletag || {}; googletag.cmd = googletag.cmd || []; window.googletag = googletag; googletag.cmd.push(function() { var interstitialSlot = googletag.defineOutOfPageSlot('/17085479/redcafe_gam_interstitial', googletag.enums.OutOfPageFormat.INTERSTITIAL); if (interstitialSlot) { interstitialSlot.addService(googletag.pubads()); } });
In 2016, polls made a 1% mistake with Clinton. They said that she would win with a 3% margin and she won by 2%. But electoral collegeDidn't the polling predict a Clinton win in 2016? And a much bigger Republican win in 2022 including control of the senate?
On another note, will Haley drop out if (when?) Trump cleans up on super Tuesday?
Tweet
— Twitter API (@user) date
He should, but he is not gonna, lets hope he limps over the finish line in November.Given what’s at stake I think Biden should do the right thing and drop out as I think he’s the only candidate that Trump can beat.
I mean, yeah, it wasn't ever gonna end any other way.Haley is getting shat upon, curbstomped and teabagged hard in Texas.
Just to add to that: most polls about the GOP primary give Trump 80% or more. That’s far from what we have seen thus far. Yes, some Southern states will give him 70-80%, but I doubt that he will get to 80% nationally in this primary.Tweet
— Twitter API (@user) date
"Polls are accurate"
Might depend on how long Texan's memories last, fecking off to Cancun during massive power outages in a cold and snowy winter didn't go down very well. doubt it will cost him enough but you never knowI mean, yeah, it wasn't ever gonna end any other way.
Primaries don't mean much in the grand scheme of things, but Cruz will have to underperform the top of the ticket a good bit for him to lose.
I don't actually follow what goes on in Tennesse or whatever, those states are a foregone conclusion, Michigan, or even Virginia, to a lesser extent, are not places you want to have a big underperformance, even in the primaries.Just to add to that: most polls about the GOP primary give Trump 80% or more. That’s far from what we have seen thus far. Yes, some Southern states will give him 70-80%, but I doubt that he will get to 80% nationally in this primary.
You mean underperformance by Trump?Michigan, or even Virginia, to a lesser extent, are not places you want to have a big underperformance, even in the primaries.
Yes.You mean underperformance by Trump?
I agree. I have been talking about this since the beginning of the primary season.Yes.
Now, primaries are usually more inaccurate than general elections, but do i believe that Trump will underperform by a few points? Yes i do.I agree. I have been talking about this since the beginning of the primary season.
The primary results don’t paint the same picture like the general-election polls for Trump.
Yes, primary polls are less accurate than GE polls. What’s interesting, though, is that the misses of the polls are not random, but tend to overestimate the support of Trump.Now, primaries are usually more inaccurate than general elections, but do i believe that Trump will underperform by a few points? Yes i do.
Few points in a couple of battleground states is all it takes to swing an election, this is going to be a close election.
Polls needs to narrow more the advantage to be on the margin of error that can make Biden the winner even if it doesn't show he is not. If prestigious polls don't move from 3-5% lead for Trump, he will be the winner. Anything else is just wishful thinkingNow, primaries are usually more inaccurate than general elections, but do i believe that Trump will underperform by a few points? Yes i do.
Few points in a couple of battleground states is all it takes to swing an election, this is going to be a close election.
Polls needs to narrow more, of course, but take Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, they are both statistical ties, as of right now.Polls needs to narrow more the advantage to be on the margin of error that can make Biden the winner even if it doesn't show he is not. If prestigious polls don't move from 3-5% lead for Trump, he will be the winner. Anything else is just wishful thinking
Agree. We will have a better picture in September October. But for now looks grimPolls needs to narrow more, of course, but take Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, they are both statistical ties, as of right now.
That is not enough for Biden, obviously, so more has to be done.
This is why I believe Biden should campaign more in those swing states these days. People are suckers for candidates who campaign hard and who sell talking points in an election year.Polls needs to narrow more, of course, but take Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, they are both statistical ties, as of right now.
That is not enough for Biden, obviously, so more has to be done.
https://eu.usatoday.com/story/news/...-tuesday-uncommitted-vote-states/72858017007/Just woke up, how did 'uncommitted" fare outside of Minnesota?
Ta.https://eu.usatoday.com/story/news/...-tuesday-uncommitted-vote-states/72858017007/
Minnesota the highest but some other states not far behind.
14.6% in Minnesota Democratic primary
10.5% in North Carolina Democratic primary
7.3% in Colorado Democratic primary
3.9% in Iowa Democratic caucus
3.3% in Tennessee Democratic Primary
5.1% in Alabama Democratic primary
11.2% in Massachusetts Democratic primary
Tweet
— Twitter API (@user) date
This is strange language to use for a mixed race female.Haley is getting shat upon, curbstomped and teabagged hard in Texas.
Crazy situation for the US to find itself in - any vaguely competent candidate put forward by either main party would completely annihilate the current 1st choice opposition candidate. Individually, Trump and Biden must be two of the worst candidates ever put forward - how can this possibly be the choice facing the American people. Even so, there is clearly a wrong answer here - Trump 2.0 will be a disaster, not just for the social fabric of the country, the rule of law and potentially American democracy itself, but also for the international community, particularly Nato and Ukraine.He should, but he is not gonna, lets hope he limps over the finish line in November.
On the flip side, Trump is probably the only candidate Biden can beat at this point, Haley would comfortably beat Biden.
Among video gamers, that would be the description of getting battered and totally humiliated by the other team.This is strange language to use for a mixed race female.
Looks like the GOP have learned nothing from the Herschel Walker debacle.Steve Garvey of Dodgers fame? Jesus.
Sure, video gamers think nothing about invoking Nazi abuses...Among video gamers, that would be the description of getting battered and totally humiliated by the other team.