Football without fans: Advantage or disadvantage?

LazyRed-Ninja

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The performances of home teams in the Bundesliga have, for all intents and purposes, collapsed in front of empty stands. The number of home victories slipped by 10 percentage points, to 33 percent of matches in empty stadiums from 43 percent in full ones.’

The change has been so extreme, in fact, that Lukas Keppler, a managing director of the data and analytics firm Impect, noted a sort of “negative home advantage.” For the first time in soccer history, he said, it has appeared, at times, to be easier to be playing on the road. According to data provided by another analysis firm, Gracenote, home teams scored fewer goals than they had in full stadiums (1.74 to 1.43 per game), leading to a decline in goal scoring over all.


This was from a NY Times article and a research done about the Bundesliga and the impact of not having fans in stadiums.

Other points mentioned in the article:

- No crowd impact on the referee
- No feeling of an ‘away’ game for the vistor
- Referee more empowered to enforce the rules, because of lack of home crowd response.

The article has interesting statistics and conclusions. Full article>

https://www.nytimes.com/2020/07/01/sports/soccer/soccer-without-fans-germany-data.html

What is your take on empty stadiums? Advantage or disadvantage for United? (Also for other clubs).
 

Oo0AahCantona

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May 23, 2014
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Underdog teams will perform better in general as the overall pressure is reduced, I think teams that typically rely on large home support to supplement their home performances will undoubtable see a disadvantage, but its not so much all home teams being disadvantaged, but more likely "top" teams suffering worse in general than your midtable and relegation tier sides.
 

Paul_Scholes18

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Sep 13, 2014
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There have been money to be made if you predicted this correctly. Betting companies didn't adapt that well early on I think.