Football & Sports Betting Thread 2022/2023

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awop

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Spurs or Milan + BTTS + one of Messi/Mbappe/Mané to score @3.50
Tottenham has to go for it to salvage a tiny bit of excitement about their season so hopefully they get destroyed 1-4 or something :angel:
 

Big Andy

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Well Dortmund are hanging on at the moment. Could have been 2 or 3 down already.
I got screwed over by Opta last night, had a few accas that included a Bellingham shot on target, he missed a sitter from about 6 yards and then I thought he'd had one at the death in the 92nd minute, but Opta, using their mind reading powers, decided it wasn't a shot at goal, but an attempted cross instead.
 

Spiersey

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I'm also on Al-Batin +3.5 v Nassr on Friday. I have fair line around +2 asian. This looks awful from league table (hence the huge line) but Batin are in the falsest league position you'll see. They are a mid table side. Basically at the start of the season, there was issues with registration and they weren't allowed to register any new players for the first half of the season. They'd let go of loads of players so they had to use reserves and kids mainly. Was 3 starters basically and the rest filler. They've signed a brand new side now basically, have 7 foreigns instead of 2 (Was a goalkeeper and a CB so didn't make much difference really) as well as better quality locals from the first half of the season. I've bet them the last few games and they've been playing well. Were excellent last game and got their first win of the season, should have scored 3+ really. Another positive for me is Talisca is coming back from suspension. This looks a negative on the surface but him and Ronaldo really do not compliment each other at all on the pitch. They are similar players, occupy the same spaces and they both want to shoot from distance and like arriving in the box for headers. Ronaldo has excelled the last 3 games without him, I think him coming back in hurts Ronaldo and the team. Win at 50/1 in some places in worth a tiny bet too, Batin will sit deep and look to counter, it's been effective against Nassr at times this season if can avoid conceding early.
On Batin again tomorrow +0.75 and double chance. 1.8 and 1.9 price wise. I have them favourites. Same reasoning as above.
Last week they were outstanding v Nassr. Fully deserved the win and we’re holding on great until ref added 12 for no reason. Conceded 3 in injury time to lose 3-1. Didn’t cash my win bets at 50s, but they never looked like conceding really until 1-1. Probably their best performance of the season despite the score line. I have them favourites tomorrow. 1.8 win is fair for me, but the market isn’t really aware how good Baten are so not expecting it to get backed that much. Last week they kicked off +3 Asian and played out around +0.5 fair.
 

RedPed

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I got screwed over by Opta last night, had a few accas that included a Bellingham shot on target, he missed a sitter from about 6 yards and then I thought he'd had one at the death in the 92nd minute, but Opta, using their mind reading powers, decided it wasn't a shot at goal, but an attempted cross instead.
Yeah been shafted like that too.
 

Jamesy18

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I got screwed over by Opta last night, had a few accas that included a Bellingham shot on target, he missed a sitter from about 6 yards and then I thought he'd had one at the death in the 92nd minute, but Opta, using their mind reading powers, decided it wasn't a shot at goal, but an attempted cross instead.
Hate that. I feel the only qualification for a SoT should be if the keeper doesn't interfere, does it go straight into the goal
 

Big Andy

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Hate that. I feel the only qualification for a SoT should be if the keeper doesn't interfere, does it go straight into the goal
I had a week long exchange with them about a Harry Maguire tackle a year or two ago. Clearly took the ball off him, but because the other player had tried to go round him, it was classed as an interception instead of a tackle.

Opta are clearly in on it, and are paid by the betting companies. How on earth can it NOT be a shot on target where, as you say, the keeper has to stop it from going in, and if the keeper had missed it, and it had gone in, it would be a shot on target.

Thievery.
 

Jamesy18

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Thievery.
And with the Opta tweet format. Nice

Considering they will limit you if you get close to making consistent profits shows there is an unlevel playing field.

Currently enjoying my best run for quite a while (albeit staking peanuts compared to other posters) so hoping to take for some more before any limits set
 

RedPed

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And with the Opta tweet format. Nice

Considering they will limit you if you get close to making consistent profits shows there is an unlevel playing field.

Currently enjoying my best run for quite a while (albeit staking peanuts compared to other posters) so hoping to take for some more before any limits set
Had an email last week from 888Sport, saying they were limiting my deposits?? Not that I deposited much anyway.
 

Jamesy18

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On Batin again tomorrow +0.75 and double chance. 1.8 and 1.9 price wise. I have them favourites. Same reasoning as above.
Last week they were outstanding v Nassr. Fully deserved the win and we’re holding on great until ref added 12 for no reason. Conceded 3 in injury time to lose 3-1. Didn’t cash my win bets at 50s, but they never looked like conceding really until 1-1. Probably their best performance of the season despite the score line. I have them favourites tomorrow. 1.8 win is fair for me, but the market isn’t really aware how good Baten are so not expecting it to get backed that much. Last week they kicked off +3 Asian and played out around +0.5 fair.
Another great tip. Thanks! Although I cashed out early looking at the stats. Did it ever look in doubt?
 

Spiersey

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Another great tip. Thanks! Although I cashed out early looking at the stats. Did it ever look in doubt?
They were terrible FH but scored after a few minutes thankfully. Kept making mistakes and holding on to the ball too long, probably their worst 45 minutes this season (relative to their lineup). 2nd half was much better, had a fair few chances to make it 2-0, could have went 1-1 but never really looked like they'd concede 2.
They should be value next game too, market is starting to realise that they are a decent side though, despite the league position. Really hope they stay up, possibly my favourite team for betting ever.
 

MC89

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Wednesday….

Real Madrid 13/10
Napoli -1 13/10

2 cracking bets
 

RedPed

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Some accas today:

1. Man Utd, Juventus, Marseille, Feyenoord, PSV, FC Copenhagen, Panathanaikos, Arnett Gardens, Benfica, Ferencvaros, Legia Warsaw @28.08
2. Freiburg, Fiorentina, AS Roma, AS Monaco, Sporting Lisbon, Sturm Graz or draw, PAOK, Molde, Slovan Bratislava, Red Star Belgrade @31.80
3. Partizan Belgrade, Feyenoord, Benfica, Bohemians 1905, Hapoel Be'er-Sheva, FCSB or draw, Barcelona or draw, Man Utd/Southampton >1.5, Ajax, Juventus @14.17
 

MC89

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Shoot first is out of the pertemps handicap hurdle on Thursday, opens up the race now.
 

MC89

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So Cheltenham…….

Tuesday -

1.30 - not got a huge fancy for anything, Facile Vega could well be better than everything here but if it’s soft/heavy I would possibly go EW on Tahmuras 10/1

2.10 - again not really got anything but one could get a place at a big price Straw Fan Jack 66/1 has went C&D and if the 2 favs go or pick each other off could get a place.

2.50 Corach Rambler - won race last year up 6lbs but 2/2 at Cheltenham got decent chance at 6/1.

4.10 Love Envoi - won at novice mares race last year in good style, if going soft/heavy at 9/1 good chance of making the frame

Wednesday

1.30 - this is hard I was all over Hermes Allen 11/4, has already bolted up the hill but the Mullins trained Impaire Et Passe 13/8 could be anything, Gaelic Warrior 9/2 has a great chance as does Good Land 11/2, as I said it’s hard to call so won’t be having bet but if was pushed I would be with the favourite.

2.10 Gerri Colombe 6/4 - if ground is easier than good I think he’ll win, the class act

Champion bumper - it’s a bumper race so anything can win this but I like A Dream To Share 7/2 the Mullins trained Fun Fun Fun 8/1 could be a alternative to the favourite

Thursday -

1.30 - Mighty Potter 11/10 could be a monster and win easily but did blow up at Cheltenham last year but think it’s a different animal now, but won’t be betting myself one could run into a place is James Du Berlais 14/1.

Pertemps final - with the favourite shoot First be scratched today really open the race up, even before I like the Henderson trained Walking On Air 8/1 I just think he’s well handicapped after his win at Exeter only been put up 5lbs and I think has a great chance

Ryanair- if you don’t want to bet Shishkin 4/6 and EW bet would be Janidil 7/1

Novice mares - Luccia 13/8 I think she’ll just be too good this is one I’ve bet, if you don’t want the Favourite the Mullins trained Lot Of Joy 7/1 and Princess Zoe 12/1 EW but I think, hope and pray Luccia wins!

Friday

1.30 Lossiemouth 7/4 - again same as Luccia I’ve backed her, even though she got beat in Dublin she was so unlucky and gets the 7lbs mares allowance here from Blood Destiny 7/4, and EW shout could be Zenta 16/1 but think and hope Lossiemouth will win.

County hurdle - Hunter Yarn 9/1 Mullins won race last year with State Man so could win again with this

Albert Bartlett - Three Card Brag 7/2 if going is soft/heavy will be hard to beat a mud lover

Gold Cup - Galopin Des Champs 7/4 will make up for his fall last year and win the gold cup hopefully

Strongest bets

Luccia 13/8
Lossiemouth 7/4
Galopin Des Champs 7/4

EW

Tahmuras 10/1 (soft/heavy)
Straw Fan Jack 66/1
Lot Of Joy 7/1
 

RedPed

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Some accas today:

1. Man Utd, Juventus, Marseille, Feyenoord, PSV, FC Copenhagen, Panathanaikos, Arnett Gardens, Benfica, Ferencvaros, Legia Warsaw @28.08
2. Freiburg, Fiorentina, AS Roma, AS Monaco, Sporting Lisbon, Sturm Graz or draw, PAOK, Molde, Slovan Bratislava, Red Star Belgrade @31.80
3. Partizan Belgrade, Feyenoord, Benfica, Bohemians 1905, Hapoel Be'er-Sheva, FCSB or draw, Barcelona or draw, Man Utd/Southampton >1.5, Ajax, Juventus @14.17
United, Roma, Marseille and Monaco doing the bookies a favour yesterday with those red cards.
 

MC89

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So Cheltenham…….

Tuesday -

1.30 - not got a huge fancy for anything, Facile Vega could well be better than everything here but if it’s soft/heavy I would possibly go EW on Tahmuras 10/1

2.10 - again not really got anything but one could get a place at a big price Straw Fan Jack 66/1 has went C&D and if the 2 favs go or pick each other off could get a place.

2.50 Corach Rambler - won race last year up 6lbs but 2/2 at Cheltenham got decent chance at 6/1.

4.10 Love Envoi - won at novice mares race last year in good style, if going soft/heavy at 9/1 good chance of making the frame

Wednesday

1.30 - this is hard I was all over Hermes Allen 11/4, has already bolted up the hill but the Mullins trained Impaire Et Passe 13/8 could be anything, Gaelic Warrior 9/2 has a great chance as does Good Land 11/2, as I said it’s hard to call so won’t be having bet but if was pushed I would be with the favourite.

2.10 Gerri Colombe 6/4 - if ground is easier than good I think he’ll win, the class act

Champion bumper - it’s a bumper race so anything can win this but I like A Dream To Share 7/2 the Mullins trained Fun Fun Fun 8/1 could be a alternative to the favourite

Thursday -

1.30 - Mighty Potter 11/10 could be a monster and win easily but did blow up at Cheltenham last year but think it’s a different animal now, but won’t be betting myself one could run into a place is James Du Berlais 14/1.

Pertemps final - with the favourite shoot First be scratched today really open the race up, even before I like the Henderson trained Walking On Air 8/1 I just think he’s well handicapped after his win at Exeter only been put up 5lbs and I think has a great chance

Ryanair- if you don’t want to bet Shishkin 4/6 and EW bet would be Janidil 7/1

Novice mares - Luccia 13/8 I think she’ll just be too good this is one I’ve bet, if you don’t want the Favourite the Mullins trained Lot Of Joy 7/1 and Princess Zoe 12/1 EW but I think, hope and pray Luccia wins!

Friday

1.30 Lossiemouth 7/4 - again same as Luccia I’ve backed her, even though she got beat in Dublin she was so unlucky and gets the 7lbs mares allowance here from Blood Destiny 7/4, and EW shout could be Zenta 16/1 but think and hope Lossiemouth will win.

County hurdle - Hunter Yarn 9/1 Mullins won race last year with State Man so could win again with this

Albert Bartlett - Three Card Brag 7/2 if going is soft/heavy will be hard to beat a mud lover

Gold Cup - Galopin Des Champs 7/4 will make up for his fall last year and win the gold cup hopefully

Strongest bets

Luccia 13/8
Lossiemouth 7/4
Galopin Des Champs 7/4

EW

Tahmuras 10/1 (soft/heavy)
Straw Fan Jack 66/1
Lot Of Joy 7/1
Sorry meant to say Love Envoi EW, stuck up 2nd at 11/1, hopefully you did it EW anyway, did say chance of making frame that kind of is saying EW without saying it but my apologies anyway

Corach Rambler was a good winner for us 6/1,

fancy Gerri Colombe ( if soft), 11/8 an A Dream To Share, 7/2, in the bumper 5.30 Alan kings got a livley outsider would possibly play EW Favour And Fortune 28/1, but it’s a bumper and anything can happen most of them are unexposed aswell so wouldn’t be too confident on anything.
 

MC89

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Paul Townend to ride Lossiemouth on Friday in the triumph.
 

MC89

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A Dream To Share!!!! Get in there bet 7/2 then went out to 9/2 so went in again, happy days, sorry about Gerri Colombe so unlucky…… Luccia tomorrow
 

MC89

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Luccia absolutely murdered me, sorry about that really couldn’t see her been beaten.

Lossiemouth - triumph 1.30
Three Card Brag/Favori De Champdou - Albert Bartlett 2.50
Galopin Des Champs - Gold Cup 3.30
 
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Ayush_reddevil

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Benfica 11/10 to qualify over inter seems a bit mad to me . Benfica are the better team imo
 

RedPed

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1. Atletico Madrid, Celtic, RB Leipzig, Borussia Dortmund, RC Lens, Slavia Prague, Millwall, Watford, Benfica @18.65
2. Bordeaux, Rakow, Al Nassr, Besiktas, CSKA Sofia, Cliftonville, TSC Backa Topola, Hadjuk Split, Sparta Prague @11.06
 

MC89

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That’ll do, returned 10/11

got entries at Hereford and plumpton next week, so looking like a quick turn around again and hopefully same result. Will put up again soon as decs come out.
Well Vicky out again 3.15 Chepstow 4/1, could easily go In again.
 

RedPed

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1. Man Utd, Napoli, Bayern Munich, Real Sociedad, PSV, Dinamo Zagreb, Red Star Belgrade, Young Boys, Salzburg, Olympiakos @35.64
2. Fiorentina, Fenerbahce, PSG, Casa Pia or draw, Sturm Graz, Union St. Gilloise, Gent, Viktoria Plzen, Slovan Bratislava @35.02
3. Man Utd, LASK Linz, FC Swift Hesperange, Fiorentina, Union St. Gilloise, Harbour View, Progres Niedercorn, Brann, FK Shkendija 79, Red Star Belgrade @40.51
 

MC89

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On Queens Park 8/11 and Ayr 8/15, home to Arbroath and Cove, both should win.

Ayr -1 8/5
 
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