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bucky

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Well not sure what 4q TD factors in here. If he was a clutch QB you should see a difference in other quarters too...
Most passing touchdowns in a season by a rookie: 26 (tied with Peyton Manning)
Most passing yards in a playoff game by a rookie: 385
First quarterback to throw for 300+ yards and rush for 100+ yards in a single game (vs St. Louis Rams) (10/19/14)
Most consecutive games with 3+ touchdown passes and no interceptions: 5, 2015
2nd highest passer rating, career (minimum 1,500 attempts): 99.6





 
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bucky

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:lol:

I still think I fear Wilson (and Hawks) less than I used to 3 years before.
I think there are too many holes on that roster in general and he hasn't been helped by the coaching staff IMO. I've said this before, but since their loss to the Patriots, it felt like they were their own worst enemy. What's your team?
 

Eboue

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josh allen will be a bust
saquon barkley will be decent but anyone who takes him in the top 5 will regret it and a running back drafted after him with have more approximate value in his career
best quarterbacks will be rosen darnold and mayfield
 

Rado_N

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one day to go, cards on the table.

josh allen will be a bust
saquon barkley will be decent but anyone who takes him in the top 5 will regret it and a running back drafted after him with have more approximate value in his career
best quarterbacks will be rosen darnold and mayfield
Who would you take at each of the first 10 picks if you were the GMs in question?
 

bucky

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one day to go, cards on the table.

josh allen will be a bust
saquon barkley will be decent but anyone who takes him in the top 5 will regret it and a running back drafted after him with have more approximate value in his career
best quarterbacks will be rosen darnold and mayfield
The podcasts I've listened to are saying the same. With Mayfield being far and away the best QB. You just need to look at last year's draft to see that taking a RB early is an idiotic idea.
 

Eboue

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1 - Browns - QB Josh Rosen
2 - Giants - DE Bradley Chubb
3 - Jets - QB Sam Darnold
4 - Browns - CB Minkah Fitzpatrick
5 - Broncos - QB Baker Mayfield
6 - Colts - G Quenton Nelson
7 - Buccaneers - S Derwin James
8 - Bears - LB Roquan Smith
9 - 49ers - LB Tremaine Edwards
10 - Raiders - best defensive player available
 

Raoul

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1 - Browns - QB Josh Rosen
2 - Giants - DE Bradley Chubb
3 - Jets - QB Sam Darnold
4 - Browns - CB Minkah Fitzpatrick
5 - Broncos - QB Baker Mayfield
6 - Colts - G Quenton Nelson
7 - Buccaneers - S Derwin James
8 - Bears - LB Roquan Smith
9 - 49ers - LB Tremaine Edwards
10 - Raiders - best defensive player available
Is this what you think will happen or should happen ?
 

RobinLFC

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Is Derwin James better than Jamal Adams last year? And Fitzpatrick better than Ramsey when he got drafted?
 

Rado_N

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1 - Browns - QB Josh Rosen
2 - Giants - DE Bradley Chubb
3 - Jets - QB Sam Darnold
4 - Browns - CB Minkah Fitzpatrick
5 - Broncos - QB Baker Mayfield
6 - Colts - G Quenton Nelson
7 - Buccaneers - S Derwin James
8 - Bears - LB Roquan Smith
9 - 49ers - LB Tremaine Edwards
10 - Raiders - best defensive player available
I'd be happy with that, Mayfield looks like a player.

I'd also be happy with Chubb if he's still on the board or Nelson at Guard. Either of those two would have an immediate impact whereas Mayfield would likely have to wait at least a year.
 

Raoul

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I'd be happy with that, Mayfield looks like a player.

I'd also be happy with Chubb if he's still on the board or Nelson at Guard. Either of those two would have an immediate impact whereas Mayfield would likely have to wait at least a year.
I can't see the Broncos losing in any scenario. If the Browns choose Darnold or Allen at #1 then its almost a certainty that Rosen or Mayfield are available at 5.
 

Marty1968

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1 - Browns - QB Josh Rosen
2 - Giants - DE Bradley Chubb
3 - Jets - QB Sam Darnold
4 - Browns - CB Minkah Fitzpatrick
5 - Broncos - QB Baker Mayfield
6 - Colts - G Quenton Nelson
7 - Buccaneers - S Derwin James
8 - Bears - LB Roquan Smith
9 - 49ers - LB Tremaine Edwards
10 - Raiders - best defensive player available
Really? You don't have Barkley in the top 10??
 

Raoul

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I don't buy the logic that RBs are not pivotal positions that don't warrant getting drafted in the high first round. Other than QB, its the most pivotal position on the field - as in there's generally only one starter on each team and establishing a strong running game is critical to everything from setting up play action passing to controlling the clock and line of scrimmage to grinding down an opponent's defense down the stretch.

Over the past decade or so - we've seen the likes of Reggie Bush, Marshawn Lynch, Adrian Peterson et al - come out of the high or mid first round range and each have had successful carriers. In the past 3 years alone - Gurley, Elliot, Fournette, and Gordon have gone first round and have each delivered 1,000 yard plus seasons. Of course sometimes the scouts get it wrong on players, but the recent trend suggests that they are more inclined to get it right which is why Barkley is a very attractive high first round pick.
 

GloryHunter07

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Ive got a feeling that Josh Rosen is going to make some of these "old school football guys" look stupid. Provided he can stay fit.
 

altodevil

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Ive got a feeling that Josh Rosen is going to make some of these "old school football guys" look stupid. Provided he can stay fit.
He's by far my favourite QB, but I watch feck all college football nowadays so doesn't mean much.
 

Raoul

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I was referring to Eboue btw. Maybe the Lions got burned by a hyped high pick on an RB? I don't know personally.

Oh I see. I just don't get the RB hate. They are essential to a great running game, so it makes little sense that they shouldn't be drafted high first round.
 

Rado_N

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You mean if my team really needed a running back? Still no, you can get one later in the draft
I more meant if you were stacked elsewhere but fair enough.

RB's definitely seem to be less valuable then in previous years, much to Le'veon Bells dismay.
 

bucky

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Running back PTSD. I think you're on your own.
I was referring to Eboue btw. Maybe the Lions got burned by a hyped high pick on an RB? I don't know personally.
He's not. Analytics are actually showing that the RB position isn't as valuable. Cornerbacks, safeties, defensive ends, defensive tackles (who can rush the passer), offensive tackles, interior linemen and wide receiver all impact the passing game more, which is ultimately how you win football games. Barkley's biggest value comes from him being a great receiver, similar to Alvin Kamara.


Oh I see. I just don't get the RB hate. They are essential to a great running game, so it makes little sense that they shouldn't be drafted high first round.
It's not hate, it's just logical. Seahawks are a good example again. Alex Collins was a fifth round pick for the Seahawks in 2016, who accomplished very little playing for them, since he was stuck behind a terrible o-line. He got cut, since he was the worst RB on their roster in 2017. All of their other RBs did better than Collins. McKissic, Prosise, M. Davis and Carson. It wasn't a bad coaching or roster decision to cut him. Carson actually was close to being mister irrelevant and he was up until his injury the RB, who looked the best behind a terrible line. Collins got signed by the Ravens and suddenly became a factor, because he was playing with a competent line. Point is that offenvise linemen are far more valuable than running backs. Duane Brown immediately helped the Seahawks line to get better and they were less awful.
 

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Trouble with the Barnwell piece is he is only comparing RBs to QBs when drafts routinely choose the likes of T, G, CB, S, WR in the top part of the first round as well. Its obvious teams can't choose only QBs, so there is really no logical explanation why a RB can't be chosen at the top. He also conveniently omitted the fact that Gurley, Elliot, Fournette, and Gordon have been hits over the past 3 years. Are teams that drafted them and had their decisions validated by the respective player performances simply morons for having had the audacity to draft a RB in the top 10 ?
 

Eboue

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I don't buy the logic that RBs are not pivotal positions that don't warrant getting drafted in the high first round. Other than QB, its the most pivotal position on the field - as in there's generally only one starter on each team and establishing a strong running game is critical to everything from setting up play action passing to controlling the clock and line of scrimmage to grinding down an opponent's defense down the stretch.

Over the past decade or so - we've seen the likes of Reggie Bush, Marshawn Lynch, Adrian Peterson et al - come out of the high or mid first round range and each have had successful carriers. In the past 3 years alone - Gurley, Elliot, Fournette, and Gordon have gone first round and have each delivered 1,000 yard plus seasons. Of course sometimes the scouts get it wrong on players, but the recent trend suggests that they are more inclined to get it right which is why Barkley is a very attractive high first round pick.

The one starter thing is meaningless. There is only one starter at kicker and punter and fullback and tight end. Doesn't make those positions more or less valuable. Plus many teams give significant carries to multiple running backs.

As for establishing a running game, you are still living in the 90s. The league has changed. The Patriots have built a dynasty around using their cap and draft resources at other positions. In the Belichick era they used two first round picks on running backs, picks 18 and 21, who combined for 39 AV.

Teams are passing more and rushing less



And there is a clear correlation between passing and winning that doesn't exist for rushing.



Due to draft guarantees, running backs drafted in the first round get outsized contracts compared their position peers and that is unique among nfl positions.

http://www.espn.com/nfl/story/_/id/...ng-back-round-1-better-awesome-2017-nfl-draft

From that same article, here is the difference between round 1 and round 2 running backs.






1. Running is less important than ever to winning
2. Running backs drafted in the first round get disproportionate contracts compared to their peers in later rounds.
3. The top performing running backs are usually not picked in the first round.

So if you dont need them as much anymore, you cant identify on draft day which ones will perform best and there is an added cost for drafting them in the first round, it doesn't make sense to do it.
 

Raoul

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He's not. Analytics are actually showing that the RB position isn't as valuable. Cornerbacks, safeties, defensive ends, defensive tackles (who can rush the passer), offensive tackles, interior linemen and wide receiver all impact the passing game more, which is ultimately how you win football games. Barkley's biggest value comes from him being a great receiver, similar to Alvin Kamara.




It's not hate, it's just logical. Seahawks are a good example again. Alex Collins was a fifth round pick for the Seahawks in 2016, who accomplished very little playing for them, since he was stuck behind a terrible o-line. He got cut, since he was the worst RB on their roster in 2017. All of their other RBs did better than Collins. McKissic, Prosise, M. Davis and Carson. It wasn't a bad coaching or roster decision to cut him. Carson actually was close to being mister irrelevant and he was up until his injury the RB, who looked the best behind a terrible line. Collins got signed by the Ravens and suddenly became a factor, because he was playing with a competent line. Point is that offenvise linemen are far more valuable than running backs. Duane Brown immediately helped the Seahawks line to get better and they were less awful.

That's not logic - that's simply a poor assessment of the player in question, which happens frequently. Marshawn Lynch btw, went #12 the same year Adrian Peterson went #7 and both will likely wind up in Canton.
 

Eboue

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That's not logic - that's simply a poor assessment of the player in question, which happens frequently. Marshawn Lynch btw, went #12 the same year Adrian Peterson went #7 and both will likely wind up in Canton.
Lynch was drafted by the Bills did so well they drafted another running back top 10 in his third year. Teams cannot evaluate running backs well enough to justify the risks of taking them in the first round.
 

bucky

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That's not logic - that's simply a poor assessment of the player in question, which happens frequently. Marshawn Lynch btw, went #12 the same year Adrian Peterson went #7 and both will likely wind up in Canton.
I actually liked Collins and so did the Seahawks probably, but he was their worst RB on the roster and they invested too much in Lacy. Put Carson, McKissic, a healthy Prosise or Mike Davis into the Ravens system and they are most likely doing better, since they are simply better RBs.

Edit: And most importantly, Collins was a fifth round pick and he had 1000 yard season.
 

Raoul

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The one starter thing is meaningless. There is only one starter at kicker and punter and fullback and tight end. Doesn't make those positions more or less valuable. Plus many teams give significant carries to multiple running backs.

As for establishing a running game, you are still living in the 90s. The league has changed. The Patriots have built a dynasty around using their cap and draft resources at other positions. In the Belichick era they used two first round picks on running backs, picks 18 and 21, who combined for 39 AV.

Teams are passing more and rushing less



And there is a clear correlation between passing and winning that doesn't exist for rushing.



Due to draft guarantees, running backs drafted in the first round get outsized contracts compared their position peers and that is unique among nfl positions.

http://www.espn.com/nfl/story/_/id/...ng-back-round-1-better-awesome-2017-nfl-draft

From that same article, here is the difference between round 1 and round 2 running backs.






1. Running is less important than ever to winning
2. Running backs drafted in the first round get disproportionate contracts compared to their peers in later rounds.
3. The top performing running backs are usually not picked in the first round.

So if you dont need them as much anymore, you cant identify on draft day which ones will perform best and there is an added cost for drafting them in the first round, it doesn't make sense to do it.
1. Kicker and Punter aren't anywhere as pivotal as RB. There is no shortage of good kickers who make a majority of their kicks.

2. The Pats success is an outlier in all of this. A vast majority of teams still rely on effective running backs to control the line of scrimmage. Look at the Jags, Rams, Cowboys, and even the Eagles with their two backs.
 

Raoul

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Lynch was drafted by the Bills did so well they drafted another running back top 10 in his third year. Teams cannot evaluate running backs well enough to justify the risks of taking them in the first round.
Never mind the team. He is a 10,000 yard rusher who contributed to multiple super bowl appearances.