So how's austerity going?

bsc

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What has that got anything to do with being "right wing"? You think people who aren't staunchly socialist praise tax evasion?
No, well done on deliberately missing my point though.

Neoliberals, people who follow the Thatcher/Reagan model of trickle down economics, are predominantly right wing.

The idea and belief that trusting the rich with money, that they would create employment with it, would find it's way to the bottom and society would thrive is clearly discredited now it's seen to be funneled offshore whilst the majority of the country suffers.
 

bsc

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Front page of tomorrow's Mail



Paying a cleaner cash in hand is 'morally wrong' says minister.

This is the new angle the government is taking to take focus off the tax avoiders.

Again the lower end of society targeted. Pitiful.
 

bsc

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David Gauke is on newsnight now to explain the above; i gather he's the minister in question.

This should be good.

edit- first up an Allegra Stratton report. This should be balanced as usual :rolleyes:
 

bsc

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That Economist blog is pretty scattered, but the conclusion makes sense

My colleague appears to think the burden should be split evenly, but as for me, I'm an Adam Smith kind of guy; I believe that "the rich should contribute to the public expense not only in proportion to their revenue, but something more than in that proportion.” The strongest shoulders should carry the heaviest loads. And hey, you know who's been making out like bandits over the past ten years and could probably afford to kick in a little extra? Rich people. In the recovery of 2010 (the most recent year for which tax figures are available), 93% of the overall growth in household income went to the top 1% of earners. The bottom 99% of earners saw their incomes rise just 0.2%; the top 1% saw income rise 11%. Virtually the entire recovery was captured by people making over $352,000 a year. (People, in general, who can afford to send their kids to private school, to whom it doesn't matter so much if Los Angeles fires another 9,500 teachers.) It seems pretty reasonable to me to ask people in the top 2% of the income distribution, people making at least 5 times the median income, to make a minor sacrifice at a time of national crisis, and go back to the tax rates they were paying under Bill Clinton, just on the income they make over $250,000 a year. And after that, if more needs to be asked of regular Americans too, we'll see.
The problem is the high end of the wage structure has too many vested interests.

Like last night we seen the Guardian report on offshore money, today we have a mealy-mouthed reply from Uk govt that they plan to act on tax avoidance, before the predicable treasury minister is wheeled on newsnight ahead of tomorrow's papers with the usual bluster and diversion: tomorrow it isn't tax avoiders but people who work cash in hard, again at the lower end of society, on focus.

Thankfully even the Telegraph readers are not having this at all.

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/...ng-and-aiding-law-breaking-says-minister.html

Furthermore, Blair is sticking his nose in again, this time regarding bankers.

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/pol...096/Tony-Blair-hanging-bankers-wont-help.html

Absolute creep. Hopefully Ed reads the polls and keeps this man as far away as possible from his Labour party, as Tom Clark reports

http://www.guardian.co.uk/politics/2012/jul/23/tony-blair-prime-minister-return?INTCMP=SRCH
 

Nick 0208 Ldn

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bsc, how many tradesmen do you suppose are sitting pretty in the sun o the Costas at this very moment, did the payment of cash over other methods play no role for any of these instances do you think?

Objectively, can you scorn all tax avoidance for one section of society whilst sanctioning it for another?

Neither situation is black and white however, for example i think many people would make a point of paying a water/waitress a cash tip on moral grounds.
 

bsc

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bsc, how many tradesmen do you suppose are sitting pretty in the sun o the Costas at this very moment, did the payment of cash over other methods play no role for any of these instances do you think?

Objectively, can you scorn all tax avoidance for one section of society whilst sanctioning it for another?

Neither situation is black and white however, for example i think many people would make a point of paying a water/waitress a cash tip on moral grounds.
No, but people who are paid cash in hand are more likely to pump that 20 or 30 quid straight back into the economy.

And who's to say they are not declaring that to HMRC? To simply decry and conflate those low paid people as part of the overall problem is fecking ridiculous.

You know as well as i do that is a deliberate attempt by the government to muddy the waters and divert from the tax avoidance.
 

Plechazunga

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The main difference between a window-cleaner doing a dodgy to save twenty quid and a banker on a million pound bonus running his money through a shell company in the Caymans is... that he'd still be absolutely loaded if he paid his fecking taxes.
 

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The main difference between a window-cleaner doing a dodgy to save twenty quid and a banker on a million pound bonus running his money through a shell company in the Caymans is... that he'd still be absolutely loaded if he paid his fecking taxes.
There is quite a big difference in the tax we would have too.

Laughable that people want to infer the tradesmen are somehow on a par with the top 1% earners who are quite clearly to blame.

Trickle down economics is the most brazen and selfish ideal you could imagine.

The incredibility of the saying itself beggars belief, but the aspirational will always do thy masters bidding.
 

bsc

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There is quite a big difference in the tax we would have too.

Laughable that people want to infer the tradesmen are somehow on a par with the top 1% earners who are quite clearly to blame.

Trickle down economics is the most brazen and selfish ideal you could imagine.

The incredibility of the saying itself beggars belief, but the aspirational will always do thy masters bidding.
I think everyone knows we are in the final throws of neoliberalism; Thatcher and Reagan's social experiment has proved an unmitigated disaster.

'Trickle down economics' has made society a more unfair place; the gap in society between rich and poor has never been wider.

The idea that anything public is an affront to the markets or competition is a complete fallacy. I have nothing against the markets in their truest form, and that is genuine competition.

Making public services, with no real competitor to them private, is simply the government(irregardless or what party) siphoning off public funds to their mates: rail, water etc all going private has just resulted in staff cuts, a worse service and more dividends for the shareholders BECAUSE THERE IS NOTHING ELSE FOR CONSUMERS TO TAKE THEIR SERVICE TO.

The private can't operate without the public as the coalition knows. But, as i said before, the cuts are not about necissity but thirst to cut the public sector and give donors their cut.
 

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I think everyone knows we are in the final throws of neoliberalism; Thatcher and Reagan's social experiment has proved an unmitigated disaster.

'Trickle down economics' has made society a more unfair place; the gap in society between rich and poor has never been wider.

The idea that anything public is an affront to the markets or competition is a complete fallacy. I have nothing against the markets in their truest form, and that is genuine competition.

Making public services, with no real competitor to them private, is simply the government(irregardless or what party) siphoning off public funds to their mates: rail, water etc all going private has just resulted in staff cuts, a worse service and more dividends for the shareholders BECAUSE THERE IS NOTHING ELSE FOR CONSUMERS TO TAKE THEIR SERVICE TO.

The private can't operate without the public as the coalition knows. But, as i said before, the cuts are not about necissity but thirst to cut the public sector and give donors their cut.
Hello Europe!?

Italy, Spain, French and Greek economics were far from neoliberal economics (whatever that is?!), and yet they are in a far worse situation than the UK and USA.

The private can function without the public, if the private cannot function without public support it shouldn't exist unless there is some extra need for it (i.e. Health and Security)
 

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Nope:

UK economy still in recession, ONS GDP data says

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-18977084
Quite a big contraction (Relatively speaking). All sectors seem to be down, however, with inflation falling I suspect that some sectors will pick up later on in the year.

Bizzarely more people in work?! Very confusing figures. Firms/government are hiring but the economy is shrinking? :confused:

Even economists will be baffled (unless there is some kind of lag in the official figures). This either means that unemployment will rise later in the year, or that GDP is going to grow?
 

Nick 0208 Ldn

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You know as well as i do that is a deliberate attempt by the government to muddy the waters and divert from the tax avoidance.
Well yes i certainly wouldn't have it as front and centre of the government's policies on tax avoidance/evasion [a peripheral and debatable matter]. And if you saw this morning's Telegraph it has turned into a right dog's dinner of an issue, the minister likely regrets ever having made the remarks now.


Re: Recession

Construction, manufacturing, services, all in the red. Mind youall i can hear his morning is building work. lol

Services will pick up as we approach the end of the year you'd expect but is that only for the figures to dip again in 2013?

I remember that during the heigh of the financial crisis the Bush administration gave money diectly ot the American people, perhaps some of this QE should be directed into the ecnomy through channels other than the banks.
 

Jaz

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Well yes i certainly wouldn't have it as front and centre of the government's policies on tax avoidance/evasion [a peripheral and debatable matter]. And if you saw this morning's Telegraph it has turned into a right dog's dinner of an issue, the minister likely regrets ever having made the remarks now.


Re: Recession

Construction, manufacturing, services, all in the red. Mind youall i can hear his morning is building work. lol

Services will pick up as we approach the end of the year you'd expect but is that only for the figures to dip again in 2013?

I remember that during the heigh of the financial crisis the Bush administration gave money diectly ot the American people, perhaps some of this QE should be directed into the ecnomy through channels other than the banks.
That was borrowed money, though it was a decent stimulus, it never really was a revenue raising scheme, and caused an even bigger budget deficit. This is something the UK could probably do on a small scale, but any large borrowing would be an issue, because there is a massive fear of high bond rates with countries with huge debts (UK).

Construction was down by 5%+. Should pick up again in the future, mainly because of bad weather, and some lack of demand.

I personally don't think we have a fundamental problem with the UK economy, there's a lot of chill from global markets, and the lack of a fiscal stimulus is probably making things look worse than they actually are. The fact is: we need to wait it out until the eurozone fixes itself.

In the mean time, I don't think we should borrow any more, increase cuts, or decrease cuts. It's a fairly stable situation right now (no growth, generally).
 

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I think everyone knows we are in the final throws of neoliberalism; Thatcher and Reagan's social experiment has proved an unmitigated disaster.

'Trickle down economics' has made society a more unfair place; the gap in society between rich and poor has never been wider.
Poor people are also less poor. Some (or even a great deal) of anger at inequality is jealousy, righteously disguised as concern about fairness.

The idea that anything public is an affront to the markets or competition is a complete fallacy. I have nothing against the markets in their truest form, and that is genuine competition.

Making public services, with no real competitor to them private, is simply the government(irregardless or what party) siphoning off public funds to their mates: rail, water etc all going private has just resulted in staff cuts, a worse service and more dividends for the shareholders BECAUSE THERE IS NOTHING ELSE FOR CONSUMERS TO TAKE THEIR SERVICE TO.
Agreed, although it's not that simple. For example, UK Rail has been renationalised in effect, it's still shit, and will get shitter.
The private can't operate without the public as the coalition knows. But, as i said before, the cuts are not about necissity but thirst to cut the public sector and give donors their cut.
The public sector is also exploding at the seams, let's not even talk about uncapped and wrongly accounted pension liabilities. If you define as unemployed people whom if they didn't turn up at work no one would notice they were gone, I'd bet many in the public sector are basically on the dole. So are many in the private sector, just not as many.

What does it matter whether they're on the dole and notionally employed or just on the dole?
 

spinoza

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The idea and belief that trusting the rich with money, that they would create employment with it, would find it's way to the bottom and society would thrive is clearly discredited now it's seen to be funneled offshore whilst the majority of the country suffers.
The money is an incentive to create employment, among several other incentives. Right now the government seems to have declared war on working, so there are actual disincentives to create employment. What are rich people going to do with the money? Yes, stash it somewhere else, and follow it later.

I was vaguely amused to see that the marginal tax rate actually works in practice as a factor determining my preferred labour-leisure tradeoff. If nearly 60% of my marginal earnt quid goes to the Treasury, I'd much rather bunk off and relax at home. Longer term I'm thinking of leaving the UK. If I'm leaving, lots more productive, richer people than I are already long gone.
 

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I personally don't think we have a fundamental problem with the UK economy, there's a lot of chill from global markets, and the lack of a fiscal stimulus is probably making things look worse than they actually are. The fact is: we need to wait it out until the eurozone fixes itself.
The fact is it wont fix itself

I dont know if you have read the news in the last 100 weeks but no-one is doing anything to fix it

Enjoy your( long )wait
 

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Poor people are also less poor. Some (or even a great deal) of anger at inequality is jealousy, righteously disguised as concern about fairness.



Agreed, although it's not that simple. For example, UK Rail has been renationalised in effect, it's still shit, and will get shitter.


The public sector is also exploding at the seams, let's not even talk about uncapped and wrongly accounted pension liabilities. If you define as unemployed people whom if they didn't turn up at work no one would notice they were gone, I'd bet many in the public sector are basically on the dole. So are many in the private sector, just not as many.

What does it matter whether they're on the dole and notionally employed or just on the dole?
I agree that the conversation about inequality is more jealousy than fairness. But the public sector workers who don't turn up?! That's a load of nonsense. If you don't turn up for work, you get sacked, public or private. The biggest difference is probably flexible/part time working which is better in the public sector.

The money is an incentive to create employment, among several other incentives. Right now the government seems to have declared war on working, so there are actual disincentives to create employment. What are rich people going to do with the money? Yes, stash it somewhere else, and follow it later.

I was vaguely amused to see that the marginal tax rate actually works in practice as a factor determining my preferred labour-leisure tradeoff. If nearly 60% of my marginal earnt quid goes to the Treasury, I'd much rather bunk off and relax at home. Longer term I'm thinking of leaving the UK. If I'm leaving, lots more productive, richer people than I are already long gone.
The government declared war on working? Really?! Can you tell me since the coalition came into power what "anti-working" measures they have brought it? So you want to be less taxes, so do I, but at the current time it's not possible with the public services the government pays for. Almost everything the government wants to cut played-up and screamed about like its a national disgrace.
 

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The fact is it wont fix itself

I dont know if you have read the news in the last 100 weeks but no-one is doing anything to fix it

Enjoy your( long )wait
Not sure what the sarcasm is about. The Eurozone is our biggest trading partner. The fact doesn't change that we need to wait for the Eurozone, how long this takes isn't within the control of the UK government. We can promote some trade with out growing countries (but they too are slowing down like China and India), and that the single market controls trade policy also, so preferential treatment wouldn't really be possible.
 

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I don't want anybody to panic, but we're kinda fecked right now
 

Stanley Road

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Not sure what the sarcasm is about. The Eurozone is our biggest trading partner. The fact doesn't change that we need to wait for the Eurozone, how long this takes isn't within the control of the UK government. We can promote some trade with out growing countries (but they too are slowing down like China and India), and that the single market controls trade policy also, so preferential treatment wouldn't really be possible.
No sarcasm, just pointing out that no-one is fixing it

Therefore the UK can carry on blaming bad times on close ties with the US economy as they did in 2008+ and their close ties with Europe, as they are doing now

Not every European country is doing really shit, what is their economic model that gets them through and why doesn't the UK do something similar?

Blaming is easy, where do you see a Euro fix coming from when not all countries share the same view on proposed fixes?
 

spinoza

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I agree that the conversation about inequality is more jealousy than fairness. But the public sector workers who don't turn up?! That's a load of nonsense. If you don't turn up for work, you get sacked, public or private. The biggest difference is probably flexible/part time working which is better in the public sector.
No, I meant people who turn up and are ostensibly employed but don't really make a difference. Crude example - I went off on 2 weeks holiday and came back to more than 1,000 emails, even though I did an hour or so of email checking every day. It's just a guess, but maybe I'm needed for something. Maybe I do add to productivity. I observe that when some other people go off, I don't even notice they were gone. This has been so everywhere I've ever worked, and friends who work in the public sector say it's so there too, maybe even more so. There are people who don't move the dial on things done / money made, but they are still employed. These people are on the dole, effectively.

The government declared war on working? Really?! Can you tell me since the coalition came into power what "anti-working" measures they have brought it? So you want to be less taxes, so do I, but at the current time it's not possible with the public services the government pays for. Almost everything the government wants to cut played-up and screamed about like its a national disgrace.
Very simple. Lots of attention has been lavished on "cuts" to public services but they (1) don't go far enough and (2) are only half the issue. Where's the incentive to get people back to work? Where's the reduction in income tax and rise in consumption tax? Instead marginal income tax rates have risen to 60% on some people, and is probably nearer 75% if you factor in all the other consumption and wealth taxes. feck that.
 

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No, I meant people who turn up and are ostensibly employed but don't really make a difference. Crude example - I went off on 2 weeks holiday and came back to more than 1,000 emails, even though I did an hour or so of email checking every day. It's just a guess, but maybe I'm needed for something. Maybe I do add to productivity. I observe that when some other people go off, I don't even notice they were gone. This has been so everywhere I've ever worked, and friends who work in the public sector say it's so there too, maybe even more so. There are people who don't move the dial on things done / money made, but they are still employed. These people are on the dole, effectively.
This is a sweeping generalization of public sector workers, they exist in the private sector too. I have family and friends, all of them mention sweet talkers, get their interns to do their work, and do nothing themselves, whilst they do very little other than have a few meals with some rich colleagues. Oh wait, that was a sweeping generalization too! Your argument is that of efficiency, it's true private sector is slightly more efficient, but I do think the vast, vast majority have added value, if not more than some private sector jobs. You've also missed out the problem with inactivity. Even though, as you say, these people who have no productive benefit are effectively "on the dole," they are at least gaining experience (for future productive employment?) and maintaining health and mental (reduction in health expenditure, disability, or incapacity?)

Very simple. Lots of attention has been lavished on "cuts" to public services but they (1) don't go far enough and (2) are only half the issue. Where's the incentive to get people back to work? Where's the reduction in income tax and rise in consumption tax? Instead marginal income tax rates have risen to 60% on some people, and is probably nearer 75% if you factor in all the other consumption and wealth taxes. feck that.
Freeze on council tax? Income tax thresholds higher for almost all the low-paid jobs? (almost everyone gained money for that and is a drop in tax), though on the margin it wouldn't really effect many people on a middle or high income. Like I said, you say that aren't far enough, but public opinion is saying they are too far. It's a fine balance of politics and economics.
 

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Tory MP Douglas Carswell said:
It is not the Eurozone or the United States that are to blame for the state of the economy. We are in this mess because of Treasury policy, which under successive administrations has assumed that the government can conjure up growth and prosperity. Today’s figures are further evidence this voodoo economic approach does not work.

Ever since the financial crisis struck, the Treasury response has been to try to engineer growth. They have tried to do this first and foremost via monetary stimulus - low interest rates, easy money and print-money-and-pray economics - the technical term for Quantitative Easing.
.....
 

Nick 0208 Ldn

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If people think this thread is gloomy you should have heard Fivelive earlier, one guest predicting a depression lasting up to 30 years unless action is taken soon.
 

spinoza

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This is a sweeping generalization of public sector workers, they exist in the private sector too. I have family and friends, all of them mention sweet talkers, get their interns to do their work, and do nothing themselves, whilst they do very little other than have a few meals with some rich colleagues. Oh wait, that was a sweeping generalization too! Your argument is that of efficiency, it's true private sector is slightly more efficient, but I do think the vast, vast majority have added value, if not more than some private sector jobs. You've also missed out the problem with inactivity. Even though, as you say, these people who have no productive benefit are effectively "on the dole," they are at least gaining experience (for future productive employment?) and maintaining health and mental (reduction in health expenditure, disability, or incapacity?)
It's a generalisation, but hardly sweeping. From observation around 30% of people employed in every company I've ever worked for don't really need to be there. I've not seen or heard anything that says its any different or better in the public sector, or in other bits of the private sector. I could just as well challenge your assertion that "the vast, vast majority have added value" in the public sector. Really? More value than they take in salary (better than private sector now) and accrue in pension liabilities?

Freeze on council tax? Income tax thresholds higher for almost all the low-paid jobs? (almost everyone gained money for that and is a drop in tax), though on the margin it wouldn't really effect many people on a middle or high income. Like I said, you say that aren't far enough, but public opinion is saying they are too far. It's a fine balance of politics and economics.
Do the math again, with all the hidden NI and changes in allowance. I reckon the moment you cross £35k your effective marginal tax rate starts rising from 40% and peaks at about 60%, maybe higher. So what incentive does anyone have to move from a low paying job to a high paying job? If we all capped our salaries at £35k as the tax system incentivises us to, surely that's in some way tax avoidance, and "immoral"?

Maybe "politics" causes us to want to do that, but I assure you, a marginal tax rate of more than 50% is just as damaging to the UK as the return of the 35 hour working week is to France. Just because the electorate wants it doesn't mean it's a good idea. Sometimes the electorate are a bunch of fecking morons. Brave politicians need to recognise this and explain it to the electorate. Unfortunately there aren't many.
 

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Do the math again, with all the hidden NI and changes in allowance. I reckon the moment you cross £35k your effective marginal tax rate starts rising from 40% and peaks at about 60%, maybe higher. So what incentive does anyone have to move from a low paying job to a high paying job?
You are not being taxed 100% of what you earn above 35k, you'll still go home with more in your pocket then the person who doesn't have that job
 

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Do the math again, with all the hidden NI and changes in allowance. I reckon the moment you cross £35k your effective marginal tax rate starts rising from 40% and peaks at about 60%, maybe higher. So what incentive does anyone have to move from a low paying job to a high paying job?
Of all the daft things I've read in my time on here this takes the biscuit.
 

Jimy_Hills_Chin

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Tell that to Spain, Portugal, Italy and France.

We're doing well, imo.
We are not doing as shit as some but there are comparable countries that are doing better than us.

Here is a little life tip for you

Don't measure yourself against the worst, measure yourself against the best.
 

Jaz

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It's a generalisation, but hardly sweeping. From observation around 30% of people employed in every company I've ever worked for don't really need to be there. I've not seen or heard anything that says its any different or better in the public sector, or in other bits of the private sector. I could just as well challenge your assertion that "the vast, vast majority have added value" in the public sector. Really? More value than they take in salary (better than private sector now) and accrue in pension liabilities?
Well the argument has ended, because you made a generalisation without a basis of fact. We agree that some jobs shouldn't exist, but even so, some should. So there is labour market failure in both the private and public sector, tell us something we don't know.

Do the math again, with all the hidden NI and changes in allowance. I reckon the moment you cross £35k your effective marginal tax rate starts rising from 40% and peaks at about 60%, maybe higher. So what incentive does anyone have to move from a low paying job to a high paying job? If we all capped our salaries at £35k as the tax system incentivises us to, surely that's in some way tax avoidance, and "immoral"?
Again, the problem really isn't low-paid to high paid. It's benefits and paid. The argument that the marginal tax rate is higher for higher earners is correct. It's obvious. However, on the super rich, the argument is that the marginal tax rate drops again. It's not a disincentive. I don't think anyone is thinking would prefer not to jump from 30k to 50k income on the basis the tax man takes a bigger slide. It's simply not the problem. The real problem is the marginal kinks at certain thresholds (going from benefits to work, low tax bands and from part-time to full-time). Another flaw in the argument is that your proposal is to reduce taxation revenues from middle to high earners, it's political suicide.

Maybe "politics" causes us to want to do that, but I assure you, a marginal tax rate of more than 50% is just as damaging to the UK as the return of the 35 hour working week is to France. Just because the electorate wants it doesn't mean it's a good idea. Sometimes the electorate are a bunch of fecking morons. Brave politicians need to recognise this and explain it to the electorate. Unfortunately there aren't many.
Indeed, but politicians make choices, there's no point is draconian tax changes if you will get voted out and changed back within 5 years. This is precesly what might happen if cuts were steeper.

Jimy_Hills_Chin said:
We are not doing as shit as some but there are comparable countries that are doing better than us.

Here is a little life tip for you

Don't measure yourself against the worst, measure yourself against the best.
Please give an example of a 60m population OECD country, with a a huge deficit, huge debt, and one of the biggest historical exposures to financial services. You're effectively trying to compare our economy to the smaller European economies which are nothing like ours, and are unlikely to be without massive political and social reform. With our exposure to financial services, I think it's a miracle, we're not in meltdown.
 

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No Osborne again on Newsnight later. Spineless. Rachel Reeves and Vice Cable will both appear.

I wonder what Tory party minion gets wheeled out to be torpedoed tonight.
 

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The UK will be effed for the next decade with the Olympics cost, this year was meant to be a boost: all those Olympic jobs.